{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\mzarit\Documents\regionalconvergence_missour_6_27_2016.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}27 Jun 2016, 09:06:17

{com}. do "C:\Users\mzarit\AppData\Local\Temp\STD0o000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
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. *** I.A: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010): BIVARIATE DYNAMIC PANEL ARDL(4,3)--ECM REGRESSION MODELS OF STATE REAL PER CAPITA PERSONAL INCOME [real_pc_inc_ann] /// 
> ///       & STATE klarnerranney INDEX FOR PARTISAN COMPETITION IN LEGISLATURE/REPRESENTATIVE ASSEMBLIES [klarnerranney] WITH TWO-WAY FIXED EFFECTS [STATE AND TIME UNIT EFFECTS]  ***
> 
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. // (4,3)  MODEL
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. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,165{col 27}-16091.44{col 38}-15255.44{col 49}   120{col 58} 30750.88{col 69}  31432.5
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,165
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(119,      2045){col 67}= {res}     33.40
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0348112{col 34}{space 2}  .009042{col 45}{space 1}   -3.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0525436{col 75}{space 3}-.0170788
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.5542394{col 34}{space 2} .4891196{col 45}{space 1}   -1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.257{col 62}{space 4}-1.513464{col 75}{space 3} .4049852
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3189276{col 34}{space 2} .0656462{col 45}{space 1}    4.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1901872{col 75}{space 3}  .447668
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.712662{col 34}{space 2} .8550335{col 45}{space 1}   -2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4}-3.389489{col 75}{space 3}-.0358343
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0609141{col 34}{space 2} .0492862{col 45}{space 1}   -1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.217{col 62}{space 4}-.1575704{col 75}{space 3} .0357422
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.73664{col 34}{space 2} .7466108{col 45}{space 1}    2.33{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} .2724437{col 75}{space 3} 3.200837
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.061311{col 34}{space 2} .0436649{col 45}{space 1}   -1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.160{col 62}{space 4}-.1469432{col 75}{space 3} .0243212
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0251579{col 34}{space 2} .7780545{col 45}{space 1}    0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.974{col 62}{space 4}-1.500704{col 75}{space 3}  1.55102
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.36676{col 34}{space 2} 279.7733{col 45}{space 1}    0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.970{col 62}{space 4}-538.3036{col 75}{space 3} 559.0371
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -319.694{col 34}{space 2} 345.3929{col 45}{space 1}   -0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-997.0526{col 75}{space 3} 357.6646
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-33.13824{col 34}{space 2} 38.35446{col 45}{space 1}   -0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.388{col 62}{space 4}-108.3561{col 75}{space 3} 42.07964
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 87.22485{col 34}{space 2} 139.6349{col 45}{space 1}    0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.532{col 62}{space 4}-186.6166{col 75}{space 3} 361.0663
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 416.2739{col 34}{space 2} 193.5137{col 45}{space 1}    2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4} 36.76943{col 75}{space 3} 795.7785
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-645.4943{col 34}{space 2} 497.5551{col 45}{space 1}   -1.30{col 54}{space 3}0.195{col 62}{space 4}-1621.262{col 75}{space 3} 330.2733
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 882.1253{col 34}{space 2} 320.3574{col 45}{space 1}    2.75{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 253.8645{col 75}{space 3} 1510.386
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6335.455{col 34}{space 2} 1081.781{col 45}{space 1}    5.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 4213.948{col 75}{space 3} 8456.961
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.073517{col 34}{space 2} 18.56676{col 45}{space 1}    0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.911{col 62}{space 4}-34.33821{col 75}{space 3} 38.48524
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4.85376{col 34}{space 2} 21.62874{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.822{col 62}{space 4} -37.5629{col 75}{space 3} 47.27042
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 23.02055{col 34}{space 2} 21.09272{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.275{col 62}{space 4}-18.34491{col 75}{space 3}   64.386
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-20.36248{col 34}{space 2} 23.69147{col 45}{space 1}   -0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.390{col 62}{space 4} -66.8244{col 75}{space 3} 26.09944
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.15242{col 34}{space 2} 20.89009{col 45}{space 1}   -0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.468{col 62}{space 4} -56.1205{col 75}{space 3} 25.81566
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -17.2688{col 34}{space 2} 27.72628{col 45}{space 1}   -0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.533{col 62}{space 4}-71.64349{col 75}{space 3} 37.10589
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-178.8852{col 34}{space 2} 99.91952{col 45}{space 1}   -1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.074{col 62}{space 4}-374.8399{col 75}{space 3} 17.06939
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-110.0032{col 34}{space 2} 95.91798{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.252{col 62}{space 4}-298.1103{col 75}{space 3}  78.1039
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-126.9438{col 34}{space 2} 104.3011{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.224{col 62}{space 4}-331.4913{col 75}{space 3} 77.60379
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 25.66231{col 34}{space 2} 113.0129{col 45}{space 1}    0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.820{col 62}{space 4}-195.9701{col 75}{space 3} 247.2947
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-89.05806{col 34}{space 2} 102.6491{col 45}{space 1}   -0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.386{col 62}{space 4}-290.3656{col 75}{space 3} 112.2495
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-109.2215{col 34}{space 2} 117.0247{col 45}{space 1}   -0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.351{col 62}{space 4}-338.7215{col 75}{space 3} 120.2785
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-173.3006{col 34}{space 2}  103.948{col 45}{space 1}   -1.67{col 54}{space 3}0.096{col 62}{space 4}-377.1555{col 75}{space 3}  30.5543
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-113.5768{col 34}{space 2} 97.30417{col 45}{space 1}   -1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.243{col 62}{space 4}-304.4024{col 75}{space 3} 77.24881
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-181.8275{col 34}{space 2} 98.80464{col 45}{space 1}   -1.84{col 54}{space 3}0.066{col 62}{space 4}-375.5957{col 75}{space 3} 11.94075
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}    -92.7{col 34}{space 2} 101.1213{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.359{col 62}{space 4}-291.0115{col 75}{space 3} 105.6115
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-117.4641{col 34}{space 2} 101.0773{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.245{col 62}{space 4}-315.6893{col 75}{space 3} 80.76116
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-222.6597{col 34}{space 2} 99.84729{col 45}{space 1}   -2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-418.4727{col 75}{space 3}-26.84675
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-75.03031{col 34}{space 2} 104.4936{col 45}{space 1}   -0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.473{col 62}{space 4}-279.9552{col 75}{space 3} 129.8946
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-75.41282{col 34}{space 2} 109.1684{col 45}{space 1}   -0.69{col 54}{space 3}0.490{col 62}{space 4}-289.5056{col 75}{space 3}   138.68
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-173.2974{col 34}{space 2}  100.061{col 45}{space 1}   -1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.083{col 62}{space 4}-369.5296{col 75}{space 3} 22.93478
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -96.9068{col 34}{space 2} 95.77247{col 45}{space 1}   -1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.312{col 62}{space 4}-284.7286{col 75}{space 3} 90.91496
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-161.9637{col 34}{space 2} 106.9135{col 45}{space 1}   -1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.130{col 62}{space 4}-371.6343{col 75}{space 3} 47.70695
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-80.71029{col 34}{space 2} 108.5575{col 45}{space 1}   -0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.457{col 62}{space 4}-293.6051{col 75}{space 3} 132.1845
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -102.618{col 34}{space 2} 104.2569{col 45}{space 1}   -0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.325{col 62}{space 4}-307.0788{col 75}{space 3} 101.8428
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.72981{col 34}{space 2} 105.5291{col 45}{space 1}   -0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.896{col 62}{space 4}-220.6855{col 75}{space 3} 193.2259
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-241.2324{col 34}{space 2}  101.543{col 45}{space 1}   -2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4}-440.3708{col 75}{space 3}-42.09392
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-62.66864{col 34}{space 2} 105.0393{col 45}{space 1}   -0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.551{col 62}{space 4}-268.6637{col 75}{space 3} 143.3264
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-64.04163{col 34}{space 2}  125.969{col 45}{space 1}   -0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.611{col 62}{space 4}-311.0825{col 75}{space 3} 182.9992
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-179.3202{col 34}{space 2} 97.64781{col 45}{space 1}   -1.84{col 54}{space 3}0.066{col 62}{space 4}-370.8197{col 75}{space 3} 12.17932
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-167.8119{col 34}{space 2}  95.6884{col 45}{space 1}   -1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.080{col 62}{space 4}-355.4688{col 75}{space 3} 19.84498
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-148.5133{col 34}{space 2} 96.84504{col 45}{space 1}   -1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.125{col 62}{space 4}-338.4385{col 75}{space 3}  41.4119
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-181.0676{col 34}{space 2} 102.2884{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.077{col 62}{space 4}-381.6679{col 75}{space 3} 19.53273
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-67.52508{col 34}{space 2} 118.3744{col 45}{space 1}   -0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.568{col 62}{space 4}-299.6721{col 75}{space 3} 164.6219
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -208.718{col 34}{space 2} 102.0878{col 45}{space 1}   -2.04{col 54}{space 3}0.041{col 62}{space 4} -408.925{col 75}{space 3}-8.511016
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-164.1821{col 34}{space 2} 99.92736{col 45}{space 1}   -1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.101{col 62}{space 4}-360.1521{col 75}{space 3} 31.78789
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-110.2996{col 34}{space 2} 95.84721{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.250{col 62}{space 4}-298.2679{col 75}{space 3} 77.66873
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-146.6879{col 34}{space 2} 94.95032{col 45}{space 1}   -1.54{col 54}{space 3}0.123{col 62}{space 4}-332.8973{col 75}{space 3} 39.52156
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-29.51216{col 34}{space 2} 120.7657{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.807{col 62}{space 4}-266.3488{col 75}{space 3} 207.3245
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 101.8085{col 34}{space 2} 97.18658{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.295{col 62}{space 4}-88.78654{col 75}{space 3} 292.4035
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 499.7035{col 34}{space 2} 86.43629{col 45}{space 1}    5.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 330.1911{col 75}{space 3} 669.2158
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 113.0847{col 34}{space 2} 110.7548{col 45}{space 1}    1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.307{col 62}{space 4}-104.1192{col 75}{space 3} 330.2887
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 625.9585{col 34}{space 2} 102.9422{col 45}{space 1}    6.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  424.076{col 75}{space 3}  827.841
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  409.217{col 34}{space 2} 105.5131{col 45}{space 1}    3.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 202.2926{col 75}{space 3} 616.1414
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 489.9555{col 34}{space 2}  84.8567{col 45}{space 1}    5.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  323.541{col 75}{space 3} 656.3701
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 375.3783{col 34}{space 2} 89.59076{col 45}{space 1}    4.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 199.6796{col 75}{space 3} 551.0769
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 142.4148{col 34}{space 2} 86.60617{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.100{col 62}{space 4}-27.43075{col 75}{space 3} 312.2603
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 709.0646{col 34}{space 2} 82.92929{col 45}{space 1}    8.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   546.43{col 75}{space 3} 871.6993
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 420.5844{col 34}{space 2} 102.1693{col 45}{space 1}    4.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 220.2177{col 75}{space 3} 620.9511
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 322.0241{col 34}{space 2} 101.5845{col 45}{space 1}    3.17{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 122.8042{col 75}{space 3}  521.244
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 290.5781{col 34}{space 2} 87.75967{col 45}{space 1}    3.31{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 118.4704{col 75}{space 3} 462.6858
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 623.8251{col 34}{space 2} 90.51955{col 45}{space 1}    6.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  446.305{col 75}{space 3} 801.3452
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 326.9814{col 34}{space 2} 108.9455{col 45}{space 1}    3.00{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 113.3257{col 75}{space 3} 540.6372
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 424.2802{col 34}{space 2} 96.73361{col 45}{space 1}    4.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 234.5735{col 75}{space 3} 613.9868
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 696.0961{col 34}{space 2} 97.06897{col 45}{space 1}    7.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 505.7317{col 75}{space 3} 886.4604
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 423.3959{col 34}{space 2} 93.50792{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 240.0152{col 75}{space 3} 606.7766
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 634.3008{col 34}{space 2} 92.32486{col 45}{space 1}    6.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 453.2402{col 75}{space 3} 815.3614
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 737.0256{col 34}{space 2} 97.46468{col 45}{space 1}    7.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 545.8852{col 75}{space 3}  928.166
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 670.4755{col 34}{space 2} 101.1238{col 45}{space 1}    6.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 472.1591{col 75}{space 3}  868.792
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 600.4385{col 34}{space 2} 92.81709{col 45}{space 1}    6.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 418.4126{col 75}{space 3} 782.4643
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 707.5131{col 34}{space 2} 94.17914{col 45}{space 1}    7.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 522.8161{col 75}{space 3} 892.2102
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 715.3795{col 34}{space 2} 97.48678{col 45}{space 1}    7.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 524.1958{col 75}{space 3} 906.5632
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 485.7693{col 34}{space 2} 96.76995{col 45}{space 1}    5.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 295.9914{col 75}{space 3} 675.5473
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 660.0575{col 34}{space 2} 84.14285{col 45}{space 1}    7.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 495.0429{col 75}{space 3} 825.0722
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 985.7719{col 34}{space 2} 93.70922{col 45}{space 1}   10.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 801.9965{col 75}{space 3} 1169.547
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 999.8084{col 34}{space 2} 144.1659{col 45}{space 1}    6.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 717.0811{col 75}{space 3} 1282.536
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 207.9232{col 34}{space 2}  96.5728{col 45}{space 1}    2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} 18.53191{col 75}{space 3} 397.3145
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  500.671{col 34}{space 2} 109.3097{col 45}{space 1}    4.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  286.301{col 75}{space 3} 715.0409
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 795.4385{col 34}{space 2} 98.92239{col 45}{space 1}    8.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 601.4393{col 75}{space 3} 989.4376
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 531.6622{col 34}{space 2}  133.564{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 269.7266{col 75}{space 3} 793.5978
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 825.3078{col 34}{space 2} 117.2743{col 45}{space 1}    7.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 595.3182{col 75}{space 3} 1055.297
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 295.3436{col 34}{space 2} 94.91689{col 45}{space 1}    3.11{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 109.1997{col 75}{space 3} 481.4874
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 150.9365{col 34}{space 2} 100.3368{col 45}{space 1}    1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.133{col 62}{space 4}-45.83655{col 75}{space 3} 347.7095
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  625.518{col 34}{space 2}  89.5322{col 45}{space 1}    6.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 449.9341{col 75}{space 3} 801.1018
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 470.8731{col 34}{space 2} 109.3613{col 45}{space 1}    4.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  256.402{col 75}{space 3} 685.3442
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 659.2028{col 34}{space 2} 107.7728{col 45}{space 1}    6.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  447.847{col 75}{space 3} 870.5586
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 960.3385{col 34}{space 2} 98.54737{col 45}{space 1}    9.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 767.0748{col 75}{space 3} 1153.602
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 636.9758{col 34}{space 2}  104.469{col 45}{space 1}    6.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 432.0991{col 75}{space 3} 841.8525
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  834.046{col 34}{space 2} 91.12489{col 45}{space 1}    9.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 655.3387{col 75}{space 3} 1012.753
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  661.705{col 34}{space 2} 94.67103{col 45}{space 1}    6.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.0433{col 75}{space 3} 847.3667
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 800.2763{col 34}{space 2} 108.7249{col 45}{space 1}    7.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 587.0532{col 75}{space 3} 1013.499
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 804.3684{col 34}{space 2}  106.861{col 45}{space 1}    7.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 594.8007{col 75}{space 3} 1013.936
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 440.6987{col 34}{space 2} 110.0824{col 45}{space 1}    4.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 224.8133{col 75}{space 3} 656.5841
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 403.2536{col 34}{space 2} 101.2825{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 204.6259{col 75}{space 3} 601.8813
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 890.9416{col 34}{space 2} 100.5489{col 45}{space 1}    8.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 693.7527{col 75}{space 3}  1088.13
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 463.9311{col 34}{space 2} 117.5511{col 45}{space 1}    3.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 233.3987{col 75}{space 3} 694.4634
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 792.8928{col 34}{space 2} 110.3097{col 45}{space 1}    7.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 576.5618{col 75}{space 3} 1009.224
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 640.0065{col 34}{space 2} 111.0564{col 45}{space 1}    5.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 422.2111{col 75}{space 3} 857.8018
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 840.5783{col 34}{space 2}  113.891{col 45}{space 1}    7.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 617.2239{col 75}{space 3} 1063.933
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 842.6395{col 34}{space 2} 112.0469{col 45}{space 1}    7.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 622.9017{col 75}{space 3} 1062.377
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1225.189{col 34}{space 2} 116.0986{col 45}{space 1}   10.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 997.5056{col 75}{space 3} 1452.873
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 681.0933{col 34}{space 2} 124.5624{col 45}{space 1}    5.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  436.811{col 75}{space 3} 925.3757
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1183.53{col 34}{space 2} 115.4536{col 45}{space 1}   10.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 957.1107{col 75}{space 3} 1409.949
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 613.0187{col 34}{space 2} 130.2202{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 357.6408{col 75}{space 3} 868.3967
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 615.8688{col 34}{space 2} 122.6795{col 45}{space 1}    5.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  375.279{col 75}{space 3} 856.4586
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  776.402{col 34}{space 2} 120.6206{col 45}{space 1}    6.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 539.8499{col 75}{space 3} 1012.954
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1038.167{col 34}{space 2} 133.5209{col 45}{space 1}    7.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.3162{col 75}{space 3} 1300.019
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 665.5788{col 34}{space 2} 139.8197{col 45}{space 1}    4.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  391.375{col 75}{space 3} 939.7826
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1181.976{col 34}{space 2} 146.8001{col 45}{space 1}    8.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 894.0823{col 75}{space 3} 1469.869
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 884.3018{col 34}{space 2} 137.5533{col 45}{space 1}    6.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 614.5427{col 75}{space 3} 1154.061
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 694.0339{col 34}{space 2}  150.389{col 45}{space 1}    4.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 399.1022{col 75}{space 3} 988.9655
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-111.8967{col 34}{space 2} 142.9853{col 45}{space 1}   -0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.434{col 62}{space 4}-392.3088{col 75}{space 3} 168.5153
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   1137.3{col 34}{space 2}  128.589{col 45}{space 1}    8.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 885.1213{col 75}{space 3}  1389.48
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-807.7751{col 34}{space 2} 315.0791{col 45}{space 1}   -2.56{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-1425.685{col 75}{space 3}-189.8657
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(1,174 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2045) ={res}   14.82
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2045) ={res}    7.47
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0006
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0491368{col 26}{space 2} 1.237175{col 37}{space 1}    0.04{col 46}{space 3}0.968{col 54}{space 4}-2.377117{col 67}{space 3}  2.47539
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-15.92128{col 26}{space 2} 13.79507{col 37}{space 1}   -1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.248{col 54}{space 4}-42.95913{col 67}{space 3} 11.11657
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.  
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,132{col 27} -8043.98{col 38}-7738.769{col 49}   115{col 58} 15707.54{col 69} 16358.99
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,132
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(114,      2017){col 67}= {res}      3.63
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1431252{col 29}{space 2} .0181179{col 40}{space 1}   -7.90{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.1786569{col 70}{space 3}-.1075935
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0000251{col 29}{space 2} .0002297{col 40}{space 1}   -0.11{col 49}{space 3}0.913{col 57}{space 4}-.0004756{col 70}{space 3} .0004254
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0468098{col 29}{space 2} .0142791{col 40}{space 1}    3.28{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} .0188066{col 70}{space 3} .0748131
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0019454{col 29}{space 2} .0007867{col 40}{space 1}   -2.47{col 49}{space 3}0.013{col 57}{space 4}-.0034883{col 70}{space 3}-.0004025
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2300024{col 29}{space 2} .0411446{col 40}{space 1}   -5.59{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3106928{col 70}{space 3} -.149312
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0001945{col 29}{space 2} .0008132{col 40}{space 1}   -0.24{col 49}{space 3}0.811{col 57}{space 4}-.0017892{col 70}{space 3} .0014003
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .021471{col 29}{space 2} .0104889{col 40}{space 1}    2.05{col 49}{space 3}0.041{col 57}{space 4} .0009007{col 70}{space 3} .0420412
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0002726{col 29}{space 2} .0008818{col 40}{space 1}    0.31{col 49}{space 3}0.757{col 57}{space 4}-.0014567{col 70}{space 3} .0020019
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.107157{col 29}{space 2} .0378561{col 40}{space 1}   -2.83{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-.1813982{col 70}{space 3}-.0329158
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0007363{col 29}{space 2} .0009708{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.448{col 57}{space 4}-.0026402{col 70}{space 3} .0011676
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2820123{col 29}{space 2} .6450679{col 40}{space 1}    0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.662{col 57}{space 4}-.9830567{col 70}{space 3} 1.547081
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3555125{col 29}{space 2} .4648473{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.444{col 57}{space 4}-1.267143{col 70}{space 3} .5561185
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8332619{col 29}{space 2} 1.056076{col 40}{space 1}    0.79{col 49}{space 3}0.430{col 57}{space 4}-1.237852{col 70}{space 3} 2.904376
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4827447{col 29}{space 2} .6769739{col 40}{space 1}   -0.71{col 49}{space 3}0.476{col 57}{space 4}-1.810386{col 70}{space 3} .8448963
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.605769{col 29}{space 2}  .860297{col 40}{space 1}    1.87{col 49}{space 3}0.062{col 57}{space 4}-.0813951{col 70}{space 3} 3.292932
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.627527{col 29}{space 2} .5519379{col 40}{space 1}   -2.95{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4}-2.709955{col 70}{space 3}-.5450991
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4576212{col 29}{space 2}    .8568{col 40}{space 1}    0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.593{col 57}{space 4}-1.222684{col 70}{space 3} 2.137927
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.096073{col 29}{space 2} 3.711427{col 40}{space 1}   -1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.270{col 57}{space 4} -11.3747{col 70}{space 3} 3.182558
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.855667{col 29}{space 2} 2.047964{col 40}{space 1}   -0.91{col 49}{space 3}0.365{col 57}{space 4}-5.872013{col 70}{space 3} 2.160678
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.105971{col 29}{space 2}  1.67396{col 40}{space 1}   -0.66{col 49}{space 3}0.509{col 57}{space 4}-4.388841{col 70}{space 3}   2.1769
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2731969{col 29}{space 2}  1.84442{col 40}{space 1}   -0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.882{col 57}{space 4}-3.890363{col 70}{space 3}  3.34397
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.381492{col 29}{space 2} 1.761273{col 40}{space 1}   -0.78{col 49}{space 3}0.433{col 57}{space 4}-4.835596{col 70}{space 3} 2.072611
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2266116{col 29}{space 2} 1.829734{col 40}{space 1}   -0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.901{col 57}{space 4}-3.814978{col 70}{space 3} 3.361754
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.695647{col 29}{space 2} 2.132825{col 40}{space 1}   -3.61{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-11.87842{col 70}{space 3}-3.512877
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.590348{col 29}{space 2} 2.524607{col 40}{space 1}   -1.82{col 49}{space 3}0.069{col 57}{space 4}-9.541458{col 70}{space 3}  .360761
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4341582{col 29}{space 2} 1.610636{col 40}{space 1}    0.27{col 49}{space 3}0.788{col 57}{space 4}-2.724526{col 70}{space 3} 3.592842
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.046896{col 29}{space 2} 1.992608{col 40}{space 1}   -0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.599{col 57}{space 4}-4.954681{col 70}{space 3} 2.860889
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.222624{col 29}{space 2} 2.081482{col 40}{space 1}   -0.59{col 49}{space 3}0.557{col 57}{space 4}-5.304703{col 70}{space 3} 2.859456
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.821019{col 29}{space 2} 2.032845{col 40}{space 1}   -1.39{col 49}{space 3}0.165{col 57}{space 4}-6.807714{col 70}{space 3} 1.165677
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6600189{col 29}{space 2} 2.269391{col 40}{space 1}   -0.29{col 49}{space 3}0.771{col 57}{space 4}-5.110615{col 70}{space 3} 3.790577
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.194243{col 29}{space 2} 2.260985{col 40}{space 1}   -2.74{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4}-10.62835{col 70}{space 3}-1.760133
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.056885{col 29}{space 2} 2.169572{col 40}{space 1}   -2.33{col 49}{space 3}0.020{col 57}{space 4}-9.311722{col 70}{space 3}-.8020487
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3956463{col 29}{space 2} 1.983164{col 40}{space 1}   -0.20{col 49}{space 3}0.842{col 57}{space 4} -4.28491{col 70}{space 3} 3.493617
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.344975{col 29}{space 2} 2.077288{col 40}{space 1}   -0.65{col 49}{space 3}0.517{col 57}{space 4}-5.418829{col 70}{space 3} 2.728879
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3033857{col 29}{space 2} 2.043713{col 40}{space 1}    0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.882{col 57}{space 4}-3.704624{col 70}{space 3} 4.311396
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5146307{col 29}{space 2} 2.243958{col 40}{space 1}   -0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.819{col 57}{space 4}-4.915348{col 70}{space 3} 3.886087
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.876139{col 29}{space 2} 1.885116{col 40}{space 1}   -1.53{col 49}{space 3}0.127{col 57}{space 4}-6.573118{col 70}{space 3} .8208392
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8928176{col 29}{space 2} 1.804371{col 40}{space 1}   -0.49{col 49}{space 3}0.621{col 57}{space 4}-4.431443{col 70}{space 3} 2.645808
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.807286{col 29}{space 2} 2.624178{col 40}{space 1}   -1.07{col 49}{space 3}0.285{col 57}{space 4}-7.953669{col 70}{space 3} 2.339097
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4028702{col 29}{space 2} 1.557027{col 40}{space 1}    0.26{col 49}{space 3}0.796{col 57}{space 4} -2.65068{col 70}{space 3}  3.45642
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.672519{col 29}{space 2} 2.689681{col 40}{space 1}   -1.37{col 49}{space 3}0.172{col 57}{space 4}-8.947362{col 70}{space 3} 1.602325
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.583381{col 29}{space 2} 2.023957{col 40}{space 1}   -0.78{col 49}{space 3}0.434{col 57}{space 4}-5.552646{col 70}{space 3} 2.385885
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.541218{col 29}{space 2} 2.122512{col 40}{space 1}   -0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.799{col 57}{space 4}-4.703762{col 70}{space 3} 3.621326
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5672797{col 29}{space 2} 1.762251{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.748{col 57}{space 4}-2.888743{col 70}{space 3} 4.023302
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.762494{col 29}{space 2} 2.372145{col 40}{space 1}   -2.43{col 49}{space 3}0.015{col 57}{space 4} -10.4146{col 70}{space 3}-1.110385
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.84541{col 29}{space 2} 2.408592{col 40}{space 1}   -1.60{col 49}{space 3}0.111{col 57}{space 4}-8.568998{col 70}{space 3} .8781778
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.895632{col 29}{space 2} 2.616346{col 40}{space 1}   -1.11{col 49}{space 3}0.269{col 57}{space 4}-8.026656{col 70}{space 3} 2.235391
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.287444{col 29}{space 2} 2.197516{col 40}{space 1}   -1.04{col 49}{space 3}0.298{col 57}{space 4}-6.597082{col 70}{space 3} 2.022194
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0258474{col 29}{space 2} 2.041022{col 40}{space 1}   -0.01{col 49}{space 3}0.990{col 57}{space 4}-4.028579{col 70}{space 3} 3.976885
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5276794{col 29}{space 2} 1.979369{col 40}{space 1}   -0.27{col 49}{space 3}0.790{col 57}{space 4}  -4.4095{col 70}{space 3} 3.354141
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.30418{col 29}{space 2}  1.90768{col 40}{space 1}   -1.73{col 49}{space 3}0.083{col 57}{space 4}-7.045409{col 70}{space 3} .4370496
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1948  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  8.66345{col 29}{space 2} 2.950303{col 40}{space 1}    2.94{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 2.877491{col 70}{space 3} 14.44941
{txt}{space 10}1949  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 26.36998{col 29}{space 2} 5.076543{col 40}{space 1}    5.19{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 16.41417{col 70}{space 3}  36.3258
{txt}{space 10}1950  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.45942{col 29}{space 2} 3.243696{col 40}{space 1}    3.53{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.098071{col 70}{space 3} 17.82076
{txt}{space 10}1951  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.422046{col 29}{space 2} 3.526857{col 40}{space 1}    2.39{col 49}{space 3}0.017{col 57}{space 4} 1.505382{col 70}{space 3} 15.33871
{txt}{space 10}1952  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.978039{col 29}{space 2} 3.227368{col 40}{space 1}    3.09{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.648717{col 70}{space 3} 16.30736
{txt}{space 10}1953  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.280716{col 29}{space 2}  4.21904{col 40}{space 1}    1.73{col 49}{space 3}0.085{col 57}{space 4} -.993415{col 70}{space 3} 15.55485
{txt}{space 10}1954  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.994066{col 29}{space 2} 3.192042{col 40}{space 1}    3.13{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.734021{col 70}{space 3} 16.25411
{txt}{space 10}1955  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.60916{col 29}{space 2} 4.135293{col 40}{space 1}    4.26{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.499269{col 70}{space 3} 25.71905
{txt}{space 10}1956  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.62091{col 29}{space 2} 3.294403{col 40}{space 1}    3.53{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.160121{col 70}{space 3}  18.0817
{txt}{space 10}1957  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.75183{col 29}{space 2}   4.3932{col 40}{space 1}    3.81{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.136143{col 70}{space 3} 25.36751
{txt}{space 10}1958  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.41405{col 29}{space 2} 3.347071{col 40}{space 1}    3.71{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.849972{col 70}{space 3} 18.97813
{txt}{space 10}1959  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.49829{col 29}{space 2} 4.514464{col 40}{space 1}    3.88{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.644791{col 70}{space 3} 26.35179
{txt}{space 10}1960  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.98398{col 29}{space 2} 3.396615{col 40}{space 1}    3.82{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.322744{col 70}{space 3} 19.64523
{txt}{space 10}1961  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.89982{col 29}{space 2} 4.181768{col 40}{space 1}    3.08{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.698787{col 70}{space 3} 21.10086
{txt}{space 10}1962  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.33152{col 29}{space 2} 3.340081{col 40}{space 1}    3.99{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.781147{col 70}{space 3} 19.88189
{txt}{space 10}1963  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.11616{col 29}{space 2} 3.652989{col 40}{space 1}    3.32{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.952131{col 70}{space 3} 19.28018
{txt}{space 10}1964  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.55724{col 29}{space 2} 3.364626{col 40}{space 1}    3.73{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.958736{col 70}{space 3} 19.15575
{txt}{space 10}1965  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  15.8935{col 29}{space 2} 4.166881{col 40}{space 1}    3.81{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.721657{col 70}{space 3} 24.06534
{txt}{space 10}1966  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.95367{col 29}{space 2} 3.474461{col 40}{space 1}    3.73{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.139764{col 70}{space 3} 19.76758
{txt}{space 10}1967  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  15.2881{col 29}{space 2} 5.279641{col 40}{space 1}    2.90{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} 4.933984{col 70}{space 3} 25.64222
{txt}{space 10}1968  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.32996{col 29}{space 2} 3.469811{col 40}{space 1}    3.84{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.525173{col 70}{space 3} 20.13475
{txt}{space 10}1969  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.88494{col 29}{space 2} 3.997947{col 40}{space 1}    3.22{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.044398{col 70}{space 3} 20.72547
{txt}{space 10}1970  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.51017{col 29}{space 2} 3.323163{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  5.99298{col 70}{space 3} 19.02736
{txt}{space 10}1971  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.66134{col 29}{space 2} 3.866135{col 40}{space 1}    4.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  11.0793{col 70}{space 3} 26.24337
{txt}{space 10}1972  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  15.4032{col 29}{space 2} 3.604242{col 40}{space 1}    4.27{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.334774{col 70}{space 3} 22.47163
{txt}{space 10}1973  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.01058{col 29}{space 2} 4.146584{col 40}{space 1}    3.38{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}  5.87854{col 70}{space 3} 22.14261
{txt}{space 10}1974  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.17648{col 29}{space 2} 3.671937{col 40}{space 1}    3.32{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.975294{col 70}{space 3} 19.37766
{txt}{space 10}1975  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.51762{col 29}{space 2} 4.677149{col 40}{space 1}    2.25{col 49}{space 3}0.025{col 57}{space 4} 1.345074{col 70}{space 3} 19.69017
{txt}{space 10}1976  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.08562{col 29}{space 2}  3.64098{col 40}{space 1}    3.87{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.945143{col 70}{space 3} 21.22609
{txt}{space 10}1977  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.03904{col 29}{space 2} 4.229292{col 40}{space 1}    2.85{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} 3.744807{col 70}{space 3} 20.33328
{txt}{space 10}1978  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.72426{col 29}{space 2} 3.646582{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.572801{col 70}{space 3} 20.87572
{txt}{space 10}1979  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  13.2287{col 29}{space 2} 3.935493{col 40}{space 1}    3.36{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.510648{col 70}{space 3} 20.94676
{txt}{space 10}1980  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.83105{col 29}{space 2} 3.567309{col 40}{space 1}    3.60{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.835052{col 70}{space 3} 19.82704
{txt}{space 10}1981  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.60174{col 29}{space 2}  3.98017{col 40}{space 1}    3.67{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.796062{col 70}{space 3} 22.40741
{txt}{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.61134{col 29}{space 2} 3.677719{col 40}{space 1}    3.70{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.398819{col 70}{space 3} 20.82387
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.26519{col 29}{space 2} 4.043632{col 40}{space 1}    3.28{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}  5.33506{col 70}{space 3} 21.19533
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.40367{col 29}{space 2}  3.63173{col 40}{space 1}    3.97{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.281332{col 70}{space 3}   21.526
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.82464{col 29}{space 2} 3.983888{col 40}{space 1}    3.72{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.011671{col 70}{space 3}  22.6376
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.31566{col 29}{space 2} 3.605195{col 40}{space 1}    3.97{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.245368{col 70}{space 3} 21.38596
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.55247{col 29}{space 2} 3.779915{col 40}{space 1}    4.38{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.139527{col 70}{space 3} 23.96542
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.25913{col 29}{space 2} 3.640926{col 40}{space 1}    3.92{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  7.11876{col 70}{space 3}  21.3995
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.07756{col 29}{space 2} 3.867916{col 40}{space 1}    4.16{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.492034{col 70}{space 3} 23.66309
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  13.8305{col 29}{space 2} 3.663442{col 40}{space 1}    3.78{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.645976{col 70}{space 3} 21.01503
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.79241{col 29}{space 2} 4.022958{col 40}{space 1}    3.93{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  7.90282{col 70}{space 3} 23.68199
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.30456{col 29}{space 2} 3.805522{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}   6.8414{col 70}{space 3} 21.76773
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.10178{col 29}{space 2} 4.127172{col 40}{space 1}    3.42{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 6.007819{col 70}{space 3} 22.19575
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.82299{col 29}{space 2} 3.821509{col 40}{space 1}    3.88{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.328475{col 70}{space 3} 22.31751
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.81956{col 29}{space 2} 4.322363{col 40}{space 1}    2.50{col 49}{space 3}0.012{col 57}{space 4} 2.342794{col 70}{space 3} 19.29632
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.66903{col 29}{space 2} 3.802714{col 40}{space 1}    3.86{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.211369{col 70}{space 3} 22.12669
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  12.3624{col 29}{space 2} 4.115511{col 40}{space 1}    3.00{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 4.291299{col 70}{space 3} 20.43349
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  15.0273{col 29}{space 2} 3.926019{col 40}{space 1}    3.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.327826{col 70}{space 3} 22.72678
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.25623{col 29}{space 2} 4.087603{col 40}{space 1}    3.49{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.239861{col 70}{space 3} 22.27259
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.13153{col 29}{space 2} 3.981126{col 40}{space 1}    3.80{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.323984{col 70}{space 3} 22.93908
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.56009{col 29}{space 2}  4.14543{col 40}{space 1}    3.27{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.430314{col 70}{space 3} 21.68986
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  14.1635{col 29}{space 2} 4.045383{col 40}{space 1}    3.50{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.229934{col 70}{space 3} 22.09707
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.47726{col 29}{space 2} 4.147316{col 40}{space 1}    3.01{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 4.343785{col 70}{space 3} 20.61073
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.40508{col 29}{space 2} 4.156646{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 6.253314{col 70}{space 3} 22.55685
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.71522{col 29}{space 2} 4.206469{col 40}{space 1}    3.02{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 4.465743{col 70}{space 3}  20.9647
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.38672{col 29}{space 2} 4.173042{col 40}{space 1}    3.45{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 6.202798{col 70}{space 3} 22.57065
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.84247{col 29}{space 2} 4.458489{col 40}{space 1}    3.10{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 5.098747{col 70}{space 3}  22.5862
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.34767{col 29}{space 2} 4.266631{col 40}{space 1}    3.13{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.980205{col 70}{space 3} 21.71513
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.272728{col 29}{space 2} 4.399605{col 40}{space 1}    2.11{col 49}{space 3}0.035{col 57}{space 4} .6444831{col 70}{space 3} 17.90097
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.143774{col 29}{space 2} 4.980855{col 40}{space 1}    1.84{col 49}{space 3}0.067{col 57}{space 4} -.624383{col 70}{space 3} 18.91193
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9988581{col 29}{space 2} 4.487694{col 40}{space 1}   -0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.824{col 57}{space 4}-9.799858{col 70}{space 3} 7.802142
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(1,207 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2017) ={res}   62.40
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2017) ={res}   31.24
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0026035{col 26}{space 2} .0014565{col 37}{space 1}   -1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.074{col 54}{space 4}  -.00546{col 67}{space 3} .0002529
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001754{col 26}{space 2} .0016042{col 37}{space 1}   -0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.913{col 54}{space 4}-.0033195{col 67}{space 3} .0029688
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.B: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 -1980) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,114{col 27}-8264.731{col 38}-7827.436{col 49}    91{col 58} 15836.87{col 69}  16293.3
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,114
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 90,      1023){col 67}= {res}     22.32
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2083411{col 34}{space 2} .0400427{col 45}{space 1}   -5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2869164{col 75}{space 3}-.1297659
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.31981{col 34}{space 2} .7497257{col 45}{space 1}   -1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-2.790986{col 75}{space 3} .1513659
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3685358{col 34}{space 2} .1141203{col 45}{space 1}    3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .1445993{col 75}{space 3} .5924724
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.769145{col 34}{space 2} .9765101{col 45}{space 1}   -1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.070{col 62}{space 4}-3.685336{col 75}{space 3} .1470469
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0626777{col 34}{space 2} .0740045{col 45}{space 1}   -0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.397{col 62}{space 4}-.2078958{col 75}{space 3} .0825403
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.470809{col 34}{space 2}  1.02837{col 45}{space 1}    2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} .4528538{col 75}{space 3} 4.488764
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0230595{col 34}{space 2} .0634462{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.716{col 62}{space 4}-.1475591{col 75}{space 3} .1014402
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0074736{col 34}{space 2} .9751624{col 45}{space 1}   -0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.994{col 62}{space 4}-1.921021{col 75}{space 3} 1.906074
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0669267{col 34}{space 2} .0492306{col 45}{space 1}    1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.174{col 62}{space 4}-.0296777{col 75}{space 3} .1635312
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8836377{col 34}{space 2}  .924978{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.340{col 62}{space 4}-.9314334{col 75}{space 3} 2.698709
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-219.0655{col 34}{space 2} 229.6853{col 45}{space 1}   -0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.340{col 62}{space 4}-669.7738{col 75}{space 3} 231.6428
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-54.09345{col 34}{space 2} 342.5891{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4}-726.3511{col 75}{space 3} 618.1642
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-22.27561{col 34}{space 2}  69.5744{col 45}{space 1}   -0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.749{col 62}{space 4}-158.8004{col 75}{space 3} 114.2492
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 246.1323{col 34}{space 2} 209.3957{col 45}{space 1}    1.18{col 54}{space 3}0.240{col 62}{space 4}-164.7619{col 75}{space 3} 657.0265
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 312.0856{col 34}{space 2} 289.7554{col 45}{space 1}    1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.282{col 62}{space 4}-256.4973{col 75}{space 3} 880.6684
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-112.6705{col 34}{space 2} 726.6006{col 45}{space 1}   -0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.877{col 62}{space 4}-1538.469{col 75}{space 3} 1313.127
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  680.787{col 34}{space 2} 599.5162{col 45}{space 1}    1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.256{col 62}{space 4}-495.6351{col 75}{space 3} 1857.209
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5219.458{col 34}{space 2} 1546.202{col 45}{space 1}    3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 2185.368{col 75}{space 3} 8253.548
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 43.10758{col 34}{space 2}  29.4427{col 45}{space 1}    1.46{col 54}{space 3}0.143{col 62}{space 4}-14.66741{col 75}{space 3} 100.8826
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-17.59562{col 34}{space 2} 31.90585{col 45}{space 1}   -0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.581{col 62}{space 4}-80.20401{col 75}{space 3} 45.01276
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-24.50319{col 34}{space 2} 34.96941{col 45}{space 1}   -0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.484{col 62}{space 4}-93.12316{col 75}{space 3} 44.11678
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.81613{col 34}{space 2} 36.32113{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.585{col 62}{space 4}-51.45631{col 75}{space 3} 91.08857
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.67377{col 34}{space 2} 30.79729{col 45}{space 1}   -0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.657{col 62}{space 4}-74.10684{col 75}{space 3}  46.7593
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-50.20474{col 34}{space 2} 40.66627{col 45}{space 1}   -1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.217{col 62}{space 4}-130.0036{col 75}{space 3}  29.5941
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1222.367{col 34}{space 2} 340.1128{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1889.766{col 75}{space 3}-554.9687
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-697.4456{col 34}{space 2} 286.5906{col 45}{space 1}   -2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4}-1259.818{col 75}{space 3} -135.073
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1054.132{col 34}{space 2} 328.1421{col 45}{space 1}   -3.21{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1698.041{col 75}{space 3}-410.2238
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-627.2899{col 34}{space 2} 285.3209{col 45}{space 1}   -2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4}-1187.171{col 75}{space 3}-67.40875
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-712.4274{col 34}{space 2}  286.896{col 45}{space 1}   -2.48{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-1275.399{col 75}{space 3}-149.4556
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-663.1243{col 34}{space 2}  291.195{col 45}{space 1}   -2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4}-1234.532{col 75}{space 3}-91.71655
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1253.85{col 34}{space 2} 354.4846{col 45}{space 1}   -3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -1949.45{col 75}{space 3}-558.2502
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-783.0477{col 34}{space 2} 291.6141{col 45}{space 1}   -2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1355.278{col 75}{space 3}-210.8175
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1099.405{col 34}{space 2} 320.0193{col 45}{space 1}   -3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1727.374{col 75}{space 3}-471.4355
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1097.587{col 34}{space 2} 340.0965{col 45}{space 1}   -3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1764.953{col 75}{space 3}-430.2206
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1131.68{col 34}{space 2} 335.2093{col 45}{space 1}   -3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1789.456{col 75}{space 3}-473.9033
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1440.92{col 34}{space 2} 358.4757{col 45}{space 1}   -4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2144.352{col 75}{space 3}-737.4885
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-924.1851{col 34}{space 2} 306.6496{col 45}{space 1}   -3.01{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-1525.919{col 75}{space 3}-322.4511
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-965.1906{col 34}{space 2} 309.0936{col 45}{space 1}   -3.12{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1571.721{col 75}{space 3}-358.6607
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-933.5246{col 34}{space 2}  301.127{col 45}{space 1}   -3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1524.422{col 75}{space 3}-342.6273
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1062.466{col 34}{space 2} 324.4275{col 45}{space 1}   -3.27{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1699.086{col 75}{space 3}-425.8471
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1129.178{col 34}{space 2} 341.3755{col 45}{space 1}   -3.31{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1799.054{col 75}{space 3}-459.3022
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-613.1401{col 34}{space 2} 288.4951{col 45}{space 1}   -2.13{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} -1179.25{col 75}{space 3}-47.03021
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1152.748{col 34}{space 2} 329.0332{col 45}{space 1}   -3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1798.405{col 75}{space 3}-507.0906
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-750.9568{col 34}{space 2} 288.6407{col 45}{space 1}   -2.60{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-1317.352{col 75}{space 3}-184.5613
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1435.141{col 34}{space 2} 367.5505{col 45}{space 1}   -3.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -2156.38{col 75}{space 3} -713.902
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-739.1835{col 34}{space 2}  286.989{col 45}{space 1}   -2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-1302.338{col 75}{space 3}-176.0291
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1265.221{col 34}{space 2} 397.7485{col 45}{space 1}   -3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-2045.718{col 75}{space 3}-484.7252
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1023.327{col 34}{space 2} 310.7416{col 45}{space 1}   -3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1633.091{col 75}{space 3}-413.5634
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1044.751{col 34}{space 2} 312.5757{col 45}{space 1}   -3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1658.114{col 75}{space 3}-431.3879
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1048.945{col 34}{space 2} 313.3753{col 45}{space 1}   -3.35{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1663.877{col 75}{space 3}-434.0134
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1143.129{col 34}{space 2} 325.2385{col 45}{space 1}   -3.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -1781.34{col 75}{space 3}-504.9187
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1284.905{col 34}{space 2} 396.9923{col 45}{space 1}   -3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2063.917{col 75}{space 3}-505.8926
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1314.934{col 34}{space 2} 349.5325{col 45}{space 1}   -3.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2000.817{col 75}{space 3}-629.0515
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1372.804{col 34}{space 2} 355.9466{col 45}{space 1}   -3.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2071.273{col 75}{space 3}-674.3357
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -915.561{col 34}{space 2} 302.9864{col 45}{space 1}   -3.02{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-1510.107{col 75}{space 3}-321.0152
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1081.662{col 34}{space 2} 320.8596{col 45}{space 1}   -3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} -1711.28{col 75}{space 3}-452.0434
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-887.6489{col 34}{space 2} 327.8454{col 45}{space 1}   -2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1530.975{col 75}{space 3}-244.3226
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 361.8866{col 34}{space 2} 96.84278{col 45}{space 1}    3.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 171.8534{col 75}{space 3} 551.9198
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.028173{col 34}{space 2} 162.9841{col 45}{space 1}   -0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.995{col 62}{space 4}-320.8496{col 75}{space 3} 318.7933
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 557.0391{col 34}{space 2} 156.2898{col 45}{space 1}    3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 250.3538{col 75}{space 3} 863.7244
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 351.8022{col 34}{space 2}  169.661{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.038{col 62}{space 4} 18.87892{col 75}{space 3} 684.7254
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 448.8071{col 34}{space 2} 125.8277{col 45}{space 1}    3.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 201.8972{col 75}{space 3} 695.7171
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 391.8152{col 34}{space 2} 133.3807{col 45}{space 1}    2.94{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 130.0841{col 75}{space 3} 653.5463
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 163.9478{col 34}{space 2} 130.9217{col 45}{space 1}    1.25{col 54}{space 3}0.211{col 62}{space 4}-92.95804{col 75}{space 3} 420.8536
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 728.1969{col 34}{space 2} 114.7016{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 503.1195{col 75}{space 3} 953.2743
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 464.9385{col 34}{space 2} 165.1048{col 45}{space 1}    2.82{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 140.9558{col 75}{space 3} 788.9212
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 440.5882{col 34}{space 2}  150.603{col 45}{space 1}    2.93{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}  145.062{col 75}{space 3} 736.1143
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 409.7995{col 34}{space 2} 125.3566{col 45}{space 1}    3.27{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 163.8141{col 75}{space 3} 655.7849
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 714.3313{col 34}{space 2} 114.7527{col 45}{space 1}    6.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 489.1537{col 75}{space 3} 939.5089
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 466.3539{col 34}{space 2} 170.1783{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 132.4154{col 75}{space 3} 800.2923
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 604.7111{col 34}{space 2}  150.388{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 309.6069{col 75}{space 3} 899.8153
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 905.8425{col 34}{space 2} 151.7424{col 45}{space 1}    5.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 608.0806{col 75}{space 3} 1203.604
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 611.2874{col 34}{space 2} 165.9575{col 45}{space 1}    3.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 285.6314{col 75}{space 3} 936.9435
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 879.8659{col 34}{space 2} 153.6009{col 45}{space 1}    5.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 578.4572{col 75}{space 3} 1181.275
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1017.321{col 34}{space 2} 182.8302{col 45}{space 1}    5.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 658.5555{col 75}{space 3} 1376.086
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 995.1232{col 34}{space 2} 190.4667{col 45}{space 1}    5.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 621.3732{col 75}{space 3} 1368.873
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1027.435{col 34}{space 2} 187.1612{col 45}{space 1}    5.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 660.1711{col 75}{space 3} 1394.699
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1172.853{col 34}{space 2} 189.5116{col 45}{space 1}    6.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 800.9772{col 75}{space 3} 1544.729
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1214.093{col 34}{space 2}  209.169{col 45}{space 1}    5.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 803.6439{col 75}{space 3} 1624.543
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1055.216{col 34}{space 2} 217.9934{col 45}{space 1}    4.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 627.4511{col 75}{space 3} 1482.982
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1270.231{col 34}{space 2} 206.9074{col 45}{space 1}    6.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 864.2198{col 75}{space 3} 1676.243
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1604.238{col 34}{space 2} 231.9252{col 45}{space 1}    6.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1149.134{col 75}{space 3} 2059.341
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1708.009{col 34}{space 2} 295.2177{col 45}{space 1}    5.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1128.708{col 75}{space 3}  2287.31
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1023.71{col 34}{space 2} 252.0707{col 45}{space 1}    4.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 529.0755{col 75}{space 3} 1518.345
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1334.341{col 34}{space 2} 193.9036{col 45}{space 1}    6.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 953.8465{col 75}{space 3} 1714.835
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1570.472{col 34}{space 2} 224.9047{col 45}{space 1}    6.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1129.145{col 75}{space 3} 2011.799
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1397.02{col 34}{space 2} 299.8674{col 45}{space 1}    4.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 808.5945{col 75}{space 3} 1985.446
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1784.542{col 34}{space 2} 305.7223{col 45}{space 1}    5.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1184.628{col 75}{space 3} 2384.457
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1280.297{col 34}{space 2}  292.724{col 45}{space 1}    4.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 705.8887{col 75}{space 3} 1854.705
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1136.205{col 34}{space 2} 244.1957{col 45}{space 1}    4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 657.0229{col 75}{space 3} 1615.386
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1566.028{col 34}{space 2} 774.4745{col 45}{space 1}    2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.043{col 62}{space 4} 46.28791{col 75}{space 3} 3085.768
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,225 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1023) ={res}   27.07
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1023) ={res}   13.54
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.577828{col 26}{space 2} 2.050481{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.442{col 54}{space 4}-2.445801{col 67}{space 3} 5.601458
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.334851{col 26}{space 2} 3.404498{col 37}{space 1}   -1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}-13.00755{col 67}{space 3} .3378432
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year <= 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 7.846587       2.666667
{txt} 5%    {res}       26       2.666667
{txt}10%    {res} 35.50606       4.966588       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,114
{txt}25%    {res} 57.77778       4.966588       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,114

{txt}50%    {res} 74.53704                      {txt}Mean          {res}  69.9198
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 22.75969
{txt}75%    {res} 88.33333            100
{txt}90%    {res}       96            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 518.0034
{txt}95%    {res} 98.35601            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.7973981
{txt}99%    {res} 99.78022            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.937864
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*88  - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*57.88889

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*88 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*57.88889

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-190.7494{col 26}{space 2} 102.5132{col 37}{space 1}   -1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}-391.6716{col 67}{space 3} 10.17284
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.  
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,114{col 27}-4426.824{col 38}-4221.846{col 49}    85{col 58} 8613.692{col 69} 9040.027
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,114
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 84,      1029){col 67}= {res}      4.14
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  -.20094{col 29}{space 2} .0321779{col 40}{space 1}   -6.24{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2640818{col 70}{space 3}-.1377982
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.001287{col 29}{space 2} .0008514{col 40}{space 1}   -1.51{col 49}{space 3}0.131{col 57}{space 4}-.0029577{col 70}{space 3} .0003836
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0936246{col 29}{space 2} .0230615{col 40}{space 1}    4.06{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0483716{col 70}{space 3} .1388776
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0028357{col 29}{space 2} .0013076{col 40}{space 1}   -2.17{col 49}{space 3}0.030{col 57}{space 4}-.0054016{col 70}{space 3}-.0002698
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2708617{col 29}{space 2} .0523568{col 40}{space 1}   -5.17{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3736001{col 70}{space 3}-.1681234
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0003254{col 29}{space 2} .0014736{col 40}{space 1}    0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.825{col 57}{space 4}-.0025663{col 70}{space 3}  .003217
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0553824{col 29}{space 2} .0150295{col 40}{space 1}    3.68{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0258903{col 70}{space 3} .0848744
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0007489{col 29}{space 2} .0012632{col 40}{space 1}    0.59{col 49}{space 3}0.553{col 57}{space 4}-.0017299{col 70}{space 3} .0032277
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1361142{col 29}{space 2} .0469637{col 40}{space 1}   -2.90{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4}-.2282699{col 70}{space 3}-.0439586
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0012114{col 29}{space 2} .0014998{col 40}{space 1}    0.81{col 49}{space 3}0.419{col 57}{space 4}-.0017316{col 70}{space 3} .0041544
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.094407{col 29}{space 2} 1.168462{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.349{col 57}{space 4}-1.198433{col 70}{space 3} 3.387247
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8486481{col 29}{space 2} .7862642{col 40}{space 1}   -1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.281{col 57}{space 4}-2.391513{col 70}{space 3} .6942162
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.427114{col 29}{space 2} 1.977805{col 40}{space 1}   -1.23{col 49}{space 3}0.220{col 57}{space 4}-6.308105{col 70}{space 3} 1.453877
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.256051{col 29}{space 2} 1.141804{col 40}{space 1}    1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.272{col 57}{space 4}  -.98448{col 70}{space 3} 3.496581
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.607569{col 29}{space 2} 1.421012{col 40}{space 1}    1.13{col 49}{space 3}0.258{col 57}{space 4}-1.180842{col 70}{space 3} 4.395981
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.360061{col 29}{space 2} .8909333{col 40}{space 1}   -1.53{col 49}{space 3}0.127{col 57}{space 4}-3.108314{col 70}{space 3}  .388193
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1783136{col 29}{space 2} 1.466367{col 40}{space 1}   -0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.903{col 57}{space 4}-3.055724{col 70}{space 3} 2.699097
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.962673{col 29}{space 2} 4.581447{col 40}{space 1}   -1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.279{col 57}{space 4}-13.95272{col 70}{space 3} 4.027374
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.983626{col 29}{space 2} 5.250658{col 40}{space 1}   -1.52{col 49}{space 3}0.129{col 57}{space 4}-18.28685{col 70}{space 3} 2.319594
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.208047{col 29}{space 2} 3.553173{col 40}{space 1}   -0.90{col 49}{space 3}0.367{col 57}{space 4}-10.18034{col 70}{space 3} 3.764245
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.278223{col 29}{space 2}  4.42506{col 40}{space 1}   -0.97{col 49}{space 3}0.334{col 57}{space 4} -12.9614{col 70}{space 3} 4.404949
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.295148{col 29}{space 2} 3.664172{col 40}{space 1}   -1.17{col 49}{space 3}0.241{col 57}{space 4}-11.48525{col 70}{space 3} 2.894955
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.458746{col 29}{space 2} 3.677724{col 40}{space 1}   -0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.347{col 57}{space 4}-10.67544{col 70}{space 3} 3.757949
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.499129{col 29}{space 2} 3.499676{col 40}{space 1}   -2.14{col 49}{space 3}0.032{col 57}{space 4}-14.36644{col 70}{space 3}-.6318131
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.474293{col 29}{space 2} 5.354219{col 40}{space 1}   -1.40{col 49}{space 3}0.163{col 57}{space 4}-17.98073{col 70}{space 3} 3.032141
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.176825{col 29}{space 2} 3.545864{col 40}{space 1}   -0.61{col 49}{space 3}0.539{col 57}{space 4}-9.134775{col 70}{space 3} 4.781124
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.718479{col 29}{space 2} 4.860233{col 40}{space 1}   -1.18{col 49}{space 3}0.240{col 57}{space 4}-15.25558{col 70}{space 3}  3.81862
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.787795{col 29}{space 2} 5.124806{col 40}{space 1}   -1.71{col 49}{space 3}0.087{col 57}{space 4}-18.84406{col 70}{space 3} 1.268468
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.731821{col 29}{space 2} 5.251461{col 40}{space 1}   -1.66{col 49}{space 3}0.097{col 57}{space 4}-19.03662{col 70}{space 3} 1.572973
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -9.38409{col 29}{space 2} 5.956709{col 40}{space 1}   -1.58{col 49}{space 3}0.115{col 57}{space 4}-21.07277{col 70}{space 3} 2.304593
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.97015{col 29}{space 2} 4.405573{col 40}{space 1}   -2.49{col 49}{space 3}0.013{col 57}{space 4}-19.61508{col 70}{space 3}-2.325216
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.540222{col 29}{space 2}  4.46634{col 40}{space 1}   -1.69{col 49}{space 3}0.092{col 57}{space 4} -16.3044{col 70}{space 3} 1.223953
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.547201{col 29}{space 2} 4.314173{col 40}{space 1}   -1.05{col 49}{space 3}0.292{col 57}{space 4}-13.01278{col 70}{space 3} 3.918382
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.367233{col 29}{space 2} 4.736839{col 40}{space 1}   -1.34{col 49}{space 3}0.179{col 57}{space 4} -15.6622{col 70}{space 3} 2.927735
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.834021{col 29}{space 2}  4.73969{col 40}{space 1}   -0.81{col 49}{space 3}0.419{col 57}{space 4}-13.13458{col 70}{space 3}  5.46654
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.072025{col 29}{space 2}  4.08671{col 40}{space 1}   -0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.452{col 57}{space 4}-11.09126{col 70}{space 3} 4.947211
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.158957{col 29}{space 2} 4.940073{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.099{col 57}{space 4}-17.85272{col 70}{space 3} 1.534811
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.999879{col 29}{space 2} 3.801637{col 40}{space 1}   -1.32{col 49}{space 3}0.189{col 57}{space 4}-12.45972{col 70}{space 3} 2.459966
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.36278{col 29}{space 2} 6.184703{col 40}{space 1}   -1.84{col 49}{space 3}0.066{col 57}{space 4}-23.49885{col 70}{space 3} .7732936
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.093238{col 29}{space 2} 3.627132{col 40}{space 1}   -0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.564{col 57}{space 4}-9.210658{col 70}{space 3} 5.024182
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.50075{col 29}{space 2} 6.207111{col 40}{space 1}   -2.01{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4}-24.68079{col 70}{space 3}-.3207088
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.852317{col 29}{space 2}   4.4609{col 40}{space 1}   -1.31{col 49}{space 3}0.190{col 57}{space 4}-14.60582{col 70}{space 3} 2.901183
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.776782{col 29}{space 2} 4.664673{col 40}{space 1}   -1.24{col 49}{space 3}0.216{col 57}{space 4}-14.93014{col 70}{space 3} 3.376576
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.158367{col 29}{space 2}  4.34551{col 40}{space 1}   -0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.468{col 57}{space 4}-11.68544{col 70}{space 3} 5.368707
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.890093{col 29}{space 2}  4.84104{col 40}{space 1}   -2.04{col 49}{space 3}0.041{col 57}{space 4}-19.38953{col 70}{space 3}-.3906557
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.52683{col 29}{space 2} 6.198489{col 40}{space 1}   -1.70{col 49}{space 3}0.090{col 57}{space 4}-22.68995{col 70}{space 3} 1.636296
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.998941{col 29}{space 2} 5.660697{col 40}{space 1}   -1.06{col 49}{space 3}0.290{col 57}{space 4}-17.10677{col 70}{space 3} 5.108885
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.16856{col 29}{space 2} 5.771942{col 40}{space 1}   -2.11{col 49}{space 3}0.035{col 57}{space 4}-23.49468{col 70}{space 3}-.8424381
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.990147{col 29}{space 2} 4.346743{col 40}{space 1}   -0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.647{col 57}{space 4}-10.51964{col 70}{space 3} 6.539346
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.204591{col 29}{space 2} 4.699785{col 40}{space 1}   -1.32{col 49}{space 3}0.187{col 57}{space 4}-15.42685{col 70}{space 3} 3.017667
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.931273{col 29}{space 2} 4.336858{col 40}{space 1}   -1.37{col 49}{space 3}0.172{col 57}{space 4}-14.44137{col 70}{space 3} 2.578823
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1948  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.882334{col 29}{space 2}  3.05335{col 40}{space 1}    2.91{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} 2.890832{col 70}{space 3} 14.87384
{txt}{space 10}1949  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 26.49033{col 29}{space 2} 5.020291{col 40}{space 1}    5.28{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 16.63916{col 70}{space 3} 36.34151
{txt}{space 10}1950  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.73477{col 29}{space 2} 3.473283{col 40}{space 1}    3.67{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.919244{col 70}{space 3}  19.5503
{txt}{space 10}1951  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  10.1647{col 29}{space 2} 3.800822{col 40}{space 1}    2.67{col 49}{space 3}0.008{col 57}{space 4} 2.706452{col 70}{space 3} 17.62295
{txt}{space 10}1952  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.59138{col 29}{space 2} 3.364466{col 40}{space 1}    3.15{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.989386{col 70}{space 3} 17.19338
{txt}{space 10}1953  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.343581{col 29}{space 2}  4.54546{col 40}{space 1}    1.62{col 49}{space 3}0.106{col 57}{space 4}-1.575849{col 70}{space 3} 16.26301
{txt}{space 10}1954  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.45869{col 29}{space 2} 3.340915{col 40}{space 1}    3.13{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.902903{col 70}{space 3} 17.01447
{txt}{space 10}1955  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.00602{col 29}{space 2}  3.94716{col 40}{space 1}    4.56{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.26062{col 70}{space 3} 25.75142
{txt}{space 10}1956  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.92609{col 29}{space 2} 3.475457{col 40}{space 1}    3.72{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.106294{col 70}{space 3} 19.74588
{txt}{space 10}1957  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.95004{col 29}{space 2} 4.489047{col 40}{space 1}    4.22{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.14131{col 70}{space 3} 27.75877
{txt}{space 10}1958  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.36911{col 29}{space 2} 3.488517{col 40}{space 1}    3.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.523692{col 70}{space 3} 20.21453
{txt}{space 10}1959  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.78769{col 29}{space 2} 4.832435{col 40}{space 1}    4.09{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.30513{col 70}{space 3} 29.27024
{txt}{space 10}1960  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.61503{col 29}{space 2} 3.732229{col 40}{space 1}    4.18{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.291378{col 70}{space 3} 22.93868
{txt}{space 10}1961  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.44628{col 29}{space 2} 4.534349{col 40}{space 1}    3.63{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  7.54865{col 70}{space 3}  25.3439
{txt}{space 10}1962  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.42162{col 29}{space 2} 3.777928{col 40}{space 1}    4.35{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.008302{col 70}{space 3} 23.83494
{txt}{space 10}1963  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.37892{col 29}{space 2} 4.013001{col 40}{space 1}    3.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  7.50432{col 70}{space 3} 23.25352
{txt}{space 10}1964  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.98003{col 29}{space 2}  3.80741{col 40}{space 1}    4.20{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.508859{col 70}{space 3} 23.45121
{txt}{space 10}1965  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.14718{col 29}{space 2}  4.59606{col 40}{space 1}    4.17{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.12846{col 70}{space 3}  28.1659
{txt}{space 10}1966  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.34336{col 29}{space 2} 4.100893{col 40}{space 1}    4.23{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  9.29629{col 70}{space 3} 25.39043
{txt}{space 10}1967  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 20.02873{col 29}{space 2} 5.893596{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 8.463893{col 70}{space 3} 31.59357
{txt}{space 10}1968  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.66553{col 29}{space 2} 4.324911{col 40}{space 1}    4.08{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.178878{col 70}{space 3} 26.15218
{txt}{space 10}1969  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  17.8715{col 29}{space 2} 4.981012{col 40}{space 1}    3.59{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.097398{col 70}{space 3}  27.6456
{txt}{space 10}1970  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.62724{col 29}{space 2} 4.384994{col 40}{space 1}    4.02{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  9.02269{col 70}{space 3} 26.23179
{txt}{space 10}1971  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 24.10672{col 29}{space 2} 4.952277{col 40}{space 1}    4.87{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}   14.389{col 70}{space 3} 33.82443
{txt}{space 10}1972  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.53021{col 29}{space 2} 5.080204{col 40}{space 1}    4.24{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 11.56147{col 70}{space 3} 31.49895
{txt}{space 10}1973  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.65536{col 29}{space 2} 5.660304{col 40}{space 1}    3.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  10.5483{col 70}{space 3} 32.76241
{txt}{space 10}1974  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.17412{col 29}{space 2} 5.297379{col 40}{space 1}    3.62{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  8.77922{col 70}{space 3} 29.56902
{txt}{space 10}1975  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.30823{col 29}{space 2} 6.290905{col 40}{space 1}    2.75{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 4.963767{col 70}{space 3}  29.6527
{txt}{space 10}1976  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.67958{col 29}{space 2} 5.853027{col 40}{space 1}    3.70{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.19435{col 70}{space 3} 33.16481
{txt}{space 10}1977  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.38053{col 29}{space 2} 6.347023{col 40}{space 1}    3.37{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 8.925946{col 70}{space 3} 33.83512
{txt}{space 10}1978  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 23.21978{col 29}{space 2} 6.203922{col 40}{space 1}    3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}   11.046{col 70}{space 3} 35.39356
{txt}{space 10}1979  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.63595{col 29}{space 2} 6.232693{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 9.405709{col 70}{space 3} 33.86619
{txt}{space 10}1980  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.06135{col 29}{space 2}  6.11805{col 40}{space 1}    3.44{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 9.056076{col 70}{space 3} 33.06663
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.24228{col 29}{space 2} 10.34946{col 40}{space 1}    1.47{col 49}{space 3}0.141{col 57}{space 4}-5.066177{col 70}{space 3} 35.55074
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,225 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1029) ={res}   39.00
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1029) ={res}   19.68
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0005501{col 26}{space 2} .0030651{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.858{col 54}{space 4}-.0065646{col 67}{space 3} .0054644
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.006405{col 26}{space 2} .0042119{col 37}{space 1}   -1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-.0146602{col 67}{space 3} .0018502
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if klarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 5022.266       4489.073
{txt} 5%    {res}  5631.98       4631.569
{txt}10%    {res}  6191.38       4655.711       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,114
{txt}25%    {res} 7130.576        4670.98       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,114

{txt}50%    {res} 8964.258                      {txt}Mean          {res}  9237.82
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2582.157
{txt}75%    {res} 11137.87       19154.27
{txt}90%    {res} 12863.88       19819.19       {txt}Variance      {res}  6667533
{txt}95%    {res} 13529.79       20438.71       {txt}Skewness      {res} .5677954
{txt}99%    {res} 14802.22       21278.61       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.207764
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-25.54931{col 26}{space 2} 16.80119{col 37}{space 1}   -1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.128{col 54}{space 4}-58.47904{col 67}{space 3} 7.380426
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.C: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,018{col 27}-7556.537{col 38}-7051.939{col 49}    85{col 58} 14273.88{col 69} 14692.55
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,018
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 84,       933){col 67}= {res}     31.60
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0889108{col 34}{space 2} .0154616{col 45}{space 1}   -5.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1192544{col 75}{space 3}-.0585671
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.809173{col 34}{space 2}   1.0373{col 45}{space 1}    1.74{col 54}{space 3}0.081{col 62}{space 4} -.226539{col 75}{space 3} 3.844885
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3173136{col 34}{space 2} .0616991{col 45}{space 1}    5.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1962285{col 75}{space 3} .4383986
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.611851{col 34}{space 2} 1.464692{col 45}{space 1}   -1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.271{col 62}{space 4}-4.486325{col 75}{space 3} 1.262622
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0878154{col 34}{space 2}  .061674{col 45}{space 1}    1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.155{col 62}{space 4}-.0332204{col 75}{space 3} .2088513
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1293725{col 34}{space 2} 1.422668{col 45}{space 1}   -0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.928{col 62}{space 4}-2.921373{col 75}{space 3} 2.662628
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0508227{col 34}{space 2} .0450857{col 45}{space 1}   -1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.260{col 62}{space 4}-.1393038{col 75}{space 3} .0376583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -.38377{col 34}{space 2} 1.149294{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.739{col 62}{space 4}-2.639272{col 75}{space 3} 1.871732
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-494.4479{col 34}{space 2} 628.9568{col 45}{space 1}   -0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.432{col 62}{space 4}-1728.782{col 75}{space 3} 739.8861
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-655.2692{col 34}{space 2} 690.8385{col 45}{space 1}   -0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.343{col 62}{space 4}-2011.046{col 75}{space 3} 700.5081
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 188.9264{col 34}{space 2} 154.1924{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-113.6777{col 75}{space 3} 491.5304
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-143.3462{col 34}{space 2} 152.2948{col 45}{space 1}   -0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.347{col 62}{space 4}-442.2262{col 75}{space 3} 155.5338
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-112.8482{col 34}{space 2} 405.3235{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.781{col 62}{space 4}-908.2995{col 75}{space 3} 682.6031
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-932.0937{col 34}{space 2} 602.3908{col 45}{space 1}   -1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.122{col 62}{space 4}-2114.292{col 75}{space 3} 250.1042
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 9622.171{col 34}{space 2} 2326.122{col 45}{space 1}    4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 5057.134{col 75}{space 3} 14187.21
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5050.024{col 34}{space 2} 1876.784{col 45}{space 1}    2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 1366.817{col 75}{space 3} 8733.231
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-36.92791{col 34}{space 2} 26.85589{col 45}{space 1}   -1.38{col 54}{space 3}0.169{col 62}{space 4}-89.63286{col 75}{space 3} 15.77705
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4.02013{col 34}{space 2} 29.38032{col 45}{space 1}    0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.891{col 62}{space 4}-53.63904{col 75}{space 3}  61.6793
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.51746{col 34}{space 2}  31.1919{col 45}{space 1}    0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.511{col 62}{space 4}-40.69695{col 75}{space 3} 81.73187
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-20.19363{col 34}{space 2} 29.84542{col 45}{space 1}   -0.68{col 54}{space 3}0.499{col 62}{space 4}-78.76556{col 75}{space 3}  38.3783
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-23.30141{col 34}{space 2} 32.15845{col 45}{space 1}   -0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.469{col 62}{space 4}-86.41269{col 75}{space 3} 39.80986
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 51.50858{col 34}{space 2} 34.27263{col 45}{space 1}    1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.133{col 62}{space 4} -15.7518{col 75}{space 3}  118.769
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-403.0289{col 34}{space 2}  168.717{col 45}{space 1}   -2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-734.1378{col 75}{space 3}-71.92009
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 44.42903{col 34}{space 2}  95.1984{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.641{col 62}{space 4}-142.3988{col 75}{space 3} 231.2568
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.37524{col 34}{space 2} 80.61419{col 45}{space 1}    0.43{col 54}{space 3}0.670{col 62}{space 4}-123.8309{col 75}{space 3} 192.5814
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   440.83{col 34}{space 2} 107.0258{col 45}{space 1}    4.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 230.7909{col 75}{space 3} 650.8692
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -10.0087{col 34}{space 2} 73.28493{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.891{col 62}{space 4}-153.8311{col 75}{space 3} 133.8137
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 89.79526{col 34}{space 2} 97.62801{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.358{col 62}{space 4}-101.8007{col 75}{space 3} 281.3912
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-132.8104{col 34}{space 2} 181.8026{col 45}{space 1}   -0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.465{col 62}{space 4}-489.5998{col 75}{space 3}  223.979
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.301831{col 34}{space 2} 84.34889{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.940{col 62}{space 4}-171.8374{col 75}{space 3} 159.2337
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-241.4974{col 34}{space 2} 86.72013{col 45}{space 1}   -2.78{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-411.6865{col 75}{space 3}-71.30825
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-86.78713{col 34}{space 2} 190.3813{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.649{col 62}{space 4}-460.4124{col 75}{space 3} 286.8381
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-175.4301{col 34}{space 2}  171.069{col 45}{space 1}   -1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.305{col 62}{space 4}-511.1547{col 75}{space 3} 160.2945
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-241.2659{col 34}{space 2} 102.5603{col 45}{space 1}   -2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4}-442.5415{col 75}{space 3} -39.9903
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 248.9939{col 34}{space 2} 91.22125{col 45}{space 1}    2.73{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 69.97128{col 75}{space 3} 428.0165
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 331.9525{col 34}{space 2}  115.255{col 45}{space 1}    2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 105.7634{col 75}{space 3} 558.1415
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-230.8331{col 34}{space 2} 96.95466{col 45}{space 1}   -2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-421.1076{col 75}{space 3}-40.55861
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 74.06359{col 34}{space 2} 83.60768{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.376{col 62}{space 4}-90.01729{col 75}{space 3} 238.1445
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-204.1863{col 34}{space 2} 105.1657{col 45}{space 1}   -1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-410.5751{col 75}{space 3} 2.202426
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-320.3064{col 34}{space 2} 174.2812{col 45}{space 1}   -1.84{col 54}{space 3}0.066{col 62}{space 4}-662.3349{col 75}{space 3} 21.72205
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 58.19129{col 34}{space 2} 86.31829{col 45}{space 1}    0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.500{col 62}{space 4}-111.2092{col 75}{space 3} 227.5918
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 281.0362{col 34}{space 2} 88.17843{col 45}{space 1}    3.19{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 107.9852{col 75}{space 3} 454.0873
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-313.6584{col 34}{space 2} 98.53878{col 45}{space 1}   -3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-507.0417{col 75}{space 3} -120.275
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  162.553{col 34}{space 2} 100.4561{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4}-34.59314{col 75}{space 3} 359.6991
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 296.7905{col 34}{space 2} 125.7164{col 45}{space 1}    2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 50.07082{col 75}{space 3} 543.5103
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-206.9999{col 34}{space 2}  83.0786{col 45}{space 1}   -2.49{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-370.0425{col 75}{space 3}-43.95732
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-157.6759{col 34}{space 2} 80.19335{col 45}{space 1}   -1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4}-315.0561{col 75}{space 3}-.2956337
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-114.2129{col 34}{space 2} 87.57488{col 45}{space 1}   -1.30{col 54}{space 3}0.192{col 62}{space 4}-286.0795{col 75}{space 3} 57.65362
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.674508{col 34}{space 2} 103.4901{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.964{col 62}{space 4}-207.7749{col 75}{space 3} 198.4259
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 234.3674{col 34}{space 2} 243.0454{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.335{col 62}{space 4}-242.6117{col 75}{space 3} 711.3465
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-520.1724{col 34}{space 2} 167.8291{col 45}{space 1}   -3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-849.5387{col 75}{space 3} -190.806
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-106.6546{col 34}{space 2} 87.47015{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.223{col 62}{space 4}-278.3157{col 75}{space 3}  65.0064
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 36.87237{col 34}{space 2} 73.90917{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.618{col 62}{space 4}-108.1751{col 75}{space 3} 181.9198
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-129.1643{col 34}{space 2} 81.47482{col 45}{space 1}   -1.59{col 54}{space 3}0.113{col 62}{space 4}-289.0594{col 75}{space 3} 30.73083
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-150.0122{col 34}{space 2} 209.2424{col 45}{space 1}   -0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.474{col 62}{space 4}-560.6524{col 75}{space 3}  260.628
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -93.9962{col 34}{space 2} 61.93366{col 45}{space 1}   -1.52{col 54}{space 3}0.129{col 62}{space 4}-215.5416{col 75}{space 3} 27.54923
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.02606{col 34}{space 2} 82.62479{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.894{col 62}{space 4}-151.1259{col 75}{space 3}  173.178
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 313.5282{col 34}{space 2} 54.77858{col 45}{space 1}    5.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 206.0247{col 75}{space 3} 421.0317
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.98054{col 34}{space 2} 63.24855{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.740{col 62}{space 4}-103.1454{col 75}{space 3} 145.1064
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 181.7136{col 34}{space 2} 64.87117{col 45}{space 1}    2.80{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 54.40329{col 75}{space 3} 309.0239
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   73.389{col 34}{space 2}  66.0269{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.267{col 62}{space 4}-56.18944{col 75}{space 3} 202.9674
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 221.8397{col 34}{space 2} 73.62051{col 45}{space 1}    3.01{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 77.35868{col 75}{space 3} 366.3206
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 232.7225{col 34}{space 2} 68.78233{col 45}{space 1}    3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 97.73654{col 75}{space 3} 367.7085
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-102.2313{col 34}{space 2} 76.23115{col 45}{space 1}   -1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.180{col 62}{space 4}-251.8357{col 75}{space 3}  47.3731
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-141.0249{col 34}{space 2} 67.12706{col 45}{space 1}   -2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4}-272.7625{col 75}{space 3} -9.28743
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 376.0698{col 34}{space 2} 60.73171{col 45}{space 1}    6.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 256.8832{col 75}{space 3} 495.2564
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  14.8786{col 34}{space 2} 73.95166{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.841{col 62}{space 4}-130.2523{col 75}{space 3} 160.0095
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 253.4972{col 34}{space 2} 72.61172{col 45}{space 1}    3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}  110.996{col 75}{space 3} 395.9984
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 152.6883{col 34}{space 2} 71.00652{col 45}{space 1}    2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4} 13.33727{col 75}{space 3} 292.0393
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 261.0279{col 34}{space 2} 77.29187{col 45}{space 1}    3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 109.3418{col 75}{space 3} 412.7139
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 352.5656{col 34}{space 2} 74.40218{col 45}{space 1}    4.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 206.5506{col 75}{space 3} 498.5806
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 710.7051{col 34}{space 2}  84.6844{col 45}{space 1}    8.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 544.5111{col 75}{space 3} 876.8991
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 205.6356{col 34}{space 2} 94.92351{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} 19.34726{col 75}{space 3} 391.9239
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 650.7487{col 34}{space 2} 101.4172{col 45}{space 1}    6.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 451.7164{col 75}{space 3}  849.781
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 182.6116{col 34}{space 2} 111.6702{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.102{col 62}{space 4}-36.54217{col 75}{space 3} 401.7654
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  146.167{col 34}{space 2} 101.8187{col 45}{space 1}    1.44{col 54}{space 3}0.151{col 62}{space 4}-53.65323{col 75}{space 3} 345.9872
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 347.1841{col 34}{space 2}  92.7318{col 45}{space 1}    3.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 165.1971{col 75}{space 3} 529.1712
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 670.9593{col 34}{space 2} 105.7394{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 463.4447{col 75}{space 3} 878.4738
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 322.4422{col 34}{space 2} 116.9658{col 45}{space 1}    2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 92.89561{col 75}{space 3} 551.9887
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 804.5389{col 34}{space 2} 127.0837{col 45}{space 1}    6.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 555.1359{col 75}{space 3} 1053.942
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 535.5282{col 34}{space 2} 127.6773{col 45}{space 1}    4.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 284.9602{col 75}{space 3} 786.0962
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 331.7783{col 34}{space 2} 140.9224{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4} 55.21676{col 75}{space 3} 608.3398
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-429.6795{col 34}{space 2} 128.5569{col 45}{space 1}   -3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-681.9737{col 75}{space 3}-177.3853
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 796.5541{col 34}{space 2} 113.9505{col 45}{space 1}    6.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 572.9252{col 75}{space 3} 1020.183
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8277.187{col 34}{space 2} 2323.468{col 45}{space 1}   -3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-12837.02{col 75}{space 3}-3717.358
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,321 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   933) ={res}   33.07
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   933) ={res}   17.46
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom   d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.124994{col 26}{space 2} 2.470349{col 37}{space 1}   -0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.390{col 54}{space 4}-6.973078{col 67}{space 3}  2.72309
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 20.34819{col 26}{space 2} 11.96074{col 37}{space 1}    1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}-3.094433{col 67}{space 3} 43.79081
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if  real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.72549       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res} 31.82456       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res} 41.56863       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,018
{txt}25%    {res} 64.79167       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,018

{txt}50%    {res} 81.81549                      {txt}Mean          {res} 75.99089
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 19.86471
{txt}75%    {res}     91.4            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.96175            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 394.6067
{txt}95%    {res} 98.30508            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-1.058215
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.291637
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*91.25554  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*65.40031 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*91.25554 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*65.40031

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 526.1071{col 26}{space 2} 309.2477{col 37}{space 1}    1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}-80.00728{col 67}{space 3} 1132.221
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,018{col 27}-3441.838{col 38}-3335.676{col 49}    79{col 58} 6829.352{col 69} 7218.474
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,018
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 78,       939){col 67}= {res}      2.65
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2695449{col 29}{space 2} .0321887{col 40}{space 1}   -8.37{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} -.332715{col 70}{space 3}-.2063747
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0000877{col 29}{space 2} .0003431{col 40}{space 1}   -0.26{col 49}{space 3}0.798{col 57}{space 4}-.0007609{col 70}{space 3} .0005856
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0751772{col 29}{space 2} .0271272{col 40}{space 1}    2.77{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} .0219402{col 70}{space 3} .1284143
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0013152{col 29}{space 2} .0009135{col 40}{space 1}   -1.44{col 49}{space 3}0.150{col 57}{space 4}-.0031079{col 70}{space 3} .0004775
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0150752{col 29}{space 2} .0402355{col 40}{space 1}    0.37{col 49}{space 3}0.708{col 57}{space 4}-.0638866{col 70}{space 3} .0940371
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0000859{col 29}{space 2} .0008842{col 40}{space 1}   -0.10{col 49}{space 3}0.923{col 57}{space 4}-.0018212{col 70}{space 3} .0016493
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0119221{col 29}{space 2} .0272084{col 40}{space 1}    0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.661{col 57}{space 4}-.0414742{col 70}{space 3} .0653183
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0003713{col 29}{space 2} .0013352{col 40}{space 1}    0.28{col 49}{space 3}0.781{col 57}{space 4}-.0022489{col 70}{space 3} .0029916
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.069923{col 29}{space 2} .6671416{col 40}{space 1}    1.60{col 49}{space 3}0.109{col 57}{space 4}-.2393377{col 70}{space 3} 2.379184
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.237316{col 29}{space 2} .6161703{col 40}{space 1}   -2.01{col 49}{space 3}0.045{col 57}{space 4}-2.446546{col 70}{space 3}-.0280856
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.314765{col 29}{space 2} 1.024751{col 40}{space 1}    1.28{col 49}{space 3}0.200{col 57}{space 4} -.696302{col 70}{space 3} 3.325832
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5545413{col 29}{space 2} .8506411{col 40}{space 1}   -0.65{col 49}{space 3}0.515{col 57}{space 4}-2.223919{col 70}{space 3} 1.114836
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.76879{col 29}{space 2} 1.005981{col 40}{space 1}    1.76{col 49}{space 3}0.079{col 57}{space 4}-.2054414{col 70}{space 3} 3.743021
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.467403{col 29}{space 2} .7514359{col 40}{space 1}   -3.28{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-3.942092{col 70}{space 3}-.9927154
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.252271{col 29}{space 2} 2.182969{col 40}{space 1}   -0.57{col 49}{space 3}0.566{col 57}{space 4}-5.536335{col 70}{space 3} 3.031792
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.099176{col 29}{space 2} 1.689626{col 40}{space 1}    1.24{col 49}{space 3}0.214{col 57}{space 4}-1.216704{col 70}{space 3} 5.415057
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.975163{col 29}{space 2}  2.61083{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.450{col 57}{space 4}-7.098901{col 70}{space 3} 3.148575
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8416627{col 29}{space 2} 2.197696{col 40}{space 1}   -0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.702{col 57}{space 4}-5.154626{col 70}{space 3} 3.471301
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8800495{col 29}{space 2} 2.537892{col 40}{space 1}   -0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.729{col 57}{space 4}-5.860646{col 70}{space 3} 4.100547
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.050488{col 29}{space 2} 2.289006{col 40}{space 1}   -0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.646{col 57}{space 4}-5.542647{col 70}{space 3}  3.44167
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.503226{col 29}{space 2} 2.189839{col 40}{space 1}    0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.493{col 57}{space 4}-2.794318{col 70}{space 3} 5.800771
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-15.17832{col 29}{space 2} 3.096092{col 40}{space 1}   -4.90{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-21.25438{col 70}{space 3}-9.102255
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.824758{col 29}{space 2} 4.129343{col 40}{space 1}   -2.38{col 49}{space 3}0.018{col 57}{space 4}-17.92857{col 70}{space 3}-1.720949
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.952114{col 29}{space 2} 2.144308{col 40}{space 1}    0.91{col 49}{space 3}0.363{col 57}{space 4}-2.256076{col 70}{space 3} 6.160304
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8566969{col 29}{space 2} 2.672231{col 40}{space 1}   -0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.749{col 57}{space 4}-6.100934{col 70}{space 3}  4.38754
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6432506{col 29}{space 2} 2.549684{col 40}{space 1}    0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.801{col 57}{space 4}-4.360488{col 70}{space 3} 5.646989
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.661297{col 29}{space 2} 2.669637{col 40}{space 1}   -1.75{col 49}{space 3}0.081{col 57}{space 4}-9.900443{col 70}{space 3} .5778478
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0877859{col 29}{space 2} 2.891799{col 40}{space 1}    0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.976{col 57}{space 4}-5.587351{col 70}{space 3} 5.762923
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.08765{col 29}{space 2} 3.178772{col 40}{space 1}   -3.49{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-17.32597{col 70}{space 3} -4.84933
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.49247{col 29}{space 2} 2.634287{col 40}{space 1}   -4.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-17.66224{col 70}{space 3}-7.322695
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.698184{col 29}{space 2} 3.020872{col 40}{space 1}    0.89{col 49}{space 3}0.372{col 57}{space 4}-3.230258{col 70}{space 3} 8.626626
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2868304{col 29}{space 2} 3.348446{col 40}{space 1}    0.09{col 49}{space 3}0.932{col 57}{space 4}-6.284474{col 70}{space 3} 6.858134
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2221242{col 29}{space 2} 2.974651{col 40}{space 1}   -0.07{col 49}{space 3}0.940{col 57}{space 4}-6.059857{col 70}{space 3} 5.615609
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.444507{col 29}{space 2} 2.951525{col 40}{space 1}    0.83{col 49}{space 3}0.408{col 57}{space 4}-3.347843{col 70}{space 3} 8.236856
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.112186{col 29}{space 2} 2.414295{col 40}{space 1}   -2.12{col 49}{space 3}0.034{col 57}{space 4}-9.850225{col 70}{space 3}-.3741467
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2786489{col 29}{space 2} 2.178447{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.898{col 57}{space 4}-4.553837{col 70}{space 3} 3.996539
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.150481{col 29}{space 2} 3.482937{col 40}{space 1}   -0.33{col 49}{space 3}0.741{col 57}{space 4}-7.985722{col 70}{space 3} 5.684761
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.238017{col 29}{space 2} 1.901277{col 40}{space 1}    1.18{col 49}{space 3}0.239{col 57}{space 4}-1.493226{col 70}{space 3}  5.96926
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.935892{col 29}{space 2} 3.527089{col 40}{space 1}   -0.55{col 49}{space 3}0.583{col 57}{space 4}-8.857781{col 70}{space 3} 4.985997
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6415051{col 29}{space 2} 3.234222{col 40}{space 1}    0.20{col 49}{space 3}0.843{col 57}{space 4}-5.705634{col 70}{space 3} 6.988644
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.922853{col 29}{space 2} 3.111288{col 40}{space 1}    0.62{col 49}{space 3}0.537{col 57}{space 4}-4.183029{col 70}{space 3} 8.028735
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.619813{col 29}{space 2} 2.204532{col 40}{space 1}    0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.463{col 57}{space 4}-2.706568{col 70}{space 3} 5.946193
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.91741{col 29}{space 2} 3.170641{col 40}{space 1}   -4.07{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-19.13977{col 70}{space 3}-6.695046
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.305205{col 29}{space 2} 3.058109{col 40}{space 1}   -2.06{col 49}{space 3}0.040{col 57}{space 4}-12.30672{col 70}{space 3}-.3036866
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.922453{col 29}{space 2} 3.306423{col 40}{space 1}   -2.70{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4}-15.41129{col 70}{space 3}-2.433619
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2792154{col 29}{space 2}  2.62309{col 40}{space 1}   -0.11{col 49}{space 3}0.915{col 57}{space 4}-5.427012{col 70}{space 3} 4.868582
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.616668{col 29}{space 2} 3.042097{col 40}{space 1}    0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.595{col 57}{space 4}-4.353427{col 70}{space 3} 7.586764
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.842449{col 29}{space 2} 3.084084{col 40}{space 1}    0.92{col 49}{space 3}0.357{col 57}{space 4}-3.210046{col 70}{space 3} 8.894944
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.621188{col 29}{space 2}  2.62602{col 40}{space 1}   -2.90{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4}-12.77474{col 70}{space 3}-2.467641
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2500279{col 29}{space 2} 1.632575{col 40}{space 1}   -0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.878{col 57}{space 4}-3.453945{col 70}{space 3} 2.953889
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9108174{col 29}{space 2}   2.8054{col 40}{space 1}   -0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.746{col 57}{space 4}-6.416397{col 70}{space 3} 4.594762
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2663808{col 29}{space 2} 1.709824{col 40}{space 1}   -0.16{col 49}{space 3}0.876{col 57}{space 4}-3.621899{col 70}{space 3} 3.089138
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .422832{col 29}{space 2} 2.182822{col 40}{space 1}    0.19{col 49}{space 3}0.846{col 57}{space 4}-3.860942{col 70}{space 3} 4.706606
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1398531{col 29}{space 2} 1.782912{col 40}{space 1}   -0.08{col 49}{space 3}0.937{col 57}{space 4}-3.638806{col 70}{space 3}   3.3591
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.837825{col 29}{space 2} 2.133437{col 40}{space 1}    0.86{col 49}{space 3}0.389{col 57}{space 4} -2.34903{col 70}{space 3} 6.024681
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1498306{col 29}{space 2} 1.779076{col 40}{space 1}    0.08{col 49}{space 3}0.933{col 57}{space 4}-3.341595{col 70}{space 3} 3.641256
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.325735{col 29}{space 2}  2.09746{col 40}{space 1}    0.63{col 49}{space 3}0.527{col 57}{space 4}-2.790517{col 70}{space 3} 5.441987
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0531061{col 29}{space 2} 1.898009{col 40}{space 1}    0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.978{col 57}{space 4}-3.671725{col 70}{space 3} 3.777937
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.846415{col 29}{space 2} 2.287206{col 40}{space 1}    0.81{col 49}{space 3}0.420{col 57}{space 4}-2.642212{col 70}{space 3} 6.335043
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .639765{col 29}{space 2} 2.026214{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.752{col 57}{space 4}-3.336667{col 70}{space 3} 4.616197
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4672933{col 29}{space 2} 2.417883{col 40}{space 1}    0.19{col 49}{space 3}0.847{col 57}{space 4}-4.277786{col 70}{space 3} 5.212373
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.684063{col 29}{space 2} 1.845019{col 40}{space 1}    0.91{col 49}{space 3}0.362{col 57}{space 4}-1.936776{col 70}{space 3} 5.304902
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.710249{col 29}{space 2} 2.645781{col 40}{space 1}   -1.02{col 49}{space 3}0.306{col 57}{space 4}-7.902577{col 70}{space 3} 2.482078
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.020863{col 29}{space 2} 1.914219{col 40}{space 1}    0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.594{col 57}{space 4}-2.735779{col 70}{space 3} 4.777506
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5039196{col 29}{space 2} 2.376895{col 40}{space 1}   -0.21{col 49}{space 3}0.832{col 57}{space 4}-5.168561{col 70}{space 3} 4.160722
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6551747{col 29}{space 2} 2.230155{col 40}{space 1}    0.29{col 49}{space 3}0.769{col 57}{space 4}-3.721491{col 70}{space 3}  5.03184
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8273747{col 29}{space 2} 2.511645{col 40}{space 1}    0.33{col 49}{space 3}0.742{col 57}{space 4}-4.101713{col 70}{space 3} 5.756463
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9661676{col 29}{space 2} 2.454921{col 40}{space 1}    0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.694{col 57}{space 4}-3.851599{col 70}{space 3} 5.783935
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5766081{col 29}{space 2} 2.647908{col 40}{space 1}   -0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.828{col 57}{space 4} -5.77311{col 70}{space 3} 4.619894
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3916783{col 29}{space 2} 2.545592{col 40}{space 1}    0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.878{col 57}{space 4} -4.60403{col 70}{space 3} 5.387386
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.270815{col 29}{space 2} 2.635449{col 40}{space 1}   -0.48{col 49}{space 3}0.630{col 57}{space 4}-6.442866{col 70}{space 3} 3.901237
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3582603{col 29}{space 2} 2.538061{col 40}{space 1}    0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.888{col 57}{space 4}-4.622669{col 70}{space 3} 5.339189
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4937267{col 29}{space 2} 2.624564{col 40}{space 1}   -0.19{col 49}{space 3}0.851{col 57}{space 4}-5.644417{col 70}{space 3} 4.656964
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .224011{col 29}{space 2} 2.606662{col 40}{space 1}    0.09{col 49}{space 3}0.932{col 57}{space 4}-4.891545{col 70}{space 3} 5.339567
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0858406{col 29}{space 2} 3.145261{col 40}{space 1}   -0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.978{col 57}{space 4}-6.258395{col 70}{space 3} 6.086714
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5718083{col 29}{space 2} 2.796957{col 40}{space 1}   -0.20{col 49}{space 3}0.838{col 57}{space 4}-6.060818{col 70}{space 3} 4.917201
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.474011{col 29}{space 2} 3.108523{col 40}{space 1}   -1.44{col 49}{space 3}0.150{col 57}{space 4}-10.57447{col 70}{space 3} 1.626445
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.316992{col 29}{space 2} 3.475289{col 40}{space 1}   -1.53{col 49}{space 3}0.126{col 57}{space 4}-12.13722{col 70}{space 3} 1.503242
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 23.71838{col 29}{space 2} 6.975256{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 10.02948{col 70}{space 3} 37.40728
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,321 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. * 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   939) ={res}   70.12
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   939) ={res}   35.90
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0010298{col 26}{space 2} .0012652{col 37}{space 1}   -0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.416{col 54}{space 4}-.0035128{col 67}{space 3} .0014532
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0003252{col 26}{space 2} .0012662{col 37}{space 1}   -0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.797{col 54}{space 4} -.002807{col 67}{space 3} .0021565
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann  klarnerranney  if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 10349.35       9970.614
{txt} 5%    {res} 11327.64       10079.15
{txt}10%    {res} 12081.45        10212.7       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,018
{txt}25%    {res} 13649.05       10259.88       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,018

{txt}50%    {res} 15755.46                      {txt}Mean          {res}  15899.3
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 3027.007
{txt}75%    {res} 17777.89       24873.97
{txt}90%    {res} 19792.45       25955.62       {txt}Variance      {res}  9162771
{txt}95%    {res} 21441.32       26455.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .5189563
{txt}99%    {res} 24217.59       26940.36       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.141051

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.72549       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res} 31.82456       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res} 41.56863       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,018
{txt}25%    {res} 64.79167       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,018

{txt}50%    {res} 81.81549                      {txt}Mean          {res} 75.99089
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 19.86471
{txt}75%    {res}     91.4            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.96175            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 394.6067
{txt}95%    {res} 98.30508            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-1.058215
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.291637
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.310953{col 26}{space 2} 5.103844{col 37}{space 1}   -0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.797{col 54}{space 4} -11.3143{col 67}{space 3} 8.692399
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. restore
{txt}
{com}. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.A: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       975{col 27}-6854.628{col 38}-6239.012{col 49}    97{col 58} 12672.02{col 69} 13145.62
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       975
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 96,       878){col 67}= {res}     61.29
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0699187{col 34}{space 2}  .018284{col 45}{space 1}   -3.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1058042{col 75}{space 3}-.0340332
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.530957{col 34}{space 2} .4909935{col 45}{space 1}    3.12{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} .5672991{col 75}{space 3} 2.494615
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2175474{col 34}{space 2} .0907185{col 45}{space 1}    2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}  .039497{col 75}{space 3} .3955978
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1993455{col 34}{space 2}  .915859{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.828{col 62}{space 4}-1.598183{col 75}{space 3} 1.996874
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0951344{col 34}{space 2} .0721957{col 45}{space 1}    1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.188{col 62}{space 4}-.0465619{col 75}{space 3} .2368308
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.200665{col 34}{space 2} .8598722{col 45}{space 1}   -1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.163{col 62}{space 4} -2.88831{col 75}{space 3}   .48698
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.048858{col 34}{space 2} .0475737{col 45}{space 1}   -1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.305{col 62}{space 4}-.1422295{col 75}{space 3} .0445136
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6629681{col 34}{space 2} 1.019031{col 45}{space 1}   -0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.515{col 62}{space 4}-2.662989{col 75}{space 3} 1.337053
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-188.5846{col 34}{space 2}  174.191{col 45}{space 1}   -1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.279{col 62}{space 4} -530.464{col 75}{space 3} 153.2949
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 70.60709{col 34}{space 2} 240.8043{col 45}{space 1}    0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.769{col 62}{space 4}-402.0122{col 75}{space 3} 543.2264
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -15.6783{col 34}{space 2} 26.21893{col 45}{space 1}   -0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.550{col 62}{space 4}-67.13739{col 75}{space 3}  35.7808
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.15678{col 34}{space 2} 44.36396{col 45}{space 1}   -0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.819{col 62}{space 4}-97.22857{col 75}{space 3}   76.915
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 45.71858{col 34}{space 2} 144.3802{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.752{col 62}{space 4} -237.652{col 75}{space 3} 329.0891
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-821.4377{col 34}{space 2} 502.8386{col 45}{space 1}   -1.63{col 54}{space 3}0.103{col 62}{space 4}-1808.344{col 75}{space 3} 165.4683
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -128.344{col 34}{space 2} 237.7514{col 45}{space 1}   -0.54{col 54}{space 3}0.589{col 62}{space 4}-594.9714{col 75}{space 3} 338.2834
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  3211.46{col 34}{space 2} 799.1702{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1642.953{col 75}{space 3} 4779.967
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 13.23237{col 34}{space 2} 16.17575{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.414{col 62}{space 4}-18.51528{col 75}{space 3} 44.98001
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 17.48159{col 34}{space 2} 18.21661{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.337{col 62}{space 4} -18.2716{col 75}{space 3} 53.23477
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-35.84399{col 34}{space 2} 22.04643{col 45}{space 1}   -1.63{col 54}{space 3}0.104{col 62}{space 4}-79.11385{col 75}{space 3} 7.425859
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 126.4304{col 34}{space 2} 40.45722{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 47.02628{col 75}{space 3} 205.8346
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 63.37952{col 34}{space 2} 29.87051{col 45}{space 1}    2.12{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 4.753575{col 75}{space 3} 122.0055
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-69.15742{col 34}{space 2} 41.03125{col 45}{space 1}   -1.69{col 54}{space 3}0.092{col 62}{space 4}-149.6882{col 75}{space 3} 11.37337
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 36.64338{col 34}{space 2} 35.96705{col 45}{space 1}    1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.309{col 62}{space 4}-33.94805{col 75}{space 3} 107.2348
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-93.38134{col 34}{space 2} 30.66975{col 45}{space 1}   -3.04{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-153.5759{col 75}{space 3}-33.18677
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 33.50627{col 34}{space 2} 38.15191{col 45}{space 1}    0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.380{col 62}{space 4}-41.37331{col 75}{space 3} 108.3859
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 29.90855{col 34}{space 2} 25.65837{col 45}{space 1}    1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.244{col 62}{space 4}-20.45036{col 75}{space 3} 80.26746
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.596133{col 34}{space 2} 36.16223{col 45}{space 1}    0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.855{col 62}{space 4}-64.37838{col 75}{space 3} 77.57065
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-20.98077{col 34}{space 2} 19.72556{col 45}{space 1}   -1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.288{col 62}{space 4}-59.69552{col 75}{space 3} 17.73399
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -13.094{col 34}{space 2} 24.74694{col 45}{space 1}   -0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.597{col 62}{space 4}-61.66406{col 75}{space 3} 35.47605
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 98.88321{col 34}{space 2} 34.35116{col 45}{space 1}    2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 31.46323{col 75}{space 3} 166.3032
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 207.2943{col 34}{space 2} 46.84729{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 115.3486{col 75}{space 3} 299.2401
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-74.10338{col 34}{space 2} 39.72477{col 45}{space 1}   -1.87{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}  -152.07{col 75}{space 3} 3.863226
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 177.4114{col 34}{space 2} 90.00732{col 45}{space 1}    1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4} .7567647{col 75}{space 3}  354.066
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 663.2702{col 34}{space 2}  80.5062{col 45}{space 1}    8.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 505.2631{col 75}{space 3} 821.2773
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 378.9808{col 34}{space 2} 97.95032{col 45}{space 1}    3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 186.7367{col 75}{space 3} 571.2249
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 559.2476{col 34}{space 2} 76.65725{col 45}{space 1}    7.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 408.7948{col 75}{space 3} 709.7005
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 548.4126{col 34}{space 2} 71.73892{col 45}{space 1}    7.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 407.6128{col 75}{space 3} 689.2124
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 594.8254{col 34}{space 2} 61.41152{col 45}{space 1}    9.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 474.2949{col 75}{space 3} 715.3559
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 544.4539{col 34}{space 2} 65.07565{col 45}{space 1}    8.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 416.7319{col 75}{space 3} 672.1759
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 364.5556{col 34}{space 2} 62.30791{col 45}{space 1}    5.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 242.2658{col 75}{space 3} 486.8455
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 790.4915{col 34}{space 2} 62.76464{col 45}{space 1}   12.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 667.3053{col 75}{space 3} 913.6778
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 685.8577{col 34}{space 2} 76.07638{col 45}{space 1}    9.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 536.5449{col 75}{space 3} 835.1705
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 389.6045{col 34}{space 2} 72.75231{col 45}{space 1}    5.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 246.8158{col 75}{space 3} 532.3933
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 551.4811{col 34}{space 2} 73.35805{col 45}{space 1}    7.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 407.5035{col 75}{space 3} 695.4588
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 773.7387{col 34}{space 2}  70.3669{col 45}{space 1}   11.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 635.6317{col 75}{space 3} 911.8457
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 494.6794{col 34}{space 2} 77.49908{col 45}{space 1}    6.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 342.5743{col 75}{space 3} 646.7845
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  675.281{col 34}{space 2} 76.21225{col 45}{space 1}    8.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 525.7015{col 75}{space 3} 824.8605
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 755.8764{col 34}{space 2} 75.93996{col 45}{space 1}    9.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 606.8314{col 75}{space 3} 904.9214
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 725.7296{col 34}{space 2} 79.55397{col 45}{space 1}    9.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 569.5915{col 75}{space 3} 881.8677
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 848.8477{col 34}{space 2} 76.82717{col 45}{space 1}   11.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 698.0613{col 75}{space 3} 999.6341
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 900.2776{col 34}{space 2} 83.02232{col 45}{space 1}   10.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 737.3322{col 75}{space 3} 1063.223
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 891.3967{col 34}{space 2} 85.85292{col 45}{space 1}   10.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 722.8958{col 75}{space 3} 1059.898
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 883.4257{col 34}{space 2} 84.92323{col 45}{space 1}   10.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 716.7494{col 75}{space 3} 1050.102
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 966.8211{col 34}{space 2} 91.14293{col 45}{space 1}   10.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 787.9377{col 75}{space 3} 1145.705
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 884.5692{col 34}{space 2} 102.8533{col 45}{space 1}    8.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 682.7023{col 75}{space 3} 1086.436
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 818.2207{col 34}{space 2} 97.43506{col 45}{space 1}    8.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 626.9879{col 75}{space 3} 1009.454
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 940.8427{col 34}{space 2} 95.38358{col 45}{space 1}    9.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 753.6363{col 75}{space 3} 1128.049
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1221.901{col 34}{space 2} 107.2967{col 45}{space 1}   11.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1011.314{col 75}{space 3} 1432.489
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1138.729{col 34}{space 2} 120.1221{col 45}{space 1}    9.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 902.9687{col 75}{space 3} 1374.488
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 588.2509{col 34}{space 2} 117.0355{col 45}{space 1}    5.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 358.5489{col 75}{space 3}  817.953
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 683.4057{col 34}{space 2} 113.2839{col 45}{space 1}    6.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  461.067{col 75}{space 3} 905.7445
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1236.994{col 34}{space 2} 122.1439{col 45}{space 1}   10.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  997.266{col 75}{space 3} 1476.722
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1028.975{col 34}{space 2} 143.7985{col 45}{space 1}    7.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 746.7463{col 75}{space 3} 1311.204
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1149.117{col 34}{space 2} 133.4837{col 45}{space 1}    8.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 887.1326{col 75}{space 3} 1411.101
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 786.5258{col 34}{space 2}  136.908{col 45}{space 1}    5.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 517.8206{col 75}{space 3} 1055.231
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}    555.8{col 34}{space 2}  142.708{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 275.7113{col 75}{space 3} 835.8886
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1066.74{col 34}{space 2} 140.7017{col 45}{space 1}    7.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 790.5892{col 75}{space 3} 1342.891
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 895.2336{col 34}{space 2} 150.7146{col 45}{space 1}    5.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 599.4305{col 75}{space 3} 1191.037
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1035.863{col 34}{space 2} 155.2193{col 45}{space 1}    6.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 731.2193{col 75}{space 3} 1340.507
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1374.035{col 34}{space 2} 143.2744{col 45}{space 1}    9.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1092.835{col 75}{space 3} 1655.235
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1045.415{col 34}{space 2} 152.4662{col 45}{space 1}    6.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 746.1745{col 75}{space 3} 1344.656
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1064.732{col 34}{space 2} 146.0031{col 45}{space 1}    7.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 778.1762{col 75}{space 3} 1351.288
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 998.9971{col 34}{space 2} 148.2029{col 45}{space 1}    6.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 708.1239{col 75}{space 3}  1289.87
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1248.712{col 34}{space 2} 151.4374{col 45}{space 1}    8.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 951.4899{col 75}{space 3} 1545.933
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1163.878{col 34}{space 2} 165.0518{col 45}{space 1}    7.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 839.9355{col 75}{space 3}  1487.82
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 902.8602{col 34}{space 2} 166.4881{col 45}{space 1}    5.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  576.099{col 75}{space 3} 1229.621
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 901.6247{col 34}{space 2} 160.8047{col 45}{space 1}    5.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 586.0182{col 75}{space 3} 1217.231
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1332.738{col 34}{space 2} 162.6213{col 45}{space 1}    8.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1013.566{col 75}{space 3}  1651.91
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1023.565{col 34}{space 2} 179.0301{col 45}{space 1}    5.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 672.1884{col 75}{space 3} 1374.942
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1206.09{col 34}{space 2}  168.555{col 45}{space 1}    7.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 875.2719{col 75}{space 3} 1536.907
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1131.459{col 34}{space 2} 171.6037{col 45}{space 1}    6.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 794.6574{col 75}{space 3}  1468.26
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1180.303{col 34}{space 2}  170.746{col 45}{space 1}    6.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 845.1851{col 75}{space 3} 1515.421
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1279.308{col 34}{space 2} 176.1163{col 45}{space 1}    7.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 933.6501{col 75}{space 3} 1624.966
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1508.448{col 34}{space 2} 178.8807{col 45}{space 1}    8.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1157.364{col 75}{space 3} 1859.532
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1120.583{col 34}{space 2}   188.46{col 45}{space 1}    5.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 750.6987{col 75}{space 3} 1490.468
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1396.479{col 34}{space 2} 187.1371{col 45}{space 1}    7.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1029.191{col 75}{space 3} 1763.767
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1190.817{col 34}{space 2} 203.6685{col 45}{space 1}    5.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 791.0826{col 75}{space 3}  1590.55
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1050.773{col 34}{space 2} 194.3114{col 45}{space 1}    5.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 669.4044{col 75}{space 3} 1432.142
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1193.921{col 34}{space 2} 192.1916{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 816.7123{col 75}{space 3} 1571.129
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1470.236{col 34}{space 2} 208.0497{col 45}{space 1}    7.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1061.904{col 75}{space 3} 1878.569
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1311.801{col 34}{space 2} 218.8999{col 45}{space 1}    5.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 882.1731{col 75}{space 3} 1741.429
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1533.262{col 34}{space 2} 230.6658{col 45}{space 1}    6.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1080.541{col 75}{space 3} 1985.982
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1345.708{col 34}{space 2} 213.2044{col 45}{space 1}    6.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 927.2578{col 75}{space 3} 1764.157
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1213.301{col 34}{space 2} 253.4633{col 45}{space 1}    4.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 715.8365{col 75}{space 3} 1710.766
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 504.8594{col 34}{space 2} 225.5433{col 45}{space 1}    2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4} 62.19241{col 75}{space 3} 947.5263
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1467.819{col 34}{space 2} 222.7161{col 45}{space 1}    6.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1030.701{col 75}{space 3} 1904.937
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-54.75212{col 34}{space 2} 229.6192{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.812{col 62}{space 4}-505.4188{col 75}{space 3} 395.9146
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(196 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   878) ={res}   14.62
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   878) ={res}    7.71
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.664288{col 26}{space 2} 2.009997{col 37}{space 1}   -0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.408{col 54}{space 4}-5.609247{col 67}{space 3} 2.280671
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 21.89624{col 26}{space 2} 5.578908{col 37}{space 1}    3.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 10.96178{col 67}{space 3} 32.83069
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       975{col 27}-304.2572{col 38}-139.3232{col 49}    95{col 58} 468.6464{col 69}  932.478
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       975
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 94,       880){col 67}= {res}      4.34
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0500339{col 30}{space 2} .0140448{col 41}{space 1}   -3.56{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.0775992{col 71}{space 3}-.0224686
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000232{col 30}{space 2} .0000129{col 41}{space 1}   -1.80{col 50}{space 3}0.072{col 58}{space 4}-.0000485{col 71}{space 3} 2.11e-06
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.040612{col 30}{space 2} .0536283{col 41}{space 1}   -0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.449{col 58}{space 4}-.1458663{col 71}{space 3} .0646422
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000503{col 30}{space 2} .0000466{col 41}{space 1}   -1.08{col 50}{space 3}0.280{col 58}{space 4}-.0001417{col 71}{space 3} .0000411
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2607858{col 30}{space 2} .0467687{col 41}{space 1}   -5.58{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} -.352577{col 71}{space 3}-.1689947
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000615{col 30}{space 2} .0000512{col 41}{space 1}    1.20{col 50}{space 3}0.230{col 58}{space 4} -.000039{col 71}{space 3} .0001619
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1181805{col 30}{space 2} .0435124{col 41}{space 1}   -2.72{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4}-.2035806{col 71}{space 3}-.0327804
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000252{col 30}{space 2} .0000536{col 41}{space 1}    0.47{col 50}{space 3}0.638{col 58}{space 4}  -.00008{col 71}{space 3} .0001304
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0205769{col 30}{space 2} .0359331{col 41}{space 1}   -0.57{col 50}{space 3}0.567{col 58}{space 4}-.0911014{col 71}{space 3} .0499477
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0187496{col 30}{space 2} .0294368{col 41}{space 1}   -0.64{col 50}{space 3}0.524{col 58}{space 4}-.0765241{col 71}{space 3}  .039025
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0422761{col 30}{space 2} .0360955{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.242{col 58}{space 4}-.0285673{col 71}{space 3} .1131194
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0055357{col 30}{space 2} .0290796{col 41}{space 1}    0.19{col 50}{space 3}0.849{col 58}{space 4}-.0515378{col 71}{space 3} .0626093
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0830511{col 30}{space 2} .0308023{col 41}{space 1}   -2.70{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4}-.1435056{col 71}{space 3}-.0225965
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0553597{col 30}{space 2} .0359496{col 41}{space 1}    1.54{col 50}{space 3}0.124{col 58}{space 4}-.0151972{col 71}{space 3} .1259166
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .093371{col 30}{space 2}  .038619{col 41}{space 1}    2.42{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .0175749{col 71}{space 3} .1691672
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0054255{col 30}{space 2} .0342925{col 41}{space 1}    0.16{col 50}{space 3}0.874{col 58}{space 4}-.0618792{col 71}{space 3} .0727302
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.022539{col 30}{space 2} .0669682{col 41}{space 1}   -0.34{col 50}{space 3}0.737{col 58}{space 4} -.153975{col 71}{space 3}  .108897
{txt}{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2045262{col 30}{space 2}  .090506{col 41}{space 1}    2.26{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4} .0268934{col 71}{space 3}  .382159
{txt}{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .060846{col 30}{space 2} .0665605{col 41}{space 1}    0.91{col 50}{space 3}0.361{col 58}{space 4}-.0697899{col 71}{space 3} .1914819
{txt}{space 13}21  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0339867{col 30}{space 2} .0645422{col 41}{space 1}    0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.599{col 58}{space 4}-.0926879{col 71}{space 3} .1606612
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0272204{col 30}{space 2} .0641413{col 41}{space 1}    0.42{col 50}{space 3}0.671{col 58}{space 4}-.0986674{col 71}{space 3} .1531082
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0079099{col 30}{space 2} .0659405{col 41}{space 1}   -0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.905{col 58}{space 4} -.137329{col 71}{space 3} .1215091
{txt}{space 13}29  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1769586{col 30}{space 2} .0884915{col 41}{space 1}    2.00{col 50}{space 3}0.046{col 58}{space 4} .0032796{col 71}{space 3} .3506376
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0444007{col 30}{space 2}  .063573{col 41}{space 1}    0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.485{col 58}{space 4}-.0803717{col 71}{space 3} .1691731
{txt}{space 13}40  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0833872{col 30}{space 2}  .065472{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.203{col 58}{space 4}-.0451123{col 71}{space 3} .2118867
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1446546{col 30}{space 2} .0828476{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.081{col 58}{space 4}-.0179474{col 71}{space 3} .3072567
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0850193{col 30}{space 2} .0679913{col 41}{space 1}    1.25{col 50}{space 3}0.211{col 58}{space 4}-.0484247{col 71}{space 3} .2184634
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0860907{col 30}{space 2} .0704651{col 41}{space 1}    1.22{col 50}{space 3}0.222{col 58}{space 4}-.0522086{col 71}{space 3}   .22439
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2026453{col 30}{space 2} .0875214{col 41}{space 1}    2.32{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4} .0308704{col 71}{space 3} .3744203
{txt}{space 13}54  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0024981{col 30}{space 2} .0647483{col 41}{space 1}    0.04{col 50}{space 3}0.969{col 58}{space 4}-.1245809{col 71}{space 3} .1295771
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0287213{col 30}{space 2} .0779118{col 41}{space 1}   -0.37{col 50}{space 3}0.712{col 58}{space 4} -.181636{col 71}{space 3} .1241933
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0077096{col 30}{space 2} .0741004{col 41}{space 1}   -0.10{col 50}{space 3}0.917{col 58}{space 4}-.1531437{col 71}{space 3} .1377245
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.208837{col 30}{space 2} .0983839{col 41}{space 1}   -2.12{col 50}{space 3}0.034{col 58}{space 4}-.4019314{col 71}{space 3}-.0157426
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0806571{col 30}{space 2} .0665517{col 41}{space 1}   -1.21{col 50}{space 3}0.226{col 58}{space 4}-.2112757{col 71}{space 3} .0499615
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0246715{col 30}{space 2} .1649801{col 41}{space 1}    0.15{col 50}{space 3}0.881{col 58}{space 4}-.2991289{col 71}{space 3}  .348472
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0415051{col 30}{space 2} .0592315{col 41}{space 1}   -0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.484{col 58}{space 4}-.1577566{col 71}{space 3} .0747464
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1725696{col 30}{space 2}  .126692{col 41}{space 1}    1.36{col 50}{space 3}0.174{col 58}{space 4}-.0760841{col 71}{space 3} .4212233
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0134732{col 30}{space 2} .0593711{col 41}{space 1}   -0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.821{col 58}{space 4}-.1299987{col 71}{space 3} .1030523
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0076606{col 30}{space 2} .1170789{col 41}{space 1}    0.07{col 50}{space 3}0.948{col 58}{space 4}-.2221259{col 71}{space 3}  .237447
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0040509{col 30}{space 2} .0738854{col 41}{space 1}   -0.05{col 50}{space 3}0.956{col 58}{space 4} -.149063{col 71}{space 3} .1409612
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0181401{col 30}{space 2} .0778908{col 41}{space 1}   -0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.816{col 58}{space 4}-.1710135{col 71}{space 3} .1347333
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0045176{col 30}{space 2} .0673523{col 41}{space 1}   -0.07{col 50}{space 3}0.947{col 58}{space 4}-.1367075{col 71}{space 3} .1276723
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3204137{col 30}{space 2} .1521213{col 41}{space 1}   -2.11{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4}-.6189765{col 71}{space 3}-.0218509
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0548672{col 30}{space 2} .0746722{col 41}{space 1}   -0.73{col 50}{space 3}0.463{col 58}{space 4}-.2014236{col 71}{space 3} .0916891
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0786057{col 30}{space 2} .1002819{col 41}{space 1}    0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.433{col 58}{space 4} -.118214{col 71}{space 3} .2754254
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0261691{col 30}{space 2} .1044318{col 41}{space 1}    0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.802{col 58}{space 4}-.1787954{col 71}{space 3} .2311335
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3754011{col 30}{space 2} .1316317{col 41}{space 1}    2.85{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .1170524{col 71}{space 3} .6337498
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3281269{col 30}{space 2} .1190984{col 41}{space 1}    2.76{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .0943769{col 71}{space 3}  .561877
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .015816{col 30}{space 2} .1930971{col 41}{space 1}    0.08{col 50}{space 3}0.935{col 58}{space 4}-.3631687{col 71}{space 3} .3948007
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3923139{col 30}{space 2} .1514222{col 41}{space 1}    2.59{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4}  .095123{col 71}{space 3} .6895047
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7244385{col 30}{space 2} .2189119{col 41}{space 1}    3.31{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .2947881{col 71}{space 3} 1.154089
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0532209{col 30}{space 2} .1972324{col 41}{space 1}    0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.787{col 58}{space 4}-.3338799{col 71}{space 3} .4403218
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3264141{col 30}{space 2} .1273419{col 41}{space 1}    2.56{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .0764849{col 71}{space 3} .5763433
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4165437{col 30}{space 2} .1318256{col 41}{space 1}    3.16{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .1578145{col 71}{space 3}  .675273
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0675634{col 30}{space 2} .0990106{col 41}{space 1}    0.68{col 50}{space 3}0.495{col 58}{space 4} -.126761{col 71}{space 3} .2618879
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2259102{col 30}{space 2} .1312485{col 41}{space 1}    1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.086{col 58}{space 4}-.0316865{col 71}{space 3} .4835069
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3290396{col 30}{space 2} .1112837{col 41}{space 1}    2.96{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1106271{col 71}{space 3} .5474521
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1086682{col 30}{space 2} .0998413{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.277{col 58}{space 4}-.0872866{col 71}{space 3}  .304623
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0983111{col 30}{space 2} .1743643{col 41}{space 1}   -0.56{col 50}{space 3}0.573{col 58}{space 4}-.4405295{col 71}{space 3} .2439073
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1595173{col 30}{space 2} .1255891{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.204{col 58}{space 4}-.0869717{col 71}{space 3} .4060063
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2450572{col 30}{space 2} .2082541{col 41}{space 1}    1.18{col 50}{space 3}0.240{col 58}{space 4}-.1636755{col 71}{space 3} .6537898
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1405143{col 30}{space 2} .1161294{col 41}{space 1}    1.21{col 50}{space 3}0.227{col 58}{space 4}-.0874086{col 71}{space 3} .3684372
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3294847{col 30}{space 2} .1307935{col 41}{space 1}    2.52{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4}  .072781{col 71}{space 3} .5861884
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2456689{col 30}{space 2} .1074288{col 41}{space 1}    2.29{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4} .0348223{col 71}{space 3} .4565155
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4094166{col 30}{space 2} .1357455{col 41}{space 1}    3.02{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1429939{col 71}{space 3} .6758392
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2536667{col 30}{space 2} .1268623{col 41}{space 1}    2.00{col 50}{space 3}0.046{col 58}{space 4} .0046786{col 71}{space 3} .5026547
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2919172{col 30}{space 2} .1670804{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.081{col 58}{space 4}-.0360053{col 71}{space 3} .6198398
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2646107{col 30}{space 2}   .13788{col 41}{space 1}    1.92{col 50}{space 3}0.055{col 58}{space 4}-.0060012{col 71}{space 3} .5352226
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4808344{col 30}{space 2} .1544104{col 41}{space 1}    3.11{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .1777786{col 71}{space 3} .7838901
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2281083{col 30}{space 2}  .122438{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.063{col 58}{space 4}-.0121963{col 71}{space 3} .4684128
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4105389{col 30}{space 2}  .144641{col 41}{space 1}    2.84{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .1266573{col 71}{space 3} .6944204
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3121802{col 30}{space 2} .1362318{col 41}{space 1}    2.29{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4} .0448031{col 71}{space 3} .5795573
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3587774{col 30}{space 2} .1470059{col 41}{space 1}    2.44{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .0702542{col 71}{space 3} .6473005
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3044642{col 30}{space 2} .1361877{col 41}{space 1}    2.24{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4} .0371736{col 71}{space 3} .5717548
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3155348{col 30}{space 2} .1418873{col 41}{space 1}    2.22{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4} .0370578{col 71}{space 3} .5940118
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3532513{col 30}{space 2} .1553853{col 41}{space 1}    2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.023{col 58}{space 4} .0482823{col 71}{space 3} .6582204
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3644255{col 30}{space 2} .1529437{col 41}{space 1}    2.38{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .0642484{col 71}{space 3} .6646026
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3381979{col 30}{space 2} .1467832{col 41}{space 1}    2.30{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4}  .050112{col 71}{space 3} .6262839
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5393488{col 30}{space 2} .1539179{col 41}{space 1}    3.50{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .2372598{col 71}{space 3} .8414379
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4043454{col 30}{space 2} .1553797{col 41}{space 1}    2.60{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4} .0993872{col 71}{space 3} .7093035
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4193156{col 30}{space 2} .1585145{col 41}{space 1}    2.65{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .1082049{col 71}{space 3} .7304263
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4002822{col 30}{space 2} .1635373{col 41}{space 1}    2.45{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .0793134{col 71}{space 3} .7212509
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3252699{col 30}{space 2} .1635359{col 41}{space 1}    1.99{col 50}{space 3}0.047{col 58}{space 4} .0043039{col 71}{space 3} .6462359
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .371515{col 30}{space 2} .1633656{col 41}{space 1}    2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.023{col 58}{space 4} .0508833{col 71}{space 3} .6921466
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4005007{col 30}{space 2} .1725465{col 41}{space 1}    2.32{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4}   .06185{col 71}{space 3} .7391515
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3627454{col 30}{space 2} .1653423{col 41}{space 1}    2.19{col 50}{space 3}0.029{col 58}{space 4}  .038234{col 71}{space 3} .6872567
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4443295{col 30}{space 2} .1773718{col 41}{space 1}    2.51{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .0962084{col 71}{space 3} .7924507
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4239986{col 30}{space 2} .1841977{col 41}{space 1}    2.30{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4} .0624806{col 71}{space 3} .7855166
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4113213{col 30}{space 2} .1841203{col 41}{space 1}    2.23{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4} .0499552{col 71}{space 3} .7726875
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4344245{col 30}{space 2} .1822949{col 41}{space 1}    2.38{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4}  .076641{col 71}{space 3} .7922079
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4348195{col 30}{space 2} .1853347{col 41}{space 1}    2.35{col 50}{space 3}0.019{col 58}{space 4} .0710699{col 71}{space 3} .7985691
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4449697{col 30}{space 2} .1801229{col 41}{space 1}    2.47{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .0914492{col 71}{space 3} .7984903
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4015287{col 30}{space 2}  .179574{col 41}{space 1}    2.24{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4} .0490852{col 71}{space 3} .7539721
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4526744{col 30}{space 2} .2066045{col 41}{space 1}    2.19{col 50}{space 3}0.029{col 58}{space 4} .0471794{col 71}{space 3} .8581694
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0821162{col 30}{space 2} .0980015{col 41}{space 1}    0.84{col 50}{space 3}0.402{col 58}{space 4}-.1102278{col 71}{space 3} .2744601
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,364 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   880) ={res}   12.69
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   880) ={res}    7.17
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0008
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000363{col 26}{space 2} .0000738{col 37}{space 1}    0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.622{col 54}{space 4}-.0001085{col 67}{space 3} .0001811
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0004637{col 26}{space 2} .0002709{col 37}{space 1}   -1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.087{col 54}{space 4}-.0009947{col 67}{space 3} .0000673
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.B: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980)***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       525{col 27}-3656.865{col 38}-3205.602{col 49}    69{col 58} 6549.204{col 69} 6843.378
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       525
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 68,       456){col 67}= {res}     49.12
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1590095{col 34}{space 2} .0454608{col 45}{space 1}   -3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-.2483482{col 75}{space 3}-.0696708
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.665948{col 34}{space 2} .8453329{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 1.004717{col 75}{space 3} 4.327179
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2268053{col 34}{space 2} .0712169{col 45}{space 1}    3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} .0868513{col 75}{space 3} .3667593
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8508443{col 34}{space 2} 1.031896{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.410{col 62}{space 4}-1.177016{col 75}{space 3} 2.878705
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1045915{col 34}{space 2} .0464685{col 45}{space 1}   -2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4}-.1959105{col 75}{space 3}-.0132725
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.032774{col 34}{space 2} .9436733{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.274{col 62}{space 4}-2.887261{col 75}{space 3} .8217144
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0800099{col 34}{space 2} .0509658{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.117{col 62}{space 4}-.1801668{col 75}{space 3}  .020147
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1769184{col 34}{space 2} 1.039896{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.865{col 62}{space 4}-2.220502{col 75}{space 3} 1.866665
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-63.07079{col 34}{space 2} 185.9852{col 45}{space 1}   -0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.735{col 62}{space 4}-428.5652{col 75}{space 3} 302.4236
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.53881{col 34}{space 2} 231.0196{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.960{col 62}{space 4}-442.4563{col 75}{space 3} 465.5339
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 18.41985{col 34}{space 2} 42.60734{col 45}{space 1}    0.43{col 54}{space 3}0.666{col 62}{space 4}-65.31124{col 75}{space 3} 102.1509
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.782752{col 34}{space 2} 51.17673{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.972{col 62}{space 4}-102.3542{col 75}{space 3} 98.78873
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-201.4206{col 34}{space 2} 198.0962{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.310{col 62}{space 4}-590.7152{col 75}{space 3} 187.8741
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 169.5404{col 34}{space 2}  504.043{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.737{col 62}{space 4}-820.9947{col 75}{space 3} 1160.076
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-44.05723{col 34}{space 2}  365.161{col 45}{space 1}   -0.12{col 54}{space 3}0.904{col 62}{space 4}-761.6643{col 75}{space 3} 673.5498
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3103.628{col 34}{space 2} 662.2763{col 45}{space 1}    4.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1802.136{col 75}{space 3}  4405.12
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-35.85276{col 34}{space 2} 47.19607{col 45}{space 1}   -0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.448{col 62}{space 4}-128.6015{col 75}{space 3} 56.89601
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.18136{col 34}{space 2} 44.43705{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.801{col 62}{space 4}-76.14543{col 75}{space 3} 98.50816
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.10319{col 34}{space 2} 42.21492{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-43.85672{col 75}{space 3} 122.0631
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.83561{col 34}{space 2} 41.83047{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.741{col 62}{space 4}   -96.04{col 75}{space 3} 68.36878
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-49.08923{col 34}{space 2} 40.06164{col 45}{space 1}   -1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-127.8176{col 75}{space 3} 29.63911
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 244.2205{col 34}{space 2} 78.70168{col 45}{space 1}    3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 89.55755{col 75}{space 3} 398.8835
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 101.8014{col 34}{space 2} 36.49352{col 45}{space 1}    2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 30.08508{col 75}{space 3} 173.5178
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-52.31738{col 34}{space 2} 70.74633{col 45}{space 1}   -0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.460{col 62}{space 4}-191.3467{col 75}{space 3} 86.71189
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 130.0166{col 34}{space 2} 54.29262{col 45}{space 1}    2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} 23.32187{col 75}{space 3} 236.7114
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-148.8132{col 34}{space 2} 51.18642{col 45}{space 1}   -2.91{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-249.4037{col 75}{space 3}-48.22266
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 205.2363{col 34}{space 2} 101.1774{col 45}{space 1}    2.03{col 54}{space 3}0.043{col 62}{space 4} 6.404493{col 75}{space 3} 404.0682
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.41432{col 34}{space 2} 29.06184{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.462{col 62}{space 4}-35.69744{col 75}{space 3} 78.52607
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 168.3133{col 34}{space 2} 69.78226{col 45}{space 1}    2.41{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 31.17859{col 75}{space 3}  305.448
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-22.18977{col 34}{space 2}  28.0167{col 45}{space 1}   -0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.429{col 62}{space 4}-77.24762{col 75}{space 3} 32.86808
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-52.76914{col 34}{space 2} 45.42836{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.246{col 62}{space 4} -142.044{col 75}{space 3} 36.50576
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 302.7606{col 34}{space 2}  75.4361{col 45}{space 1}    4.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 154.5151{col 75}{space 3} 451.0061
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 251.7655{col 34}{space 2} 72.77266{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 108.7541{col 75}{space 3} 394.7769
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-56.25557{col 34}{space 2} 72.10706{col 45}{space 1}   -0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.436{col 62}{space 4}-197.9589{col 75}{space 3} 85.44777
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 75.27754{col 34}{space 2} 81.24601{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-84.38549{col 75}{space 3} 234.9406
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 397.1949{col 34}{space 2} 87.36898{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 225.4991{col 75}{space 3} 568.8906
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 95.11187{col 34}{space 2}  92.7714{col 45}{space 1}    1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.306{col 62}{space 4}-87.20063{col 75}{space 3} 277.4244
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 368.6098{col 34}{space 2} 76.85188{col 45}{space 1}    4.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 217.5821{col 75}{space 3} 519.6376
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 354.4739{col 34}{space 2} 61.92971{col 45}{space 1}    5.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 232.7709{col 75}{space 3} 476.1769
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 476.1473{col 34}{space 2} 58.08114{col 45}{space 1}    8.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 362.0074{col 75}{space 3} 590.2872
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  440.599{col 34}{space 2} 57.09567{col 45}{space 1}    7.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 328.3957{col 75}{space 3} 552.8023
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 259.7806{col 34}{space 2} 57.76685{col 45}{space 1}    4.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 146.2584{col 75}{space 3} 373.3029
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 688.1568{col 34}{space 2} 65.91401{col 45}{space 1}   10.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 558.6239{col 75}{space 3} 817.6897
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 566.1604{col 34}{space 2} 71.65786{col 45}{space 1}    7.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 425.3399{col 75}{space 3}  706.981
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 358.1269{col 34}{space 2} 81.35703{col 45}{space 1}    4.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 198.2457{col 75}{space 3} 518.0081
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 497.2221{col 34}{space 2} 79.79393{col 45}{space 1}    6.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 340.4126{col 75}{space 3} 654.0315
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 682.9075{col 34}{space 2} 83.12673{col 45}{space 1}    8.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 519.5485{col 75}{space 3} 846.2665
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 424.4634{col 34}{space 2} 90.03257{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 247.5332{col 75}{space 3} 601.3936
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   633.39{col 34}{space 2} 95.53744{col 45}{space 1}    6.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 445.6417{col 75}{space 3} 821.1382
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 697.4466{col 34}{space 2} 91.40208{col 45}{space 1}    7.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 517.8251{col 75}{space 3} 877.0682
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 692.8409{col 34}{space 2} 99.80003{col 45}{space 1}    6.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 496.7159{col 75}{space 3} 888.9659
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 845.9425{col 34}{space 2} 102.8884{col 45}{space 1}    8.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 643.7482{col 75}{space 3} 1048.137
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 931.8391{col 34}{space 2} 107.9262{col 45}{space 1}    8.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 719.7446{col 75}{space 3} 1143.934
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  970.811{col 34}{space 2} 119.7816{col 45}{space 1}    8.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 735.4185{col 75}{space 3} 1206.203
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1011.753{col 34}{space 2} 129.9599{col 45}{space 1}    7.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 756.3588{col 75}{space 3} 1267.148
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1101.858{col 34}{space 2} 144.0535{col 45}{space 1}    7.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 818.7671{col 75}{space 3} 1384.949
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1039.89{col 34}{space 2} 161.7517{col 45}{space 1}    6.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  722.019{col 75}{space 3} 1357.761
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1012.45{col 34}{space 2} 173.0698{col 45}{space 1}    5.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 672.3367{col 75}{space 3} 1352.563
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1134.323{col 34}{space 2} 180.6251{col 45}{space 1}    6.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 779.3622{col 75}{space 3} 1489.284
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1420.048{col 34}{space 2} 198.2909{col 45}{space 1}    7.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1030.37{col 75}{space 3} 1809.725
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1400.273{col 34}{space 2}  211.012{col 45}{space 1}    6.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 985.5963{col 75}{space 3} 1814.949
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 941.9436{col 34}{space 2} 217.1184{col 45}{space 1}    4.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 515.2668{col 75}{space 3}  1368.62
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1061.662{col 34}{space 2}  231.352{col 45}{space 1}    4.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 607.0132{col 75}{space 3}  1516.31
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1480.116{col 34}{space 2} 237.4437{col 45}{space 1}    6.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1013.496{col 75}{space 3} 1946.736
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1288.496{col 34}{space 2} 256.1457{col 45}{space 1}    5.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 785.1235{col 75}{space 3} 1791.868
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1532.411{col 34}{space 2} 267.0361{col 45}{space 1}    5.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1007.637{col 75}{space 3} 2057.185
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1197.263{col 34}{space 2} 264.0398{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 678.3773{col 75}{space 3} 1716.149
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 982.1783{col 34}{space 2} 285.6958{col 45}{space 1}    3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 420.7347{col 75}{space 3} 1543.622
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 389.2302{col 34}{space 2} 350.6392{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.268{col 62}{space 4}-299.8389{col 75}{space 3} 1078.299
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,814 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   456) ={res}   12.23
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   456) ={res}    7.69
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3588475{col 26}{space 2} 2.016366{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.859{col 54}{space 4} -4.32137{col 67}{space 3} 3.603675
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.76597{col 26}{space 2} 5.329548{col 37}{space 1}    3.15{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} 6.320247{col 67}{space 3} 27.21169
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        525
{txt}25%    {res} 2.827462              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        525

{txt}50%    {res} 14.38121                      {txt}Mean          {res} 25.44611
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}  26.1939
{txt}75%    {res}     44.5       90.90909
{txt}90%    {res} 67.47368       90.90909       {txt}Variance      {res} 686.1205
{txt}95%    {res} 77.92553       98.80105       {txt}Skewness      {res} .8247095
{txt}99%    {res} 89.89899       98.80105       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.467488
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 39.39394  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 1.923077

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 39.39394 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 1.923077

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 628.2354{col 26}{space 2} 199.7028{col 37}{space 1}    3.15{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} 236.8251{col 67}{space 3} 1019.646
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       525{col 27}-299.0065{col 38}-198.0974{col 49}    63{col 58} 522.1948{col 69} 790.7889
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       525
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 62,       462){col 67}= {res}      4.44
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0992203{col 30}{space 2} .0305016{col 41}{space 1}   -3.25{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.1591594{col 71}{space 3}-.0392812
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001355{col 30}{space 2}  .000075{col 41}{space 1}   -1.81{col 50}{space 3}0.072{col 58}{space 4}-.0002829{col 71}{space 3} .0000119
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0148029{col 30}{space 2} .0662321{col 41}{space 1}   -0.22{col 50}{space 3}0.823{col 58}{space 4}-.1449564{col 71}{space 3} .1153505
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001185{col 30}{space 2} .0001095{col 41}{space 1}   -1.08{col 50}{space 3}0.280{col 58}{space 4}-.0003336{col 71}{space 3} .0000966
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2684921{col 30}{space 2} .0526283{col 41}{space 1}   -5.10{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.3719125{col 71}{space 3}-.1650717
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002562{col 30}{space 2} .0001468{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.082{col 58}{space 4}-.0000324{col 71}{space 3} .0005447
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1146761{col 30}{space 2} .0514802{col 41}{space 1}   -2.23{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4}-.2158403{col 71}{space 3}-.0135118
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .00011{col 30}{space 2} .0001426{col 41}{space 1}    0.77{col 50}{space 3}0.441{col 58}{space 4}-.0001702{col 71}{space 3} .0003903
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .217048{col 30}{space 2}  .086015{col 41}{space 1}    2.52{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .0480188{col 71}{space 3} .3860772
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1773933{col 30}{space 2} .0686811{col 41}{space 1}   -2.58{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4}-.3123593{col 71}{space 3}-.0424272
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1332594{col 30}{space 2}  .070873{col 41}{space 1}   -1.88{col 50}{space 3}0.061{col 58}{space 4}-.2725329{col 71}{space 3}  .006014
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1112682{col 30}{space 2} .0569181{col 41}{space 1}    1.95{col 50}{space 3}0.051{col 58}{space 4}-.0005823{col 71}{space 3} .2231186
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0198041{col 30}{space 2} .1009799{col 41}{space 1}    0.20{col 50}{space 3}0.845{col 58}{space 4}-.1786327{col 71}{space 3}  .218241
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0469314{col 30}{space 2} .0854419{col 41}{space 1}    0.55{col 50}{space 3}0.583{col 58}{space 4}-.1209715{col 71}{space 3} .2148343
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0137176{col 30}{space 2} .1023943{col 41}{space 1}    0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.893{col 58}{space 4}-.1874988{col 71}{space 3} .2149339
{txt}{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6037907{col 30}{space 2} .1821584{col 41}{space 1}    3.31{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .2458291{col 71}{space 3} .9617523
{txt}{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2854941{col 30}{space 2} .1187055{col 41}{space 1}    2.41{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .0522246{col 71}{space 3} .5187637
{txt}{space 13}21  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3683461{col 30}{space 2}  .142638{col 41}{space 1}    2.58{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4} .0880465{col 71}{space 3} .6486457
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1212997{col 30}{space 2} .1079811{col 41}{space 1}    1.12{col 50}{space 3}0.262{col 58}{space 4}-.0908953{col 71}{space 3} .3334948
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0511355{col 30}{space 2}  .110351{col 41}{space 1}   -0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.643{col 58}{space 4}-.2679876{col 71}{space 3} .1657165
{txt}{space 13}29  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6233983{col 30}{space 2} .2017786{col 41}{space 1}    3.09{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2268809{col 71}{space 3} 1.019916
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2811253{col 30}{space 2} .1136072{col 41}{space 1}    2.47{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .0578743{col 71}{space 3} .5043762
{txt}{space 13}40  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4506045{col 30}{space 2} .1434414{col 41}{space 1}    3.14{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .1687261{col 71}{space 3} .7324829
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1491855{col 30}{space 2} .1414064{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.292{col 58}{space 4}-.1286938{col 71}{space 3} .4270649
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3927288{col 30}{space 2} .1296386{col 41}{space 1}    3.03{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1379745{col 71}{space 3} .6474831
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3653387{col 30}{space 2} .1592766{col 41}{space 1}    2.29{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4} .0523424{col 71}{space 3}  .678335
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5242236{col 30}{space 2} .1646659{col 41}{space 1}    3.18{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2006367{col 71}{space 3} .8478106
{txt}{space 13}54  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3816612{col 30}{space 2} .1486004{col 41}{space 1}    2.57{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .0896448{col 71}{space 3} .6736775
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0468807{col 30}{space 2} .1275393{col 41}{space 1}    0.37{col 50}{space 3}0.713{col 58}{space 4}-.2037482{col 71}{space 3} .2975097
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1038715{col 30}{space 2} .1702516{col 41}{space 1}    0.61{col 50}{space 3}0.542{col 58}{space 4}-.2306919{col 71}{space 3} .4384349
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1996806{col 30}{space 2} .1410451{col 41}{space 1}   -1.42{col 50}{space 3}0.158{col 58}{space 4}  -.47685{col 71}{space 3} .0774888
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0695453{col 30}{space 2}  .112369{col 41}{space 1}   -0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.536{col 58}{space 4}-.2903631{col 71}{space 3} .1512724
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0185858{col 30}{space 2} .1856679{col 41}{space 1}    0.10{col 50}{space 3}0.920{col 58}{space 4}-.3462725{col 71}{space 3} .3834441
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0347932{col 30}{space 2} .0951581{col 41}{space 1}   -0.37{col 50}{space 3}0.715{col 58}{space 4}-.2217895{col 71}{space 3} .1522031
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2056877{col 30}{space 2} .1450667{col 41}{space 1}    1.42{col 50}{space 3}0.157{col 58}{space 4}-.0793846{col 71}{space 3} .4907599
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0236798{col 30}{space 2} .0873081{col 41}{space 1}    0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.786{col 58}{space 4}-.1478904{col 71}{space 3} .1952501
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1074578{col 30}{space 2} .1514016{col 41}{space 1}    0.71{col 50}{space 3}0.478{col 58}{space 4}-.1900634{col 71}{space 3} .4049789
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0694747{col 30}{space 2} .1280971{col 41}{space 1}    0.54{col 50}{space 3}0.588{col 58}{space 4}-.1822506{col 71}{space 3} .3211999
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0601504{col 30}{space 2} .1017287{col 41}{space 1}    0.59{col 50}{space 3}0.555{col 58}{space 4}-.1397578{col 71}{space 3} .2600586
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1333203{col 30}{space 2} .1207506{col 41}{space 1}    1.10{col 50}{space 3}0.270{col 58}{space 4}-.1039682{col 71}{space 3} .3706087
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1536343{col 30}{space 2} .1935661{col 41}{space 1}   -0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.428{col 58}{space 4}-.5340134{col 71}{space 3} .2267449
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .07766{col 30}{space 2} .1357274{col 41}{space 1}    0.57{col 50}{space 3}0.567{col 58}{space 4}-.1890595{col 71}{space 3} .3443795
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2344598{col 30}{space 2} .1583358{col 41}{space 1}    1.48{col 50}{space 3}0.139{col 58}{space 4}-.0766877{col 71}{space 3} .5456074
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1994099{col 30}{space 2} .1765879{col 41}{space 1}    1.13{col 50}{space 3}0.259{col 58}{space 4}-.1476051{col 71}{space 3}  .546425
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5525513{col 30}{space 2} .1925348{col 41}{space 1}    2.87{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .1741989{col 71}{space 3} .9309037
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5349306{col 30}{space 2}   .19724{col 41}{space 1}    2.71{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .1473319{col 71}{space 3} .9225293
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2634667{col 30}{space 2} .2508224{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.294{col 58}{space 4}-.2294274{col 71}{space 3} .7563609
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6612769{col 30}{space 2} .2414936{col 41}{space 1}    2.74{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4}  .186715{col 71}{space 3} 1.135839
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.029572{col 30}{space 2} .2801956{col 41}{space 1}    3.67{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4789568{col 71}{space 3} 1.580188
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4331811{col 30}{space 2}  .296369{col 41}{space 1}    1.46{col 50}{space 3}0.145{col 58}{space 4}-.1492172{col 71}{space 3} 1.015579
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7586926{col 30}{space 2} .2861533{col 41}{space 1}    2.65{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4} .1963692{col 71}{space 3} 1.321016
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8769238{col 30}{space 2} .3167372{col 41}{space 1}    2.77{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .2544997{col 71}{space 3} 1.499348
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5889727{col 30}{space 2} .3076969{col 41}{space 1}    1.91{col 50}{space 3}0.056{col 58}{space 4}-.0156861{col 71}{space 3} 1.193632
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8022641{col 30}{space 2} .3704703{col 41}{space 1}    2.17{col 50}{space 3}0.031{col 58}{space 4} .0742486{col 71}{space 3}  1.53028
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8928833{col 30}{space 2} .3630269{col 41}{space 1}    2.46{col 50}{space 3}0.014{col 58}{space 4} .1794948{col 71}{space 3} 1.606272
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6702155{col 30}{space 2}  .357883{col 41}{space 1}    1.87{col 50}{space 3}0.062{col 58}{space 4}-.0330647{col 71}{space 3} 1.373496
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5846551{col 30}{space 2} .4055176{col 41}{space 1}    1.44{col 50}{space 3}0.150{col 58}{space 4}-.2122325{col 71}{space 3} 1.381543
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9016712{col 30}{space 2} .4378724{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.040{col 58}{space 4} .0412029{col 71}{space 3}  1.76214
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9188337{col 30}{space 2} .4663325{col 41}{space 1}    1.97{col 50}{space 3}0.049{col 58}{space 4} .0024382{col 71}{space 3} 1.835229
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8422568{col 30}{space 2} .4249502{col 41}{space 1}    1.98{col 50}{space 3}0.048{col 58}{space 4} .0071821{col 71}{space 3} 1.677332
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.031637{col 30}{space 2} .4539967{col 41}{space 1}    2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4}  .139483{col 71}{space 3} 1.923792
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9987955{col 30}{space 2} .4498547{col 41}{space 1}    2.22{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4} .1147807{col 71}{space 3}  1.88281
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4366354{col 30}{space 2} .3319413{col 41}{space 1}    1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.189{col 58}{space 4}-.2156665{col 71}{space 3} 1.088937
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,814 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   462) ={res}   10.58
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0012
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   462) ={res}    7.34
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0007
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002477{col 26}{space 2} .0002471{col 37}{space 1}    1.00{col 46}{space 3}0.317{col 54}{space 4}-.0002378{col 67}{space 3} .0007332
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0013655{col 26}{space 2} .0008882{col 37}{space 1}   -1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.124{col 54}{space 4}-.0031063{col 67}{space 3} .0003754
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  3271.09       2933.336
{txt} 5%    {res} 3844.369       2952.088
{txt}10%    {res} 4238.497       3099.246       {txt}Obs         {res}        525
{txt}25%    {res} 5040.902       3175.111       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        525

{txt}50%    {res} 6559.107                      {txt}Mean          {res} 7002.133
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2330.204
{txt}75%    {res} 8959.338        12169.1
{txt}90%    {res} 10229.67       12264.53       {txt}Variance      {res}  5429851
{txt}95%    {res}  11124.2       12302.72       {txt}Skewness      {res}  .380276
{txt}99%    {res} 12039.16       12331.84       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  2.05981
{txt}
{com}. 
. *
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.308285{col 26}{space 2} 3.452957{col 37}{space 1}   -1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.124{col 54}{space 4}-12.07596{col 67}{space 3} 1.459387
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.C: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       450{col 27} -3191.74{col 38}-2933.194{col 49}    66{col 58} 5998.387{col 69} 6269.598
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       450
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 65,       384){col 67}= {res}     33.17
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1566578{col 34}{space 2} .0263637{col 45}{space 1}   -5.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2084931{col 75}{space 3}-.1048225
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .817842{col 34}{space 2} 1.099782{col 45}{space 1}    0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.458{col 62}{space 4}-1.344507{col 75}{space 3} 2.980191
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2041309{col 34}{space 2} .1057038{col 45}{space 1}    1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.054{col 62}{space 4}-.0036998{col 75}{space 3} .4119616
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0288336{col 34}{space 2} 1.568801{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.985{col 62}{space 4}-3.113349{col 75}{space 3} 3.055682
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .247979{col 34}{space 2} .1018284{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} .0477679{col 75}{space 3} .4481901
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.026638{col 34}{space 2} 1.570023{col 45}{space 1}   -1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.198{col 62}{space 4}-5.113556{col 75}{space 3}  1.06028
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0046197{col 34}{space 2} .0693195{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.947{col 62}{space 4}-.1316736{col 75}{space 3}  .140913
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.427972{col 34}{space 2}  1.70082{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.402{col 62}{space 4}-4.772059{col 75}{space 3} 1.916115
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-198.3066{col 34}{space 2} 772.9839{col 45}{space 1}   -0.26{col 54}{space 3}0.798{col 62}{space 4}-1718.117{col 75}{space 3} 1321.504
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 631.5694{col 34}{space 2} 1006.912{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.531{col 62}{space 4}-1348.182{col 75}{space 3} 2611.321
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 63.79527{col 34}{space 2} 67.99458{col 45}{space 1}    0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.349{col 62}{space 4}-69.89301{col 75}{space 3} 197.4836
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-195.3463{col 34}{space 2} 59.28893{col 45}{space 1}   -3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-311.9179{col 75}{space 3}-78.77469
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-429.8811{col 34}{space 2} 539.0226{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.426{col 62}{space 4}-1489.686{col 75}{space 3} 629.9241
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-930.6367{col 34}{space 2} 892.9698{col 45}{space 1}   -1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.298{col 62}{space 4}-2686.359{col 75}{space 3} 825.0856
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 261.0778{col 34}{space 2} 3338.016{col 45}{space 1}    0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.938{col 62}{space 4}-6301.999{col 75}{space 3} 6824.154
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5885.929{col 34}{space 2} 2878.826{col 45}{space 1}    2.04{col 54}{space 3}0.042{col 62}{space 4} 225.6937{col 75}{space 3} 11546.16
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9759704{col 34}{space 2} 39.63082{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.980{col 62}{space 4}-78.89655{col 75}{space 3} 76.94461
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 103.7011{col 34}{space 2} 57.60482{col 45}{space 1}    1.80{col 54}{space 3}0.073{col 62}{space 4}-9.559198{col 75}{space 3} 216.9615
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.67923{col 34}{space 2} 45.84225{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.652{col 62}{space 4}-69.45403{col 75}{space 3} 110.8125
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-95.06775{col 34}{space 2} 56.65351{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.094{col 62}{space 4}-206.4577{col 75}{space 3} 16.32218
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-53.99679{col 34}{space 2} 61.30141{col 45}{space 1}   -0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.379{col 62}{space 4}-174.5252{col 75}{space 3} 66.53166
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 78.44764{col 34}{space 2} 71.79777{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.275{col 62}{space 4}-62.71833{col 75}{space 3} 219.6136
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-76.60495{col 34}{space 2} 72.60072{col 45}{space 1}   -1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.292{col 62}{space 4}-219.3496{col 75}{space 3} 66.13974
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 408.1116{col 34}{space 2} 75.14055{col 45}{space 1}    5.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 260.3732{col 75}{space 3}   555.85
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 247.7791{col 34}{space 2} 56.18636{col 45}{space 1}    4.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 137.3077{col 75}{space 3} 358.2505
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 27.54443{col 34}{space 2} 86.76201{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.751{col 62}{space 4}-143.0436{col 75}{space 3} 198.1325
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 45.76368{col 34}{space 2} 52.92965{col 45}{space 1}    0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.388{col 62}{space 4}-58.30453{col 75}{space 3} 149.8319
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-220.4424{col 34}{space 2} 51.99859{col 45}{space 1}   -4.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  -322.68{col 75}{space 3}-118.2048
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 329.4143{col 34}{space 2} 93.70492{col 45}{space 1}    3.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 145.1754{col 75}{space 3} 513.6533
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 180.2968{col 34}{space 2} 46.82775{col 45}{space 1}    3.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 88.22589{col 75}{space 3} 272.3677
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 51.15106{col 34}{space 2} 44.53911{col 45}{space 1}    1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}   -36.42{col 75}{space 3} 138.7221
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.645011{col 34}{space 2} 42.99114{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.823{col 62}{space 4}-94.17251{col 75}{space 3} 74.88249
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 155.0692{col 34}{space 2} 72.92602{col 45}{space 1}    2.13{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 11.68489{col 75}{space 3} 298.4535
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 307.0423{col 34}{space 2}  67.0042{col 45}{space 1}    4.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 175.3013{col 75}{space 3} 438.7834
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 608.0749{col 34}{space 2}  100.162{col 45}{space 1}    6.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 411.1402{col 75}{space 3} 805.0095
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-82.74139{col 34}{space 2} 88.70363{col 45}{space 1}   -0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.352{col 62}{space 4} -257.147{col 75}{space 3} 91.66422
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-18.81101{col 34}{space 2}  85.1772{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.825{col 62}{space 4}-186.2831{col 75}{space 3} 148.6611
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 48.68658{col 34}{space 2} 105.9604{col 45}{space 1}    0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.646{col 62}{space 4}-159.6487{col 75}{space 3} 257.0219
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  379.257{col 34}{space 2} 85.25874{col 45}{space 1}    4.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 211.6246{col 75}{space 3} 546.8894
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 114.9519{col 34}{space 2} 108.0429{col 45}{space 1}    1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.288{col 62}{space 4}-97.47792{col 75}{space 3} 327.3817
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 70.93076{col 34}{space 2} 100.9254{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.483{col 62}{space 4}-127.5048{col 75}{space 3} 269.3663
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 56.43876{col 34}{space 2} 90.09814{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.531{col 62}{space 4}-120.7087{col 75}{space 3} 233.5862
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 348.0809{col 34}{space 2} 89.04801{col 45}{space 1}    3.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 172.9982{col 75}{space 3} 523.1636
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  316.431{col 34}{space 2} 108.7726{col 45}{space 1}    2.91{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 102.5665{col 75}{space 3} 530.2954
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 53.31253{col 34}{space 2} 111.5129{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.633{col 62}{space 4}-165.9399{col 75}{space 3} 272.5649
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 52.76586{col 34}{space 2} 95.39862{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.581{col 62}{space 4}-134.8032{col 75}{space 3} 240.3349
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 533.7623{col 34}{space 2} 104.0354{col 45}{space 1}    5.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 329.2119{col 75}{space 3} 738.3127
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 301.6709{col 34}{space 2} 137.1848{col 45}{space 1}    2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} 31.94349{col 75}{space 3} 571.3983
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 434.0589{col 34}{space 2} 119.2439{col 45}{space 1}    3.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 199.6061{col 75}{space 3} 668.5117
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 401.2757{col 34}{space 2} 130.7035{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 144.2915{col 75}{space 3} 658.2598
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 446.8281{col 34}{space 2} 125.9086{col 45}{space 1}    3.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 199.2715{col 75}{space 3} 694.3847
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 589.7095{col 34}{space 2} 133.1712{col 45}{space 1}    4.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 327.8735{col 75}{space 3} 851.5456
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 832.8363{col 34}{space 2} 141.2713{col 45}{space 1}    5.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 555.0742{col 75}{space 3} 1110.598
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 472.2041{col 34}{space 2} 162.5443{col 45}{space 1}    2.91{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 152.6158{col 75}{space 3} 791.7924
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 724.9652{col 34}{space 2} 145.7887{col 45}{space 1}    4.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 438.3212{col 75}{space 3} 1011.609
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 588.4157{col 34}{space 2} 169.8938{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 254.3771{col 75}{space 3} 922.4542
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  470.937{col 34}{space 2} 152.7345{col 45}{space 1}    3.08{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 170.6363{col 75}{space 3} 771.2377
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 627.6668{col 34}{space 2} 153.2909{col 45}{space 1}    4.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 326.2721{col 75}{space 3} 929.0614
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 968.9809{col 34}{space 2} 175.6125{col 45}{space 1}    5.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 623.6985{col 75}{space 3} 1314.263
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  865.977{col 34}{space 2} 197.8716{col 45}{space 1}    4.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.9297{col 75}{space 3} 1255.024
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1037.338{col 34}{space 2} 190.4757{col 45}{space 1}    5.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 662.8323{col 75}{space 3} 1411.844
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 888.5212{col 34}{space 2} 193.6491{col 45}{space 1}    4.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 507.7759{col 75}{space 3} 1269.267
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 755.6819{col 34}{space 2} 226.2596{col 45}{space 1}    3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 310.8191{col 75}{space 3} 1200.545
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 73.81681{col 34}{space 2} 182.8508{col 45}{space 1}    0.40{col 54}{space 3}0.687{col 62}{space 4}-285.6973{col 75}{space 3} 433.3309
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 992.6363{col 34}{space 2} 162.8368{col 45}{space 1}    6.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  672.473{col 75}{space 3}   1312.8
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1384.624{col 34}{space 2} 3311.181{col 45}{space 1}    0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.676{col 62}{space 4}-5125.691{col 75}{space 3} 7894.938
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,889 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   384) ={res}   35.31
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   384) ={res}   18.97
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.483444{col 26}{space 2} 3.379134{col 37}{space 1}   -1.03{col 46}{space 3}0.303{col 54}{space 4}-10.12737{col 67}{space 3} 3.160477
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.220565{col 26}{space 2} 6.737758{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.438{col 54}{space 4}-7.985198{col 67}{space 3} 18.42633
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney real_pc_inc_ann  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9.52381       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 20.42857       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 27.97059        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        450
{txt}25%    {res} 49.31579        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        450

{txt}50%    {res} 67.64791                      {txt}Mean          {res} 64.12217
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 23.94721
{txt}75%    {res} 83.73016        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 93.56436       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res} 573.4688
{txt}95%    {res}     97.5       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.5111754
{txt}99%    {res}  99.6129            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.349591

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9164.067       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9900.923       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10601.14       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        450
{txt}25%    {res} 12034.94       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        450

{txt}50%    {res}  13585.7                      {txt}Mean          {res} 13704.33
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2380.921
{txt}75%    {res} 15480.94       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 16642.45       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  5668787
{txt}95%    {res} 17507.38       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res}  .253462
{txt}99%    {res} 20132.85       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.765213
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*83.33333  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*46.58065 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*83.33333 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*46.58065

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 191.8697{col 26}{space 2} 247.6307{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.438{col 54}{space 4}-293.4774{col 67}{space 3} 677.2169
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       450{col 27}  -1490.6{col 38}-1390.261{col 49}    60{col 58} 2900.522{col 69} 3147.077
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       450
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 59,       390){col 67}= {res}      3.88
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1999943{col 29}{space 2} .0305707{col 40}{space 1}   -6.54{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2600983{col 70}{space 3}-.1398904
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0013345{col 29}{space 2} .0006373{col 40}{space 1}    2.09{col 49}{space 3}0.037{col 57}{space 4} .0000815{col 70}{space 3} .0025874
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0214828{col 29}{space 2}  .044203{col 40}{space 1}    0.49{col 49}{space 3}0.627{col 57}{space 4}-.0654232{col 70}{space 3} .1083888
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0001369{col 29}{space 2} .0016187{col 40}{space 1}    0.08{col 49}{space 3}0.933{col 57}{space 4}-.0030455{col 70}{space 3} .0033194
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0303897{col 29}{space 2} .0660861{col 40}{space 1}    0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.646{col 57}{space 4}  -.09954{col 70}{space 3} .1603193
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0017286{col 29}{space 2} .0018463{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.350{col 57}{space 4}-.0019013{col 70}{space 3} .0053585
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0051338{col 29}{space 2} .0456084{col 40}{space 1}    0.11{col 49}{space 3}0.910{col 57}{space 4}-.0845354{col 70}{space 3} .0948029
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.001484{col 29}{space 2} .0019859{col 40}{space 1}   -0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.455{col 57}{space 4}-.0053885{col 70}{space 3} .0024204
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.369745{col 29}{space 2} 1.335646{col 40}{space 1}   -4.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-8.995712{col 70}{space 3}-3.743779
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.443911{col 29}{space 2}  1.55955{col 40}{space 1}    1.57{col 49}{space 3}0.118{col 57}{space 4}-.6222659{col 70}{space 3} 5.510088
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.418295{col 29}{space 2} 1.513641{col 40}{space 1}    4.24{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 3.442378{col 70}{space 3} 9.394211
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.933649{col 29}{space 2} 1.567027{col 40}{space 1}   -1.87{col 49}{space 3}0.062{col 57}{space 4}-6.014526{col 70}{space 3} .1472279
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.281957{col 29}{space 2}   1.8601{col 40}{space 1}   -4.45{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-11.93903{col 70}{space 3}-4.624879
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.656096{col 29}{space 2} 2.490835{col 40}{space 1}    2.67{col 49}{space 3}0.008{col 57}{space 4} 1.758952{col 70}{space 3} 11.55324
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.537136{col 29}{space 2}   1.3704{col 40}{space 1}    2.58{col 49}{space 3}0.010{col 57}{space 4} .8428404{col 70}{space 3} 6.231431
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3468699{col 29}{space 2} 2.801508{col 40}{space 1}   -0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.902{col 57}{space 4}-5.854818{col 70}{space 3} 5.161078
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}5  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.217752{col 29}{space 2} 1.618631{col 40}{space 1}   -1.37{col 49}{space 3}0.171{col 57}{space 4}-5.400087{col 70}{space 3} .9645822
{txt}{space 12}12  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.927811{col 29}{space 2} 3.022999{col 40}{space 1}    2.29{col 49}{space 3}0.022{col 57}{space 4} .9843978{col 70}{space 3} 12.87123
{txt}{space 12}13  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4995855{col 29}{space 2} 1.490407{col 40}{space 1}    0.34{col 49}{space 3}0.738{col 57}{space 4}-2.430652{col 70}{space 3} 3.429823
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.092229{col 29}{space 2} 1.226646{col 40}{space 1}    4.15{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 2.680564{col 70}{space 3} 7.503894
{txt}{space 12}22  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4272527{col 29}{space 2} 1.091167{col 40}{space 1}   -0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.696{col 57}{space 4}-2.572558{col 70}{space 3} 1.718052
{txt}{space 12}28  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.944577{col 29}{space 2} 1.480982{col 40}{space 1}    1.31{col 49}{space 3}0.190{col 57}{space 4}-.9671302{col 70}{space 3} 4.856284
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  6.71312{col 29}{space 2} 2.724096{col 40}{space 1}    2.46{col 49}{space 3}0.014{col 57}{space 4}  1.35737{col 70}{space 3} 12.06887
{txt}{space 12}37  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.819942{col 29}{space 2} 1.636178{col 40}{space 1}    1.72{col 49}{space 3}0.086{col 57}{space 4}-.3968918{col 70}{space 3} 6.036775
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.995611{col 29}{space 2} 1.702062{col 40}{space 1}    2.94{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} 1.649245{col 70}{space 3} 8.341977
{txt}{space 12}45  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.658722{col 29}{space 2} 2.094842{col 40}{space 1}    4.61{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.540126{col 70}{space 3} 13.77732
{txt}{space 12}47  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.785992{col 29}{space 2} 1.868812{col 40}{space 1}    3.10{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 2.111786{col 70}{space 3} 9.460199
{txt}{space 12}48  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.036717{col 29}{space 2} 1.835048{col 40}{space 1}    1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.099{col 57}{space 4}-.5711072{col 70}{space 3} 6.644542
{txt}{space 12}51  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.096719{col 29}{space 2} 3.275009{col 40}{space 1}    1.56{col 49}{space 3}0.120{col 57}{space 4}-1.342163{col 70}{space 3}  11.5356
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.013676{col 29}{space 2} 1.368859{col 40}{space 1}   -1.47{col 49}{space 3}0.142{col 57}{space 4}-4.704941{col 70}{space 3} .6775895
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.83015{col 29}{space 2} 2.181214{col 40}{space 1}   -1.76{col 49}{space 3}0.080{col 57}{space 4}-8.118558{col 70}{space 3} .4582589
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.614084{col 29}{space 2} 2.832553{col 40}{space 1}   -1.98{col 49}{space 3}0.048{col 57}{space 4}-11.18307{col 70}{space 3}-.0451009
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.386217{col 29}{space 2} 2.002132{col 40}{space 1}   -2.19{col 49}{space 3}0.029{col 57}{space 4} -8.32254{col 70}{space 3}-.4498939
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.050374{col 29}{space 2} 3.034806{col 40}{space 1}    1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.315{col 57}{space 4}-2.916254{col 70}{space 3} 9.017002
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.44672{col 29}{space 2} 2.242447{col 40}{space 1}   -1.54{col 49}{space 3}0.125{col 57}{space 4}-7.855518{col 70}{space 3} .9620782
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.911225{col 29}{space 2} 2.608697{col 40}{space 1}   -0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.727{col 57}{space 4}-6.040093{col 70}{space 3} 4.217643
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.202785{col 29}{space 2} 1.992877{col 40}{space 1}   -1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.109{col 57}{space 4}-7.120912{col 70}{space 3} .7153405
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.241201{col 29}{space 2} 2.582392{col 40}{space 1}   -0.48{col 49}{space 3}0.631{col 57}{space 4}-6.318352{col 70}{space 3}  3.83595
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.440051{col 29}{space 2} 2.226888{col 40}{space 1}   -1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.274{col 57}{space 4}-6.818259{col 70}{space 3} 1.938157
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.803911{col 29}{space 2} 2.250736{col 40}{space 1}   -0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.423{col 57}{space 4}-6.229004{col 70}{space 3} 2.621183
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6451339{col 29}{space 2} 2.593669{col 40}{space 1}   -0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.804{col 57}{space 4}-5.744456{col 70}{space 3} 4.454188
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6951039{col 29}{space 2} 2.967114{col 40}{space 1}    0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.815{col 57}{space 4}-5.138436{col 70}{space 3} 6.528644
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4049301{col 29}{space 2} 2.369927{col 40}{space 1}   -0.17{col 49}{space 3}0.864{col 57}{space 4}-5.064361{col 70}{space 3}   4.2545
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.78135{col 29}{space 2} 3.477898{col 40}{space 1}    3.10{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.943575{col 70}{space 3} 17.61913
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.473026{col 29}{space 2} 3.422044{col 40}{space 1}    1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.311{col 57}{space 4}-3.254936{col 70}{space 3} 10.20099
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.686418{col 29}{space 2} 3.000897{col 40}{space 1}    0.56{col 49}{space 3}0.574{col 57}{space 4}-4.213542{col 70}{space 3} 7.586378
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7672692{col 29}{space 2} 3.087845{col 40}{space 1}    0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.804{col 57}{space 4}-5.303635{col 70}{space 3} 6.838173
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.918295{col 29}{space 2} 3.621451{col 40}{space 1}   -0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.597{col 57}{space 4}-9.038304{col 70}{space 3} 5.201714
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5439262{col 29}{space 2} 3.171236{col 40}{space 1}    0.17{col 49}{space 3}0.864{col 57}{space 4} -5.69093{col 70}{space 3} 6.778783
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.753963{col 29}{space 2} 3.805482{col 40}{space 1}    0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.645{col 57}{space 4}-5.727864{col 70}{space 3}  9.23579
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.190888{col 29}{space 2}  3.38792{col 40}{space 1}   -0.06{col 49}{space 3}0.955{col 57}{space 4} -6.85176{col 70}{space 3} 6.469984
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.380815{col 29}{space 2} 4.299687{col 40}{space 1}    0.79{col 49}{space 3}0.432{col 57}{space 4} -5.07265{col 70}{space 3} 11.83428
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.532492{col 29}{space 2} 3.883091{col 40}{space 1}    0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.693{col 57}{space 4}-6.101919{col 70}{space 3} 9.166903
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.003196{col 29}{space 2}   4.5392{col 40}{space 1}    0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.825{col 57}{space 4}-7.921168{col 70}{space 3}  9.92756
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.440599{col 29}{space 2} 4.122797{col 40}{space 1}    0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.727{col 57}{space 4} -6.66509{col 70}{space 3} 9.546288
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.854124{col 29}{space 2} 4.681249{col 40}{space 1}    0.40{col 49}{space 3}0.692{col 57}{space 4}-7.349517{col 70}{space 3} 11.05776
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.936806{col 29}{space 2} 4.460328{col 40}{space 1}    0.66{col 49}{space 3}0.511{col 57}{space 4}-5.832491{col 70}{space 3}  11.7061
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.017665{col 29}{space 2} 4.482719{col 40}{space 1}    0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.821{col 57}{space 4}-7.795654{col 70}{space 3} 9.830983
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.035529{col 29}{space 2} 5.354366{col 40}{space 1}    0.19{col 49}{space 3}0.847{col 57}{space 4}-9.491504{col 70}{space 3} 11.56256
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -8.73507{col 29}{space 2} 6.488117{col 40}{space 1}   -1.35{col 49}{space 3}0.179{col 57}{space 4}-21.49113{col 70}{space 3} 4.020991
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,889 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. *
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   390) ={res}   42.80
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   390) ={res}   23.55
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0003815{col 26}{space 2} .0023053{col 37}{space 1}    0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.869{col 54}{space 4}-.0041509{col 67}{space 3} .0049139
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0066725{col 26}{space 2} .0033425{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.046{col 54}{space 4} .0001212{col 67}{space 3} .0132237
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann  if klarnerranneyhatallpost !=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9164.067       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9900.923       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10601.14       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        450
{txt}25%    {res} 12034.94       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        450

{txt}50%    {res}  13585.7                      {txt}Mean          {res} 13704.33
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2380.921
{txt}75%    {res} 15480.94       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 16642.45       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  5668787
{txt}95%    {res} 17507.38       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res}  .253462
{txt}99%    {res} 20132.85       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.765213
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 22.21023{col 26}{space 2} 11.12609{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.046{col 54}{space 4} .4034898{col 67}{space 3} 44.01697
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.A: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 -2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-2319.461{col 38}-2013.438{col 49}    91{col 58} 4208.876{col 69} 4553.204
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 90,       234){col 67}= {res}    188.54
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0745586{col 34}{space 2} .0328144{col 45}{space 1}   -2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4} -.139208{col 75}{space 3}-.0099093
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.436573{col 34}{space 2}  1.31387{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.275{col 62}{space 4}  -4.0251{col 75}{space 3} 1.151953
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1780489{col 34}{space 2} .1196356{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.138{col 62}{space 4}-.0576516{col 75}{space 3} .4137495
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .372648{col 34}{space 2} 1.001694{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.710{col 62}{space 4}-1.600843{col 75}{space 3} 2.346139
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1511838{col 34}{space 2} .0717822{col 45}{space 1}    2.11{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4} .0097619{col 75}{space 3} .2926057
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.511914{col 34}{space 2} 1.587822{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.342{col 62}{space 4} -1.61634{col 75}{space 3} 4.640167
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0108234{col 34}{space 2} .0951169{col 45}{space 1}    0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.910{col 62}{space 4}-.1765716{col 75}{space 3} .1982184
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.468247{col 34}{space 2} 1.407533{col 45}{space 1}    1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.298{col 62}{space 4} -1.30481{col 75}{space 3} 4.241303
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-529.6811{col 34}{space 2} 375.1568{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.159{col 62}{space 4}-1268.798{col 75}{space 3} 209.4355
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-225.3816{col 34}{space 2} 511.0194{col 45}{space 1}   -0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.660{col 62}{space 4}-1232.168{col 75}{space 3} 781.4052
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9385204{col 34}{space 2} 51.44819{col 45}{space 1}    0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.985{col 62}{space 4}-100.4223{col 75}{space 3} 102.2994
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 118.0542{col 34}{space 2} 120.0431{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.326{col 62}{space 4}-118.4491{col 75}{space 3} 354.5575
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  576.485{col 34}{space 2} 425.4759{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.177{col 62}{space 4}-261.7678{col 75}{space 3} 1414.738
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2692.029{col 34}{space 2} 1331.706{col 45}{space 1}   -2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4}-5315.695{col 75}{space 3}-68.36378
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1692.495{col 34}{space 2} 771.1922{col 45}{space 1}   -2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4}-3211.862{col 75}{space 3}-173.1274
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3839.988{col 34}{space 2}  1401.31{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 1079.192{col 75}{space 3} 6600.785
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  31.3646{col 34}{space 2} 55.22828{col 45}{space 1}    0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.571{col 62}{space 4} -77.4436{col 75}{space 3} 140.1728
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 63.52513{col 34}{space 2} 57.74206{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.272{col 62}{space 4}-50.23561{col 75}{space 3} 177.2859
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-60.60842{col 34}{space 2} 54.21953{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.265{col 62}{space 4}-167.4292{col 75}{space 3} 46.21239
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.73531{col 34}{space 2} 58.44576{col 45}{space 1}   -0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.519{col 62}{space 4}-152.8824{col 75}{space 3} 77.41181
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.312171{col 34}{space 2} 62.76868{col 45}{space 1}    0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.933{col 62}{space 4}-118.3518{col 75}{space 3} 128.9761
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.705575{col 34}{space 2} 100.9679{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.947{col 62}{space 4}-205.6279{col 75}{space 3} 192.2167
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-129.3988{col 34}{space 2} 57.56135{col 45}{space 1}   -2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-242.8035{col 75}{space 3}-15.99407
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-154.0075{col 34}{space 2} 65.56723{col 45}{space 1}   -2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} -283.185{col 75}{space 3}-24.82999
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.15561{col 34}{space 2} 63.80945{col 45}{space 1}   -1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.216{col 62}{space 4}  -204.87{col 75}{space 3} 46.55882
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  107.873{col 34}{space 2} 40.56451{col 45}{space 1}    2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 27.95463{col 75}{space 3} 187.7913
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 60.05545{col 34}{space 2} 171.4704{col 45}{space 1}    0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.726{col 62}{space 4}-277.7676{col 75}{space 3} 397.8785
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 532.8837{col 34}{space 2} 153.7043{col 45}{space 1}    3.47{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 230.0627{col 75}{space 3} 835.7047
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 592.6603{col 34}{space 2} 189.1115{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 220.0815{col 75}{space 3} 965.2391
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 875.1828{col 34}{space 2} 159.1952{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 561.5439{col 75}{space 3} 1188.822
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  602.406{col 34}{space 2} 144.8662{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 316.9973{col 75}{space 3} 887.8147
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 670.7248{col 34}{space 2} 131.7971{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 411.0643{col 75}{space 3} 930.3853
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 613.2934{col 34}{space 2} 135.8286{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 345.6903{col 75}{space 3} 880.8965
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 581.1812{col 34}{space 2} 135.0418{col 45}{space 1}    4.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 315.1281{col 75}{space 3} 847.2342
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 980.9445{col 34}{space 2} 137.1468{col 45}{space 1}    7.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 710.7443{col 75}{space 3} 1251.145
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 849.9166{col 34}{space 2}  154.232{col 45}{space 1}    5.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 546.0557{col 75}{space 3} 1153.777
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 519.8516{col 34}{space 2} 164.3616{col 45}{space 1}    3.16{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}  196.034{col 75}{space 3} 843.6692
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 705.7738{col 34}{space 2} 147.8997{col 45}{space 1}    4.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 414.3887{col 75}{space 3} 997.1589
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1020.257{col 34}{space 2} 158.4762{col 45}{space 1}    6.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 708.0341{col 75}{space 3} 1332.479
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}    735.7{col 34}{space 2} 178.0793{col 45}{space 1}    4.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 384.8563{col 75}{space 3} 1086.544
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 841.1116{col 34}{space 2} 172.0063{col 45}{space 1}    4.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 502.2328{col 75}{space 3}  1179.99
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 967.3112{col 34}{space 2} 157.5901{col 45}{space 1}    6.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 656.8346{col 75}{space 3} 1277.788
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 946.0016{col 34}{space 2} 180.0969{col 45}{space 1}    5.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 591.1829{col 75}{space 3}  1300.82
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1126.502{col 34}{space 2} 179.6601{col 45}{space 1}    6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 772.5444{col 75}{space 3}  1480.46
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1122.47{col 34}{space 2} 180.7523{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 766.3602{col 75}{space 3}  1478.58
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1150.668{col 34}{space 2} 189.8819{col 45}{space 1}    6.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.5715{col 75}{space 3} 1524.765
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1185.861{col 34}{space 2} 193.3772{col 45}{space 1}    6.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 804.8784{col 75}{space 3} 1566.844
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1263.883{col 34}{space 2} 207.9008{col 45}{space 1}    6.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 854.2864{col 75}{space 3}  1673.48
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1283.562{col 34}{space 2} 222.9068{col 45}{space 1}    5.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 844.4013{col 75}{space 3} 1722.723
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1070.534{col 34}{space 2} 230.0279{col 45}{space 1}    4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 617.3441{col 75}{space 3} 1523.725
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1245.285{col 34}{space 2} 221.7179{col 45}{space 1}    5.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 808.4668{col 75}{space 3} 1682.103
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1631.066{col 34}{space 2} 240.0488{col 45}{space 1}    6.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1158.133{col 75}{space 3} 2103.999
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1468.545{col 34}{space 2}  267.269{col 45}{space 1}    5.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 941.9844{col 75}{space 3} 1995.106
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 781.4732{col 34}{space 2} 262.9843{col 45}{space 1}    2.97{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 263.3538{col 75}{space 3} 1299.593
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 841.5115{col 34}{space 2} 272.1662{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 305.3023{col 75}{space 3} 1377.721
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1544.588{col 34}{space 2} 266.1561{col 45}{space 1}    5.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1020.22{col 75}{space 3} 2068.957
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1360.997{col 34}{space 2} 310.5072{col 45}{space 1}    4.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 749.2497{col 75}{space 3} 1972.744
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1500.046{col 34}{space 2} 326.3453{col 45}{space 1}    4.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 857.0956{col 75}{space 3} 2142.996
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1038.788{col 34}{space 2} 300.2409{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 447.2671{col 75}{space 3} 1630.309
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 946.4881{col 34}{space 2} 314.9794{col 45}{space 1}    3.00{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 325.9302{col 75}{space 3} 1567.046
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1380.445{col 34}{space 2} 335.6441{col 45}{space 1}    4.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 719.1746{col 75}{space 3} 2041.715
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1224.186{col 34}{space 2} 330.1971{col 45}{space 1}    3.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 573.6466{col 75}{space 3} 1874.725
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1557.743{col 34}{space 2} 306.2784{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  954.327{col 75}{space 3} 2161.158
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1798.845{col 34}{space 2} 324.9766{col 45}{space 1}    5.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1158.591{col 75}{space 3} 2439.098
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1493.721{col 34}{space 2} 344.7873{col 45}{space 1}    4.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 814.4366{col 75}{space 3} 2173.005
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1494.58{col 34}{space 2} 285.9037{col 45}{space 1}    5.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 931.3056{col 75}{space 3} 2057.854
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1378.026{col 34}{space 2} 311.1836{col 45}{space 1}    4.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  764.947{col 75}{space 3} 1991.106
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1650.308{col 34}{space 2} 353.1955{col 45}{space 1}    4.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 954.4582{col 75}{space 3} 2346.157
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1565.585{col 34}{space 2} 370.2563{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 836.1237{col 75}{space 3} 2295.047
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1219.327{col 34}{space 2} 414.4888{col 45}{space 1}    2.94{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 402.7199{col 75}{space 3} 2035.933
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1193.988{col 34}{space 2} 384.6841{col 45}{space 1}    3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 436.1008{col 75}{space 3} 1951.874
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1740.356{col 34}{space 2} 382.5421{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 986.6892{col 75}{space 3} 2494.023
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1524.17{col 34}{space 2} 398.2892{col 45}{space 1}    3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 739.4796{col 75}{space 3} 2308.861
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1527.404{col 34}{space 2} 416.0402{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 707.7413{col 75}{space 3} 2347.067
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1574.455{col 34}{space 2} 378.3674{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 829.0131{col 75}{space 3} 2319.897
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1625.973{col 34}{space 2} 398.4993{col 45}{space 1}    4.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 840.8685{col 75}{space 3} 2411.078
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1729.99{col 34}{space 2} 413.7085{col 45}{space 1}    4.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 914.9204{col 75}{space 3} 2545.059
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2030.658{col 34}{space 2} 402.9805{col 45}{space 1}    5.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1236.725{col 75}{space 3} 2824.592
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1630.102{col 34}{space 2} 421.6632{col 45}{space 1}    3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  799.361{col 75}{space 3} 2460.844
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1964.65{col 34}{space 2} 430.3748{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1116.745{col 75}{space 3} 2812.554
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1493.82{col 34}{space 2} 427.5355{col 45}{space 1}    3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 651.5094{col 75}{space 3} 2336.131
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1406.116{col 34}{space 2}   460.62{col 45}{space 1}    3.05{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 498.6234{col 75}{space 3} 2313.608
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1646.79{col 34}{space 2} 441.5439{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.8807{col 75}{space 3} 2516.699
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2044.531{col 34}{space 2} 472.9278{col 45}{space 1}    4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1112.79{col 75}{space 3} 2976.271
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1915.006{col 34}{space 2}  492.909{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 943.8997{col 75}{space 3} 2886.113
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1899.149{col 34}{space 2} 476.7365{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 959.9051{col 75}{space 3} 2838.394
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1749.84{col 34}{space 2} 475.6241{col 45}{space 1}    3.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 812.7873{col 75}{space 3} 2686.893
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1461.448{col 34}{space 2} 540.4724{col 45}{space 1}    2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 396.6343{col 75}{space 3} 2526.262
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 713.8763{col 34}{space 2} 493.9876{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.150{col 62}{space 4}-259.3552{col 75}{space 3} 1687.108
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1895.581{col 34}{space 2} 514.1157{col 45}{space 1}    3.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 882.6941{col 75}{space 3} 2908.468
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1445.872{col 34}{space 2} 770.9623{col 45}{space 1}    1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}-73.04184{col 75}{space 3} 2964.786
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   234) ={res}    5.16
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0240
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   234) ={res}    4.06
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0184
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.352808{col 26}{space 2} 3.032713{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-2.622102{col 67}{space 3} 9.327719
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -19.2677{col 26}{space 2} 21.39371{col 37}{space 1}   -0.90{col 46}{space 3}0.368{col 54}{space 4} -61.1986{col 67}{space 3}  22.6632
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-113.9815{col 38}-18.95772{col 49}    85{col 58} 207.9154{col 69} 529.5406
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 84,       240){col 67}= {res}      7.99
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1074383{col 30}{space 2} .0359213{col 41}{space 1}   -2.99{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.1781995{col 71}{space 3} -.036677
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000594{col 30}{space 2} .0000408{col 41}{space 1}   -1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.147{col 58}{space 4}-.0001398{col 71}{space 3}  .000021
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0059514{col 30}{space 2} .0618981{col 41}{space 1}    0.10{col 50}{space 3}0.923{col 58}{space 4}-.1159816{col 71}{space 3} .1278844
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000673{col 30}{space 2} .0000965{col 41}{space 1}   -0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.486{col 58}{space 4}-.0002574{col 71}{space 3} .0001229
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3426483{col 30}{space 2} .0759475{col 41}{space 1}   -4.51{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.4922571{col 71}{space 3}-.1930395
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001337{col 30}{space 2} .0001049{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.204{col 58}{space 4} -.000073{col 71}{space 3} .0003405
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1260379{col 30}{space 2} .0678157{col 41}{space 1}   -1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.2596278{col 71}{space 3}  .007552
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001763{col 30}{space 2} .0001213{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.147{col 58}{space 4}-.0000626{col 71}{space 3} .0004152
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0140955{col 30}{space 2} .0555141{col 41}{space 1}    0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.800{col 58}{space 4}-.0952616{col 71}{space 3} .1234526
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0094654{col 30}{space 2} .0518238{col 41}{space 1}   -0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.855{col 58}{space 4} -.111553{col 71}{space 3} .0926222
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0699734{col 30}{space 2} .0587914{col 41}{space 1}    1.19{col 50}{space 3}0.235{col 58}{space 4}-.0458396{col 71}{space 3} .1857864
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.060885{col 30}{space 2} .0467756{col 41}{space 1}   -1.30{col 50}{space 3}0.194{col 58}{space 4}-.1530282{col 71}{space 3} .0312582
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.052549{col 30}{space 2} .0661593{col 41}{space 1}   -0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.428{col 58}{space 4} -.182876{col 71}{space 3}  .077778
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0805515{col 30}{space 2} .0475637{col 41}{space 1}    1.69{col 50}{space 3}0.092{col 58}{space 4}-.0131442{col 71}{space 3} .1742472
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .164324{col 30}{space 2} .0784869{col 41}{space 1}    2.09{col 50}{space 3}0.037{col 58}{space 4} .0097129{col 71}{space 3} .3189351
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0197339{col 30}{space 2} .0524881{col 41}{space 1}   -0.38{col 50}{space 3}0.707{col 58}{space 4}  -.12313{col 71}{space 3} .0836622
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2610464{col 30}{space 2} .1084579{col 41}{space 1}   -2.41{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4}-.4746973{col 71}{space 3}-.0473955
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.244616{col 30}{space 2} .1063274{col 41}{space 1}   -2.30{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4}  -.45407{col 71}{space 3}-.0351619
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2237759{col 30}{space 2} .1047355{col 41}{space 1}   -2.14{col 50}{space 3}0.034{col 58}{space 4} -.430094{col 71}{space 3}-.0174578
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0569784{col 30}{space 2} .0432658{col 41}{space 1}    1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.189{col 58}{space 4}-.0282509{col 71}{space 3} .1422077
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0251076{col 30}{space 2} .1831048{col 41}{space 1}    0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.891{col 58}{space 4}-.3355902{col 71}{space 3} .3858054
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0863653{col 30}{space 2} .1785401{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.629{col 58}{space 4}-.2653405{col 71}{space 3}  .438071
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0899103{col 30}{space 2} .1947742{col 41}{space 1}   -0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.645{col 58}{space 4}-.4735955{col 71}{space 3} .2937749
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0495009{col 30}{space 2} .1612137{col 41}{space 1}   -0.31{col 50}{space 3}0.759{col 58}{space 4}-.3670753{col 71}{space 3} .2680735
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0915586{col 30}{space 2}  .433143{col 41}{space 1}    0.21{col 50}{space 3}0.833{col 58}{space 4}-.7616888{col 71}{space 3}  .944806
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0359267{col 30}{space 2} .1337052{col 41}{space 1}   -0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.788{col 58}{space 4}-.2993122{col 71}{space 3} .2274588
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4097033{col 30}{space 2} .3615608{col 41}{space 1}    1.13{col 50}{space 3}0.258{col 58}{space 4}-.3025345{col 71}{space 3} 1.121941
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0721155{col 30}{space 2}  .156395{col 41}{space 1}    0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.645{col 58}{space 4}-.2359666{col 71}{space 3} .3801976
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2060669{col 30}{space 2} .2699763{col 41}{space 1}    0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.446{col 58}{space 4}-.3257588{col 71}{space 3} .7378926
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1080427{col 30}{space 2} .1815402{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.552{col 58}{space 4}-.2495728{col 71}{space 3} .4656582
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1143958{col 30}{space 2} .1643127{col 41}{space 1}    0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.487{col 58}{space 4}-.2092834{col 71}{space 3} .4380749
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0920743{col 30}{space 2} .1629749{col 41}{space 1}    0.56{col 50}{space 3}0.573{col 58}{space 4}-.2289695{col 71}{space 3} .4131181
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0788713{col 30}{space 2} .2870078{col 41}{space 1}   -0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.784{col 58}{space 4}-.6442473{col 71}{space 3} .4865047
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0736381{col 30}{space 2} .1778036{col 41}{space 1}    0.41{col 50}{space 3}0.679{col 58}{space 4}-.2766167{col 71}{space 3} .4238929
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2371869{col 30}{space 2} .2388776{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.322{col 58}{space 4}-.2333775{col 71}{space 3} .7077514
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2642848{col 30}{space 2} .3008071{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.381{col 58}{space 4}-.3282743{col 71}{space 3}  .856844
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7017362{col 30}{space 2} .2670987{col 41}{space 1}    2.63{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4}  .175579{col 71}{space 3} 1.227893
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5400901{col 30}{space 2} .2384214{col 41}{space 1}    2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4} .0704244{col 71}{space 3} 1.009756
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1466208{col 30}{space 2} .4816544{col 41}{space 1}    0.30{col 50}{space 3}0.761{col 58}{space 4}-.8021891{col 71}{space 3} 1.095431
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4326521{col 30}{space 2} .2358476{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.068{col 58}{space 4}-.0319436{col 71}{space 3} .8972477
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9945231{col 30}{space 2} .3554828{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .2942584{col 71}{space 3} 1.694788
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .558845{col 30}{space 2} .2586175{col 41}{space 1}    2.16{col 50}{space 3}0.032{col 58}{space 4} .0493951{col 71}{space 3} 1.068295
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7256196{col 30}{space 2} .3223235{col 41}{space 1}    2.25{col 50}{space 3}0.025{col 58}{space 4} .0906753{col 71}{space 3} 1.360564
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6599174{col 30}{space 2} .2708444{col 41}{space 1}    2.44{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .1263817{col 71}{space 3} 1.193453
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4054715{col 30}{space 2} .2966677{col 41}{space 1}    1.37{col 50}{space 3}0.173{col 58}{space 4}-.1789335{col 71}{space 3} .9898765
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5689013{col 30}{space 2} .3299276{col 41}{space 1}    1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.086{col 58}{space 4}-.0810222{col 71}{space 3} 1.218825
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .77595{col 30}{space 2} .3238809{col 41}{space 1}    2.40{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .1379379{col 71}{space 3} 1.413962
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4930841{col 30}{space 2} .2978951{col 41}{space 1}    1.66{col 50}{space 3}0.099{col 58}{space 4}-.0937388{col 71}{space 3} 1.079907
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2246748{col 30}{space 2} .4405729{col 41}{space 1}    0.51{col 50}{space 3}0.611{col 58}{space 4}-.6432086{col 71}{space 3} 1.092558
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7004286{col 30}{space 2}  .402162{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.083{col 58}{space 4}-.0917894{col 71}{space 3} 1.492646
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4770848{col 30}{space 2} .3783425{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.209{col 58}{space 4}-.2682113{col 71}{space 3} 1.222381
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .516951{col 30}{space 2} .3566948{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4}-.1857013{col 71}{space 3} 1.219603
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7331325{col 30}{space 2} .3950807{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4} -.045136{col 71}{space 3} 1.511401
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6856046{col 30}{space 2} .3574561{col 41}{space 1}    1.92{col 50}{space 3}0.056{col 58}{space 4}-.0185474{col 71}{space 3} 1.389757
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.049201{col 30}{space 2} .4313154{col 41}{space 1}    2.43{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .1995537{col 71}{space 3} 1.898848
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8339756{col 30}{space 2} .4057917{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.041{col 58}{space 4} .0346074{col 71}{space 3} 1.633344
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6803898{col 30}{space 2} .3912494{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.083{col 58}{space 4}-.0903315{col 71}{space 3} 1.451111
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7696446{col 30}{space 2} .4154984{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4}-.0488447{col 71}{space 3} 1.588134
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8400318{col 30}{space 2} .4052512{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0417283{col 71}{space 3} 1.638335
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6633402{col 30}{space 2} .4090021{col 41}{space 1}    1.62{col 50}{space 3}0.106{col 58}{space 4}-.1423522{col 71}{space 3} 1.469032
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8957849{col 30}{space 2} .4325991{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0436089{col 71}{space 3} 1.747961
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8516679{col 30}{space 2} .4616543{col 41}{space 1}    1.84{col 50}{space 3}0.066{col 58}{space 4}-.0577438{col 71}{space 3}  1.76108
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.020265{col 30}{space 2} .4798485{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .0750128{col 71}{space 3} 1.965518
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8752618{col 30}{space 2} .4685912{col 41}{space 1}    1.87{col 50}{space 3}0.063{col 58}{space 4}-.0478149{col 71}{space 3} 1.798339
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .934505{col 30}{space 2} .4872866{col 41}{space 1}    1.92{col 50}{space 3}0.056{col 58}{space 4}-.0253997{col 71}{space 3}  1.89441
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.087894{col 30}{space 2} .5328983{col 41}{space 1}    2.04{col 50}{space 3}0.042{col 58}{space 4} .0381388{col 71}{space 3} 2.137649
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.040633{col 30}{space 2}  .513698{col 41}{space 1}    2.03{col 50}{space 3}0.044{col 58}{space 4} .0287002{col 71}{space 3} 2.052565
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9448389{col 30}{space 2} .4965481{col 41}{space 1}    1.90{col 50}{space 3}0.058{col 58}{space 4}-.0333099{col 71}{space 3} 1.922988
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.159991{col 30}{space 2} .5198519{col 41}{space 1}    2.23{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4} .1359359{col 71}{space 3} 2.184046
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9919518{col 30}{space 2} .5204599{col 41}{space 1}    1.91{col 50}{space 3}0.058{col 58}{space 4} -.033301{col 71}{space 3} 2.017205
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.091123{col 30}{space 2} .5397933{col 41}{space 1}    2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.044{col 58}{space 4} .0277856{col 71}{space 3} 2.154461
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.052543{col 30}{space 2} .5575188{col 41}{space 1}    1.89{col 50}{space 3}0.060{col 58}{space 4}-.0457118{col 71}{space 3} 2.150798
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9259249{col 30}{space 2} .5524236{col 41}{space 1}    1.68{col 50}{space 3}0.095{col 58}{space 4} -.162293{col 71}{space 3} 2.014143
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.009733{col 30}{space 2} .5768342{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.081{col 58}{space 4}-.1265714{col 71}{space 3} 2.146037
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.008557{col 30}{space 2} .5851632{col 41}{space 1}    1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.086{col 58}{space 4}-.1441549{col 71}{space 3} 2.161268
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.033581{col 30}{space 2} .5951737{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.084{col 58}{space 4}-.1388503{col 71}{space 3} 2.206012
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.179407{col 30}{space 2} .6343165{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.0701318{col 71}{space 3} 2.428945
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.190782{col 30}{space 2} .6523888{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0943571{col 71}{space 3} 2.475921
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.143223{col 30}{space 2} .6412394{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.076{col 58}{space 4} -.119953{col 71}{space 3} 2.406399
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.135428{col 30}{space 2} .6347252{col 41}{space 1}    1.79{col 50}{space 3}0.075{col 58}{space 4}-.1149151{col 71}{space 3} 2.385772
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.143512{col 30}{space 2} .6541222{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.082{col 58}{space 4}-.1450414{col 71}{space 3} 2.432066
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.195889{col 30}{space 2} .6543861{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0931846{col 71}{space 3} 2.484963
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.197289{col 30}{space 2}  .656545{col 41}{space 1}    1.82{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0960374{col 71}{space 3} 2.490615
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.304313{col 30}{space 2} .7254769{col 41}{space 1}    1.80{col 50}{space 3}0.073{col 58}{space 4}-.1248025{col 71}{space 3} 2.733428
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .401245{col 30}{space 2} .2613605{col 41}{space 1}    1.54{col 50}{space 3}0.126{col 58}{space 4}-.1136084{col 71}{space 3} .9160983
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   240) ={res}    8.95
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0031
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   240) ={res}    4.49
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0122
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002427{col 26}{space 2} .0001593{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.129{col 54}{space 4}-.0000711{col 67}{space 3} .0005566
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0005526{col 26}{space 2} .0003432{col 37}{space 1}   -1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.0012253{col 67}{space 3} .0001201
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.B: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-1227.273{col 38}-1010.648{col 49}    57{col 58} 2135.297{col 69}  2315.69
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       118){col 67}= {res}    145.79
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2394916{col 34}{space 2} .0615264{col 45}{space 1}   -3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.3613306{col 75}{space 3}-.1176525
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4.05767{col 34}{space 2} 1.171177{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 1.738421{col 75}{space 3} 6.376919
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3748635{col 34}{space 2}  .147404{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} .0829634{col 75}{space 3} .6667636
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.297857{col 34}{space 2} 1.058906{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4} .2009347{col 75}{space 3} 4.394779
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1025768{col 34}{space 2} .0843145{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.226{col 62}{space 4}-.2695426{col 75}{space 3} .0643889
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.514215{col 34}{space 2} 1.142963{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.188{col 62}{space 4}-3.777593{col 75}{space 3} .7491635
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0148482{col 34}{space 2} .1133986{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.896{col 62}{space 4}-.2097119{col 75}{space 3} .2394083
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .224932{col 34}{space 2} 1.183032{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.850{col 62}{space 4}-2.117794{col 75}{space 3} 2.567658
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 17.06862{col 34}{space 2} 358.8373{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.962{col 62}{space 4} -693.527{col 75}{space 3} 727.6642
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-162.6094{col 34}{space 2} 354.5639{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.647{col 62}{space 4}-864.7425{col 75}{space 3} 539.5237
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.10918{col 34}{space 2} 111.8241{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.893{col 62}{space 4}-236.5514{col 75}{space 3}  206.333
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 288.0424{col 34}{space 2} 71.41441{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 146.6224{col 75}{space 3} 429.4624
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 903.4428{col 34}{space 2} 423.0997{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.035{col 62}{space 4} 65.59027{col 75}{space 3} 1741.295
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2533.483{col 34}{space 2} 1792.165{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.160{col 62}{space 4}-6082.458{col 75}{space 3} 1015.492
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1164.821{col 34}{space 2} 730.0189{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.113{col 62}{space 4}-2610.457{col 75}{space 3} 280.8156
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5797.173{col 34}{space 2} 1394.868{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 3034.954{col 75}{space 3} 8559.392
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -52.2859{col 34}{space 2} 38.20344{col 45}{space 1}   -1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.174{col 62}{space 4}-127.9391{col 75}{space 3} 23.36732
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   -2.726{col 34}{space 2} 44.91899{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-91.67783{col 75}{space 3} 86.22583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-266.3061{col 34}{space 2} 74.26274{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-413.3665{col 75}{space 3}-119.2457
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -334.24{col 34}{space 2} 86.07386{col 45}{space 1}   -3.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-504.6897{col 75}{space 3}-163.7904
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-31.71024{col 34}{space 2} 117.4665{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.788{col 62}{space 4}-264.3258{col 75}{space 3} 200.9053
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 61.76902{col 34}{space 2} 28.81618{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 4.705134{col 75}{space 3} 118.8329
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 65.32331{col 34}{space 2} 180.0344{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.717{col 62}{space 4}-291.1938{col 75}{space 3} 421.8404
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 184.3201{col 34}{space 2} 191.7643{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.338{col 62}{space 4}-195.4255{col 75}{space 3} 564.0657
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 180.4184{col 34}{space 2}  171.407{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.295{col 62}{space 4}-159.0141{col 75}{space 3} 519.8509
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 602.1337{col 34}{space 2} 182.9779{col 45}{space 1}    3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 239.7877{col 75}{space 3} 964.4798
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 325.4397{col 34}{space 2} 141.4177{col 45}{space 1}    2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} 45.39422{col 75}{space 3} 605.4852
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 554.0664{col 34}{space 2} 150.9756{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 255.0936{col 75}{space 3} 853.0391
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.7361{col 34}{space 2} 115.3844{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 170.2435{col 75}{space 3} 627.2286
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 428.1557{col 34}{space 2} 110.9666{col 45}{space 1}    3.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 208.4117{col 75}{space 3} 647.8997
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.1111{col 34}{space 2} 126.0703{col 45}{space 1}    6.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 593.4577{col 75}{space 3} 1092.765
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 678.7478{col 34}{space 2} 123.5153{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 434.1539{col 75}{space 3} 923.3416
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 467.6142{col 34}{space 2} 147.2294{col 45}{space 1}    3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 176.0599{col 75}{space 3} 759.1684
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 653.3666{col 34}{space 2} 138.8222{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 378.4608{col 75}{space 3} 928.2724
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 928.1862{col 34}{space 2} 157.5279{col 45}{space 1}    5.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  616.238{col 75}{space 3} 1240.134
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 607.7068{col 34}{space 2} 146.3282{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 317.9371{col 75}{space 3} 897.4765
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 849.4495{col 34}{space 2} 164.2835{col 45}{space 1}    5.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 524.1234{col 75}{space 3} 1174.776
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 937.4956{col 34}{space 2} 151.0256{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 638.4238{col 75}{space 3} 1236.567
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 917.9285{col 34}{space 2} 156.4298{col 45}{space 1}    5.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  608.155{col 75}{space 3} 1227.702
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1146.219{col 34}{space 2}  162.266{col 45}{space 1}    7.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 824.8884{col 75}{space 3}  1467.55
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1173.607{col 34}{space 2} 163.0415{col 45}{space 1}    7.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 850.7406{col 75}{space 3} 1496.474
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1287.607{col 34}{space 2} 180.6963{col 45}{space 1}    7.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 929.7794{col 75}{space 3} 1645.435
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1352.612{col 34}{space 2} 198.7266{col 45}{space 1}    6.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 959.0789{col 75}{space 3} 1746.144
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1461.557{col 34}{space 2} 215.3459{col 45}{space 1}    6.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1035.114{col 75}{space 3} 1888.001
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1522.047{col 34}{space 2} 235.4561{col 45}{space 1}    6.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1055.78{col 75}{space 3} 1988.315
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1385.569{col 34}{space 2} 246.4356{col 45}{space 1}    5.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   897.56{col 75}{space 3} 1873.579
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1615.952{col 34}{space 2} 265.3703{col 45}{space 1}    6.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1090.447{col 75}{space 3} 2141.458
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1967.071{col 34}{space 2}  284.001{col 45}{space 1}    6.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1404.671{col 75}{space 3}  2529.47
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1847.19{col 34}{space 2} 308.5259{col 45}{space 1}    5.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1236.225{col 75}{space 3} 2458.156
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1365.74{col 34}{space 2} 312.9108{col 45}{space 1}    4.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 746.0912{col 75}{space 3} 1985.388
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1490.631{col 34}{space 2} 360.2644{col 45}{space 1}    4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 777.2098{col 75}{space 3} 2204.053
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1997.665{col 34}{space 2} 345.0116{col 45}{space 1}    5.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1314.448{col 75}{space 3} 2680.882
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1827.85{col 34}{space 2} 392.7721{col 45}{space 1}    4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1050.054{col 75}{space 3} 2605.646
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2194.665{col 34}{space 2} 394.2981{col 45}{space 1}    5.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1413.847{col 75}{space 3} 2975.482
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1748.187{col 34}{space 2} 395.5159{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  964.958{col 75}{space 3} 2531.416
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1762.889{col 34}{space 2} 452.9279{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 865.9681{col 75}{space 3} 2659.809
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1914.896{col 34}{space 2} 813.7583{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} 303.4335{col 75}{space 3} 3526.359
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   118) ={res}   15.15
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   118) ={res}    9.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.008574{col 26}{space 2} 2.664818{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.706{col 54}{space 4} -4.26849{col 67}{space 3} 6.285639
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.94285{col 26}{space 2} 4.839809{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 7.457002{col 67}{space 3}  26.4287
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res} .4878049              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res} 4.290876              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res}     13.5                      {txt}Mean          {res} 19.04453
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 18.52999
{txt}75%    {res} 25.56989           72.5
{txt}90%    {res} 48.16667       73.33333       {txt}Variance      {res} 343.3606
{txt}95%    {res} 60.83333       74.43978       {txt}Skewness      {res} 1.298429
{txt}99%    {res} 74.43978       74.43978       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 4.021216
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*25.56989  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*4.290876

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*25.56989 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*4.290876

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 360.5272{col 26}{space 2} 102.9864{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 158.6776{col 67}{space 3} 562.3768
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-109.2568{col 38}-54.26528{col 49}    51{col 58} 210.5306{col 69} 371.9346
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 50,       124){col 67}= {res}      7.06
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1967548{col 30}{space 2}  .066058{col 41}{space 1}   -2.98{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.3275021{col 71}{space 3}-.0660075
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001993{col 30}{space 2} .0002011{col 41}{space 1}   -0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.324{col 58}{space 4}-.0005974{col 71}{space 3} .0001987
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0692893{col 30}{space 2} .0850853{col 41}{space 1}    0.81{col 50}{space 3}0.417{col 58}{space 4}-.0991183{col 71}{space 3} .2376969
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000756{col 30}{space 2} .0003196{col 41}{space 1}    0.24{col 50}{space 3}0.813{col 58}{space 4}-.0005569{col 71}{space 3} .0007081
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3025279{col 30}{space 2} .0882388{col 41}{space 1}   -3.43{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.4771771{col 71}{space 3}-.1278787
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0004662{col 30}{space 2} .0003214{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4}-.0001699{col 71}{space 3} .0011023
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1052512{col 30}{space 2} .0811802{col 41}{space 1}   -1.30{col 50}{space 3}0.197{col 58}{space 4}-.2659295{col 71}{space 3} .0554271
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0006327{col 30}{space 2} .0002975{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .0000439{col 71}{space 3} .0012215
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .239336{col 30}{space 2} .1857501{col 41}{space 1}    1.29{col 50}{space 3}0.200{col 58}{space 4}-.1283154{col 71}{space 3} .6069873
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2581087{col 30}{space 2}  .178656{col 41}{space 1}   -1.44{col 50}{space 3}0.151{col 58}{space 4} -.611719{col 71}{space 3} .0955017
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0102344{col 30}{space 2} .1653437{col 41}{space 1}    0.06{col 50}{space 3}0.951{col 58}{space 4}-.3170271{col 71}{space 3} .3374958
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .020215{col 30}{space 2} .1563927{col 41}{space 1}    0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.897{col 58}{space 4}  -.28933{col 71}{space 3} .3297599
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.456839{col 30}{space 2} .2505285{col 41}{space 1}   -1.82{col 50}{space 3}0.071{col 58}{space 4} -.952705{col 71}{space 3} .0390271
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3653634{col 30}{space 2} .2652763{col 41}{space 1}   -1.38{col 50}{space 3}0.171{col 58}{space 4}-.8904196{col 71}{space 3} .1596927
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.4359536{col 30}{space 2} .1622219{col 41}{space 1}   -2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4}-.7570363{col 71}{space 3} -.114871
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0551627{col 30}{space 2} .1920167{col 41}{space 1}   -0.29{col 50}{space 3}0.774{col 58}{space 4}-.4352174{col 71}{space 3} .3248921
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2953771{col 30}{space 2} .2699467{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.276{col 58}{space 4}-.2389231{col 71}{space 3} .8296772
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4880807{col 30}{space 2} .3670895{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.186{col 58}{space 4}-.2384921{col 71}{space 3} 1.214654
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1786361{col 30}{space 2} .2971523{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.549{col 58}{space 4}-.4095116{col 71}{space 3} .7667838
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0615406{col 30}{space 2} .2820234{col 41}{space 1}   -0.22{col 50}{space 3}0.828{col 58}{space 4}-.6197439{col 71}{space 3} .4966626
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0490046{col 30}{space 2} .4124527{col 41}{space 1}    0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.906{col 58}{space 4}-.7673548{col 71}{space 3}  .865364
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1209641{col 30}{space 2} .2325807{col 41}{space 1}   -0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.604{col 58}{space 4}-.5813065{col 71}{space 3} .3393783
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4495986{col 30}{space 2} .3838922{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.244{col 58}{space 4}-.3102315{col 71}{space 3} 1.209429
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .151891{col 30}{space 2} .2449728{col 41}{space 1}    0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.536{col 58}{space 4}-.3329788{col 71}{space 3} .6367608
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3021376{col 30}{space 2} .3817272{col 41}{space 1}    0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.430{col 58}{space 4}-.4534074{col 71}{space 3} 1.057683
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2201678{col 30}{space 2} .3432201{col 41}{space 1}    0.64{col 50}{space 3}0.522{col 58}{space 4}-.4591608{col 71}{space 3} .8994964
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1985746{col 30}{space 2} .2673054{col 41}{space 1}    0.74{col 50}{space 3}0.459{col 58}{space 4}-.3304978{col 71}{space 3} .7276469
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3200288{col 30}{space 2} .3240718{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.325{col 58}{space 4}-.3213999{col 71}{space 3} .9614576
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .232831{col 30}{space 2} .4845461{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.632{col 58}{space 4}-.7262214{col 71}{space 3} 1.191883
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3241983{col 30}{space 2} .3680087{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.380{col 58}{space 4}-.4041941{col 71}{space 3} 1.052591
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .436512{col 30}{space 2} .4061005{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.285{col 58}{space 4}-.3672747{col 71}{space 3} 1.240299
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5362965{col 30}{space 2} .5233925{col 41}{space 1}    1.02{col 50}{space 3}0.308{col 58}{space 4}-.4996439{col 71}{space 3} 1.572237
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9326871{col 30}{space 2} .5046761{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.067{col 58}{space 4}-.0662083{col 71}{space 3} 1.931583
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7494389{col 30}{space 2} .5483421{col 41}{space 1}    1.37{col 50}{space 3}0.174{col 58}{space 4}-.3358837{col 71}{space 3} 1.834761
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .385815{col 30}{space 2} .6613759{col 41}{space 1}    0.58{col 50}{space 3}0.561{col 58}{space 4}-.9232331{col 71}{space 3} 1.694863
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6631683{col 30}{space 2} .6063265{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.276{col 58}{space 4}-.5369216{col 71}{space 3} 1.863258
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.286675{col 30}{space 2}  .723448{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.078{col 58}{space 4}-.1452313{col 71}{space 3} 2.718581
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9066137{col 30}{space 2} .7734654{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.243{col 58}{space 4} -.624291{col 71}{space 3} 2.437518
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.175065{col 30}{space 2} .8234208{col 41}{space 1}    1.43{col 50}{space 3}0.156{col 58}{space 4}-.4547151{col 71}{space 3} 2.804846
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.21798{col 30}{space 2} .8758846{col 41}{space 1}    1.39{col 50}{space 3}0.167{col 58}{space 4}-.5156413{col 71}{space 3}   2.9516
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.08381{col 30}{space 2} .9723009{col 41}{space 1}    1.11{col 50}{space 3}0.267{col 58}{space 4}-.8406457{col 71}{space 3} 3.008266
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.370131{col 30}{space 2} 1.092875{col 41}{space 1}    1.25{col 50}{space 3}0.212{col 58}{space 4}-.7929745{col 71}{space 3} 3.533237
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.480913{col 30}{space 2} 1.121529{col 41}{space 1}    1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.189{col 58}{space 4}-.7389062{col 71}{space 3} 3.700733
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.220271{col 30}{space 2} 1.038557{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.242{col 58}{space 4}-.8353243{col 71}{space 3} 3.275867
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.233827{col 30}{space 2} 1.261275{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.330{col 58}{space 4}-1.262591{col 71}{space 3} 3.730244
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.902921{col 30}{space 2} 1.309888{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4} -.689715{col 71}{space 3} 4.495557
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.546493{col 30}{space 2} 1.264324{col 41}{space 1}    1.22{col 50}{space 3}0.224{col 58}{space 4}-.9559574{col 71}{space 3} 4.048944
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.387245{col 30}{space 2} 1.293917{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.286{col 58}{space 4}-1.173779{col 71}{space 3} 3.948269
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.679931{col 30}{space 2} 1.258572{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.184{col 58}{space 4}-.8111363{col 71}{space 3} 4.170998
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.724191{col 30}{space 2} 1.291565{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.184{col 58}{space 4}-.8321778{col 71}{space 3}  4.28056
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.227427{col 30}{space 2} 1.248117{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.327{col 58}{space 4}-1.242947{col 71}{space 3}   3.6978
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   124) ={res}    8.87
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0035
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   124) ={res}    4.62
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0116
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011745{col 26}{space 2}  .000534{col 37}{space 1}    2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4} .0001176{col 67}{space 3} .0022315
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0010131{col 26}{space 2} .0010346{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.328{col 54}{space 4}-.0030409{col 67}{space 3} .0010148
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre !=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3985.879       3938.229
{txt} 5%    {res}  4394.34       3985.879
{txt}10%    {res} 4795.101       4032.346       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res} 5533.502       4032.384       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res} 6864.637                      {txt}Mean          {res} 7599.265
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2401.131
{txt}75%    {res}  9803.36        12169.1
{txt}90%    {res} 11176.03       12264.53       {txt}Variance      {res}  5765428
{txt}95%    {res} 11976.75       12302.72       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3836934
{txt}99%    {res} 12302.72       12331.84       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.881785
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.325666{col 26}{space 2} 4.417735{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.328{col 54}{space 4}-12.98427{col 67}{space 3} 4.332935
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.C: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-1087.132{col 38}-942.0456{col 49}    56{col 58} 1996.091{col 69} 2164.687
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,        94){col 67}= {res}     90.34
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1675487{col 34}{space 2} .0519887{col 45}{space 1}   -3.22{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-.2707735{col 75}{space 3}-.0643239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.085096{col 34}{space 2}  1.90631{col 45}{space 1}   -2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} -8.87012{col 75}{space 3}-1.300072
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0542246{col 34}{space 2} .1161457{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.642{col 62}{space 4}-.1763853{col 75}{space 3} .2848346
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0974387{col 34}{space 2} 1.618183{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-3.310379{col 75}{space 3} 3.115502
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2443096{col 34}{space 2} .0975452{col 45}{space 1}    2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} .0506314{col 75}{space 3} .4379879
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.133868{col 34}{space 2} 2.565254{col 45}{space 1}    1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.225{col 62}{space 4}-1.959504{col 75}{space 3} 8.227239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0593385{col 34}{space 2} .1573595{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4}-.2531025{col 75}{space 3} .3717796
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.733567{col 34}{space 2} 2.496303{col 45}{space 1}    0.69{col 54}{space 3}0.489{col 62}{space 4}-3.222902{col 75}{space 3} 6.690036
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 130.0354{col 34}{space 2} 1377.922{col 45}{space 1}    0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.925{col 62}{space 4}-2605.861{col 75}{space 3} 2865.932
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1370.655{col 34}{space 2} 2389.241{col 45}{space 1}   -0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.568{col 62}{space 4}-6114.549{col 75}{space 3} 3373.239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.01017{col 34}{space 2}  86.5729{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4}-132.8823{col 75}{space 3} 210.9027
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -187.292{col 34}{space 2}  82.7264{col 45}{space 1}   -2.26{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-351.5472{col 75}{space 3}-23.03681
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1934.784{col 34}{space 2} 1510.186{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.203{col 62}{space 4}-1063.727{col 75}{space 3} 4933.294
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2792.628{col 34}{space 2} 2398.402{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.247{col 62}{space 4}-7554.712{col 75}{space 3} 1969.455
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-29315.38{col 34}{space 2} 9548.475{col 45}{space 1}   -3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} -48274.1{col 75}{space 3}-10356.66
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16973.02{col 34}{space 2} 7528.843{col 45}{space 1}    2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} 2024.328{col 75}{space 3} 31921.72
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  56.3451{col 34}{space 2} 56.78507{col 45}{space 1}    0.99{col 54}{space 3}0.324{col 62}{space 4}-56.40299{col 75}{space 3} 169.0932
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 91.26682{col 34}{space 2} 61.94534{col 45}{space 1}    1.47{col 54}{space 3}0.144{col 62}{space 4}-31.72712{col 75}{space 3} 214.2608
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-136.5881{col 34}{space 2} 71.12838{col 45}{space 1}   -1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-277.8151{col 75}{space 3} 4.639005
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.80189{col 34}{space 2} 76.18195{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.826{col 62}{space 4}-168.0629{col 75}{space 3} 134.4592
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.10462{col 34}{space 2} 85.87212{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.359{col 62}{space 4}-249.6057{col 75}{space 3} 91.39648
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.59273{col 34}{space 2} 103.7911{col 45}{space 1}    0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.769{col 62}{space 4}-175.4869{col 75}{space 3} 236.6724
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-325.7862{col 34}{space 2}  106.213{col 45}{space 1}   -3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-536.6747{col 75}{space 3}-114.8977
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-434.0032{col 34}{space 2} 119.5311{col 45}{space 1}   -3.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-671.3349{col 75}{space 3}-196.6715
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-131.6283{col 34}{space 2} 74.22421{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-279.0023{col 75}{space 3} 15.74557
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 447.9178{col 34}{space 2} 125.9207{col 45}{space 1}    3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 197.8993{col 75}{space 3} 697.9363
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-39.62632{col 34}{space 2}  145.083{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.785{col 62}{space 4} -327.692{col 75}{space 3} 248.4393
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 233.8818{col 34}{space 2} 194.3081{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.232{col 62}{space 4}-151.9215{col 75}{space 3} 619.6851
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 605.8549{col 34}{space 2} 176.2255{col 45}{space 1}    3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 255.9551{col 75}{space 3} 955.7548
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 372.4552{col 34}{space 2} 251.0392{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.141{col 62}{space 4} -125.989{col 75}{space 3} 870.8994
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 366.3794{col 34}{space 2} 186.0587{col 45}{space 1}    1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-3.044459{col 75}{space 3} 735.8033
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 332.5787{col 34}{space 2} 179.4409{col 45}{space 1}    1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-23.70541{col 75}{space 3} 688.8629
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 605.2597{col 34}{space 2}  219.541{col 45}{space 1}    2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}  169.356{col 75}{space 3} 1041.163
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 555.9568{col 34}{space 2} 256.6562{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4} 46.35998{col 75}{space 3} 1065.554
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 189.5236{col 34}{space 2} 281.3282{col 45}{space 1}    0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.502{col 62}{space 4}-369.0602{col 75}{space 3} 748.1074
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  105.185{col 34}{space 2} 232.9005{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4}-357.2444{col 75}{space 3} 567.6144
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 624.6386{col 34}{space 2}  260.514{col 45}{space 1}    2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4}  107.382{col 75}{space 3} 1141.895
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 525.3006{col 34}{space 2} 361.9484{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.150{col 62}{space 4}-193.3564{col 75}{space 3} 1243.958
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 541.0505{col 34}{space 2} 350.1119{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.126{col 62}{space 4}-154.1048{col 75}{space 3} 1236.206
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 592.0844{col 34}{space 2} 330.3518{col 45}{space 1}    1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-63.83683{col 75}{space 3} 1248.006
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 688.9318{col 34}{space 2} 356.9322{col 45}{space 1}    1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.057{col 62}{space 4}-19.76552{col 75}{space 3} 1397.629
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.9225{col 34}{space 2} 350.8366{col 45}{space 1}    2.41{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 147.3282{col 75}{space 3} 1540.517
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1194.891{col 34}{space 2}  379.014{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 442.3494{col 75}{space 3} 1947.432
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 926.4785{col 34}{space 2} 422.6048{col 45}{space 1}    2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} 87.38674{col 75}{space 3}  1765.57
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1253.917{col 34}{space 2} 400.1504{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 459.4093{col 75}{space 3} 2048.425
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 888.9114{col 34}{space 2} 447.3762{col 45}{space 1}    1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4} .6354326{col 75}{space 3} 1777.187
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 728.7224{col 34}{space 2} 469.1823{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.124{col 62}{space 4}-202.8501{col 75}{space 3} 1660.295
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 965.7583{col 34}{space 2}  433.702{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} 104.6328{col 75}{space 3} 1826.884
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1414.679{col 34}{space 2}  489.383{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 442.9979{col 75}{space 3} 2386.361
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1331.912{col 34}{space 2} 545.3206{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 249.1653{col 75}{space 3} 2414.659
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1309.135{col 34}{space 2} 519.9555{col 45}{space 1}    2.52{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 276.7514{col 75}{space 3} 2341.519
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1219.735{col 34}{space 2} 522.7458{col 45}{space 1}    2.33{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} 181.8114{col 75}{space 3} 2257.659
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 984.7705{col 34}{space 2} 630.0135{col 45}{space 1}    1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.121{col 62}{space 4}-266.1361{col 75}{space 3} 2235.677
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 177.2574{col 34}{space 2}  477.104{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.711{col 62}{space 4}-770.0438{col 75}{space 3} 1124.559
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1250.587{col 34}{space 2} 468.6647{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 320.0426{col 75}{space 3} 2181.132
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 31102.91{col 34}{space 2}  9639.86{col 45}{space 1}    3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 11962.74{col 75}{space 3} 50243.08
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,    94) ={res}   10.39
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0017
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,    94) ={res}    8.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.769996{col 26}{space 2} 4.518824{col 37}{space 1}    1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.294{col 54}{space 4}-4.202236{col 67}{space 3} 13.74223
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-30.34996{col 26}{space 2} 14.42917{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-58.63061{col 67}{space 3}-2.069312
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  22.2619        22.2619
{txt} 5%    {res} 30.51587        22.2619
{txt}10%    {res} 40.06452       25.83333       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res} 56.68817       25.83333       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 76.58333                      {txt}Mean          {res} 71.16566
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 20.01031
{txt}75%    {res} 85.82796        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 94.91667       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res} 400.4125
{txt}95%    {res}       98       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.5953372
{txt}99%    {res} 99.82796            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  2.55123
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*85.82796   -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*56.68817

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*85.82796 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*56.68817

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-884.3915{col 26}{space 2} 420.4629{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-1708.484{col 67}{space 3}-60.29933
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-513.1636{col 38}-457.1443{col 49}    48{col 58} 1010.289{col 69} 1154.799
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: LD.electedjudges1 omitted because of collinearity
note: 48.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 47,       102){col 67}= {res}      6.28
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1958306{col 29}{space 2} .0708727{col 40}{space 1}   -2.76{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4}-.3364062{col 70}{space 3}-.0552549
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0024991{col 29}{space 2} .0011529{col 40}{space 1}    2.17{col 49}{space 3}0.033{col 57}{space 4} .0002124{col 70}{space 3} .0047858
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0577171{col 29}{space 2} .0853455{col 40}{space 1}   -0.68{col 49}{space 3}0.500{col 57}{space 4}-.2269995{col 70}{space 3} .1115653
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.000364{col 29}{space 2}  .002403{col 40}{space 1}   -0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.880{col 57}{space 4}-.0051304{col 70}{space 3} .0044025
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0452396{col 29}{space 2} .1153775{col 40}{space 1}   -0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.696{col 57}{space 4}-.2740905{col 70}{space 3} .1836112
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0042951{col 29}{space 2} .0025642{col 40}{space 1}    1.68{col 49}{space 3}0.097{col 57}{space 4} -.000791{col 70}{space 3} .0093811
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1144619{col 29}{space 2} .0910744{col 40}{space 1}   -1.26{col 49}{space 3}0.212{col 57}{space 4}-.2951075{col 70}{space 3} .0661838
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0036516{col 29}{space 2} .0031321{col 40}{space 1}   -1.17{col 49}{space 3}0.246{col 57}{space 4}-.0098641{col 70}{space 3} .0025608
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -4.35768{col 29}{space 2}  2.14111{col 40}{space 1}   -2.04{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4}-8.604563{col 70}{space 3}-.1107977
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.976574{col 29}{space 2} 2.692457{col 40}{space 1}    1.11{col 49}{space 3}0.272{col 57}{space 4}-2.363901{col 70}{space 3} 8.317049
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.359541{col 29}{space 2} 2.591319{col 40}{space 1}    2.45{col 49}{space 3}0.016{col 57}{space 4} 1.219672{col 70}{space 3} 11.49941
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.159942{col 29}{space 2} 2.972345{col 40}{space 1}   -1.40{col 49}{space 3}0.165{col 57}{space 4}-10.05557{col 70}{space 3} 1.735689
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.378298{col 29}{space 2} 3.385676{col 40}{space 1}   -1.59{col 49}{space 3}0.115{col 57}{space 4}-12.09377{col 70}{space 3} 1.337173
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.281779{col 29}{space 2} 3.207566{col 40}{space 1}    1.33{col 49}{space 3}0.185{col 57}{space 4}-2.080413{col 70}{space 3} 10.64397
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.927127{col 29}{space 2} 1.694828{col 40}{space 1}    1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.258{col 57}{space 4}-1.434556{col 70}{space 3} 5.288809
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 12}13  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.983473{col 29}{space 2} 2.140953{col 40}{space 1}   -1.39{col 49}{space 3}0.166{col 57}{space 4}-7.230042{col 70}{space 3} 1.263096
{txt}{space 12}37  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2011986{col 29}{space 2} 1.711187{col 40}{space 1}    0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.907{col 57}{space 4}-3.192932{col 70}{space 3} 3.595329
{txt}{space 12}48  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}51  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.441387{col 29}{space 2} 2.000181{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.225{col 57}{space 4}-6.408737{col 70}{space 3} 1.525963
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.372436{col 29}{space 2} 4.795038{col 40}{space 1}   -1.54{col 49}{space 3}0.127{col 57}{space 4}-16.88337{col 70}{space 3}   2.1385
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.20366{col 29}{space 2} 5.309794{col 40}{space 1}   -2.67{col 49}{space 3}0.009{col 57}{space 4}-24.73561{col 70}{space 3}-3.671709
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -12.1419{col 29}{space 2} 3.573314{col 40}{space 1}   -3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-19.22956{col 70}{space 3}-5.054252
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.098064{col 29}{space 2} 4.831715{col 40}{space 1}   -0.85{col 49}{space 3}0.398{col 57}{space 4}-13.68175{col 70}{space 3} 5.485619
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.94281{col 29}{space 2} 4.248851{col 40}{space 1}   -2.58{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4}-19.37038{col 70}{space 3}-2.515231
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.869558{col 29}{space 2} 4.813674{col 40}{space 1}   -1.84{col 49}{space 3}0.068{col 57}{space 4}-18.41746{col 70}{space 3}  .678342
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.538581{col 29}{space 2} 4.371212{col 40}{space 1}   -2.18{col 49}{space 3}0.031{col 57}{space 4}-18.20886{col 70}{space 3} -.868302
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.736951{col 29}{space 2} 5.297049{col 40}{space 1}   -1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.281{col 57}{space 4}-16.24362{col 70}{space 3} 4.769719
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.726668{col 29}{space 2} 4.855261{col 40}{space 1}   -2.00{col 49}{space 3}0.048{col 57}{space 4}-19.35706{col 70}{space 3}-.0962801
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.65849{col 29}{space 2} 4.473342{col 40}{space 1}   -2.38{col 49}{space 3}0.019{col 57}{space 4}-19.53134{col 70}{space 3}-1.785636
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.557227{col 29}{space 2} 5.905996{col 40}{space 1}   -0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.442{col 57}{space 4}-16.27174{col 70}{space 3} 7.157288
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.301323{col 29}{space 2} 6.155411{col 40}{space 1}   -1.02{col 49}{space 3}0.308{col 57}{space 4}-18.51055{col 70}{space 3} 5.907905
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.106158{col 29}{space 2}  5.35851{col 40}{space 1}   -1.33{col 49}{space 3}0.188{col 57}{space 4}-17.73474{col 70}{space 3} 3.522421
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.568127{col 29}{space 2} 7.908307{col 40}{space 1}    0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.565{col 57}{space 4}-11.11796{col 70}{space 3} 20.25422
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.399677{col 29}{space 2} 6.411184{col 40}{space 1}   -0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.494{col 57}{space 4}-17.11623{col 70}{space 3} 8.316877
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.88668{col 29}{space 2} 7.377662{col 40}{space 1}   -0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.599{col 57}{space 4}-18.52024{col 70}{space 3} 10.74688
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.554354{col 29}{space 2} 7.494508{col 40}{space 1}   -0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.460{col 57}{space 4}-20.41968{col 70}{space 3} 9.310967
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-15.56952{col 29}{space 2} 8.928325{col 40}{space 1}   -1.74{col 49}{space 3}0.084{col 57}{space 4}-33.27881{col 70}{space 3}  2.13977
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.05982{col 29}{space 2}  8.24324{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.225{col 57}{space 4}-26.41025{col 70}{space 3} 6.290604
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.64148{col 29}{space 2} 8.874478{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.102{col 57}{space 4}-32.24396{col 70}{space 3} 2.961007
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-13.47609{col 29}{space 2} 8.178121{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.102{col 57}{space 4}-29.69735{col 70}{space 3} 2.745174
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.19415{col 29}{space 2} 10.61081{col 40}{space 1}   -1.15{col 49}{space 3}0.253{col 57}{space 4}-33.24064{col 70}{space 3} 8.852341
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.50689{col 29}{space 2} 8.866118{col 40}{space 1}   -1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.161{col 57}{space 4} -30.0928{col 70}{space 3}  5.07901
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -15.7639{col 29}{space 2} 10.06175{col 40}{space 1}   -1.57{col 49}{space 3}0.120{col 57}{space 4}-35.72134{col 70}{space 3}  4.19353
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.74714{col 29}{space 2} 9.781684{col 40}{space 1}   -1.30{col 49}{space 3}0.195{col 57}{space 4}-32.14907{col 70}{space 3} 6.654782
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.51423{col 29}{space 2} 10.72471{col 40}{space 1}   -1.35{col 49}{space 3}0.179{col 57}{space 4}-35.78664{col 70}{space 3}  6.75818
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.24194{col 29}{space 2} 11.15432{col 40}{space 1}   -1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.316{col 57}{space 4}-33.36648{col 70}{space 3}  10.8826
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.01004{col 29}{space 2} 10.58738{col 40}{space 1}   -1.04{col 49}{space 3}0.301{col 57}{space 4}-32.01005{col 70}{space 3} 9.989969
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-13.24798{col 29}{space 2}  10.2741{col 40}{space 1}   -1.29{col 49}{space 3}0.200{col 57}{space 4}-33.62661{col 70}{space 3} 7.130649
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.33193{col 29}{space 2} 15.50482{col 40}{space 1}   -0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.428{col 57}{space 4}-43.08568{col 70}{space 3} 18.42181
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   102) ={res}    7.63
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0068
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   102) ={res}    8.51
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002795{col 26}{space 2} .0036515{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.939{col 54}{space 4}-.0069632{col 67}{space 3} .0075221
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0127615{col 26}{space 2} .0084375{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-.0037757{col 67}{space 3} .0292986
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum  real_pc_inc_ann    if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 10063.01       10054.71
{txt} 5%    {res} 11693.49       10063.01
{txt}10%    {res} 12398.59       10330.47       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res} 13297.69       10405.05       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 15453.27                      {txt}Mean          {res} 15174.25
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2312.597
{txt}75%    {res} 16574.21       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 18271.44       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  5348106
{txt}95%    {res} 19043.96       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .1371925
{txt}99%    {res} 20757.53       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.753477
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69   

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 41.81328{col 26}{space 2} 27.64556{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-12.37101{col 67}{space 3} 95.99758
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(5,4) MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.A: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       640{col 27}-4437.366{col 38} -4049.81{col 49}    97{col 58}  8293.62{col 69} 8726.383
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       640
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 96,       543){col 67}= {res}     48.22
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1287389{col 34}{space 2} .0305127{col 45}{space 1}   -4.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1886762{col 75}{space 3}-.0688015
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.193484{col 34}{space 2} .7205194{col 45}{space 1}    3.04{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} .7781374{col 75}{space 3} 3.608831
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1575847{col 34}{space 2} .1188901{col 45}{space 1}    1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.186{col 62}{space 4}-.0759561{col 75}{space 3} .3911256
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2089657{col 34}{space 2} 1.126055{col 45}{space 1}   -0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.853{col 62}{space 4}-2.420922{col 75}{space 3} 2.002991
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1120985{col 34}{space 2} .0909382{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.218{col 62}{space 4}-.0665352{col 75}{space 3} .2907322
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.303702{col 34}{space 2} 1.196027{col 45}{space 1}   -1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.055{col 62}{space 4}-4.653109{col 75}{space 3} .0457051
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0596679{col 34}{space 2} .0544094{col 45}{space 1}   -1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.273{col 62}{space 4}-.1665466{col 75}{space 3} .0472108
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -2.45378{col 34}{space 2} 1.219677{col 45}{space 1}   -2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4}-4.849644{col 75}{space 3}-.0579159
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0892082{col 34}{space 2} .0433107{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} .0041311{col 75}{space 3} .1742853
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0630837{col 34}{space 2} 1.077564{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.953{col 62}{space 4}-2.179788{col 75}{space 3} 2.053621
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-111.1793{col 34}{space 2} 240.8091{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.644{col 62}{space 4}-584.2109{col 75}{space 3} 361.8523
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 240.9473{col 34}{space 2} 321.3544{col 45}{space 1}    0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.454{col 62}{space 4}-390.3028{col 75}{space 3} 872.1973
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-33.04863{col 34}{space 2} 31.08705{col 45}{space 1}   -1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.288{col 62}{space 4}-94.11425{col 75}{space 3} 28.01698
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.45525{col 34}{space 2} 55.03526{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.849{col 62}{space 4}-97.65285{col 75}{space 3} 118.5633
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-33.58578{col 34}{space 2} 161.1942{col 45}{space 1}   -0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.835{col 62}{space 4}-350.2264{col 75}{space 3} 283.0549
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-244.1924{col 34}{space 2} 648.2668{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4} -1517.61{col 75}{space 3} 1029.226
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 218.0078{col 34}{space 2} 276.0734{col 45}{space 1}    0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.430{col 62}{space 4}-324.2949{col 75}{space 3} 760.3105
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  2717.15{col 34}{space 2} 881.2725{col 45}{space 1}    3.08{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 986.0288{col 75}{space 3} 4448.271
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-86.69957{col 34}{space 2} 36.11095{col 45}{space 1}   -2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-157.6338{col 75}{space 3} -15.7653
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 88.93309{col 34}{space 2} 67.77739{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.190{col 62}{space 4}-44.20492{col 75}{space 3} 222.0711
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 119.4444{col 34}{space 2} 38.37018{col 45}{space 1}    3.11{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 44.07226{col 75}{space 3} 194.8166
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -85.3963{col 34}{space 2}  67.5876{col 45}{space 1}   -1.26{col 54}{space 3}0.207{col 62}{space 4}-218.1615{col 75}{space 3} 47.36888
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-77.50472{col 34}{space 2} 60.26043{col 45}{space 1}   -1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.199{col 62}{space 4}-195.8768{col 75}{space 3} 40.86741
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 94.24073{col 34}{space 2} 76.39959{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.218{col 62}{space 4}-55.83421{col 75}{space 3} 244.3157
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.84025{col 34}{space 2} 22.56173{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.094{col 62}{space 4}-82.15921{col 75}{space 3} 6.478702
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-99.62005{col 34}{space 2} 49.34655{col 45}{space 1}   -2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4}-196.5536{col 75}{space 3}-2.686535
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 55.19091{col 34}{space 2} 37.00314{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-17.49592{col 75}{space 3} 127.8777
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-150.5313{col 34}{space 2} 43.00053{col 45}{space 1}   -3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-234.9991{col 75}{space 3}-66.06356
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 123.7465{col 34}{space 2} 50.46468{col 45}{space 1}    2.45{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4}  24.6166{col 75}{space 3} 222.8764
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 53.97327{col 34}{space 2} 40.53525{col 45}{space 1}    1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.184{col 62}{space 4}-25.65183{col 75}{space 3} 133.5984
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-23.32179{col 34}{space 2} 22.82783{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.307{col 62}{space 4}-68.16347{col 75}{space 3} 21.51988
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 9.627378{col 34}{space 2} 32.34998{col 45}{space 1}    0.30{col 54}{space 3}0.766{col 62}{space 4}-53.91905{col 75}{space 3} 73.17381
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-135.9559{col 34}{space 2}  47.8703{col 45}{space 1}   -2.84{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-229.9895{col 75}{space 3}-41.92223
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 473.0044{col 34}{space 2} 82.89076{col 45}{space 1}    5.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 310.1786{col 75}{space 3} 635.8303
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 173.9806{col 34}{space 2} 126.2797{col 45}{space 1}    1.38{col 54}{space 3}0.169{col 62}{space 4}-74.07589{col 75}{space 3} 422.0371
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 321.7704{col 34}{space 2} 113.9913{col 45}{space 1}    2.82{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}  97.8524{col 75}{space 3} 545.6883
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 445.1514{col 34}{space 2} 132.2393{col 45}{space 1}    3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 185.3881{col 75}{space 3} 704.9147
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 420.2462{col 34}{space 2} 88.56895{col 45}{space 1}    4.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 246.2665{col 75}{space 3}  594.226
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 433.4269{col 34}{space 2} 108.9481{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 219.4154{col 75}{space 3} 647.4383
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  170.428{col 34}{space 2} 108.3504{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4} -42.4093{col 75}{space 3} 383.2652
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 611.7122{col 34}{space 2} 97.96545{col 45}{space 1}    6.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 419.2745{col 75}{space 3} 804.1499
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 565.8034{col 34}{space 2}  135.514{col 45}{space 1}    4.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 299.6075{col 75}{space 3} 831.9993
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 279.0479{col 34}{space 2} 118.1574{col 45}{space 1}    2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4} 46.94635{col 75}{space 3} 511.1495
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 446.8055{col 34}{space 2} 121.3687{col 45}{space 1}    3.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 208.3958{col 75}{space 3} 685.2152
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 596.5051{col 34}{space 2} 111.2862{col 45}{space 1}    5.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 377.9009{col 75}{space 3} 815.1093
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 358.6882{col 34}{space 2} 128.3821{col 45}{space 1}    2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 106.5018{col 75}{space 3} 610.8746
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 559.5697{col 34}{space 2} 122.7692{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  318.409{col 75}{space 3} 800.7303
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 647.0383{col 34}{space 2} 140.5534{col 45}{space 1}    4.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 370.9432{col 75}{space 3} 923.1333
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 625.5919{col 34}{space 2} 138.4526{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 353.6237{col 75}{space 3} 897.5602
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  752.308{col 34}{space 2} 140.8021{col 45}{space 1}    5.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 475.7244{col 75}{space 3} 1028.892
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 844.8303{col 34}{space 2} 155.0569{col 45}{space 1}    5.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 540.2454{col 75}{space 3} 1149.415
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  836.929{col 34}{space 2} 163.4264{col 45}{space 1}    5.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 515.9036{col 75}{space 3} 1157.954
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 818.2423{col 34}{space 2}  155.455{col 45}{space 1}    5.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 512.8755{col 75}{space 3} 1123.609
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 924.6663{col 34}{space 2} 167.7757{col 45}{space 1}    5.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 595.0973{col 75}{space 3} 1254.235
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 825.5826{col 34}{space 2} 184.4431{col 45}{space 1}    4.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 463.2733{col 75}{space 3} 1187.892
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 834.6408{col 34}{space 2} 169.4268{col 45}{space 1}    4.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 501.8285{col 75}{space 3} 1167.453
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  963.103{col 34}{space 2} 177.6233{col 45}{space 1}    5.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   614.19{col 75}{space 3} 1312.016
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1204.716{col 34}{space 2} 193.0015{col 45}{space 1}    6.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 825.5946{col 75}{space 3} 1583.837
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1214.013{col 34}{space 2}  216.616{col 45}{space 1}    5.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  788.505{col 75}{space 3} 1639.521
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 728.8452{col 34}{space 2} 210.3457{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 315.6542{col 75}{space 3} 1142.036
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 787.8881{col 34}{space 2} 189.7763{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 415.1025{col 75}{space 3} 1160.674
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1283.274{col 34}{space 2} 215.1124{col 45}{space 1}    5.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 860.7201{col 75}{space 3} 1705.829
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1123.256{col 34}{space 2} 252.8112{col 45}{space 1}    4.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 626.6483{col 75}{space 3} 1619.864
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1279.149{col 34}{space 2} 229.9513{col 45}{space 1}    5.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 827.4462{col 75}{space 3} 1730.853
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 986.2154{col 34}{space 2} 251.0823{col 45}{space 1}    3.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 493.0038{col 75}{space 3} 1479.427
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 611.0022{col 34}{space 2} 223.0184{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 172.9177{col 75}{space 3} 1049.087
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1144.972{col 34}{space 2} 224.3679{col 45}{space 1}    5.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 704.2364{col 75}{space 3} 1585.707
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1021.598{col 34}{space 2} 261.2414{col 45}{space 1}    3.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 508.4304{col 75}{space 3} 1534.765
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1079.843{col 34}{space 2} 246.1705{col 45}{space 1}    4.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 596.2798{col 75}{space 3} 1563.406
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1536.766{col 34}{space 2}  256.507{col 45}{space 1}    5.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1032.898{col 75}{space 3} 2040.633
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1194.135{col 34}{space 2} 267.3369{col 45}{space 1}    4.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 668.9938{col 75}{space 3} 1719.276
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1195.094{col 34}{space 2} 237.0501{col 45}{space 1}    5.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 729.4467{col 75}{space 3} 1660.742
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1178.142{col 34}{space 2} 254.7404{col 45}{space 1}    4.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 677.7447{col 75}{space 3} 1678.539
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1377.787{col 34}{space 2}  247.298{col 45}{space 1}    5.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 892.0093{col 75}{space 3} 1863.565
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1368.849{col 34}{space 2} 280.1668{col 45}{space 1}    4.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 818.5052{col 75}{space 3} 1919.192
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1158.493{col 34}{space 2} 276.6067{col 45}{space 1}    4.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  615.143{col 75}{space 3} 1701.844
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1163.945{col 34}{space 2} 265.6134{col 45}{space 1}    4.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  642.189{col 75}{space 3}   1685.7
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1533.592{col 34}{space 2} 268.5175{col 45}{space 1}    5.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1006.132{col 75}{space 3} 2061.052
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1241.968{col 34}{space 2} 303.5037{col 45}{space 1}    4.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  645.783{col 75}{space 3} 1838.153
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1475.787{col 34}{space 2} 278.6775{col 45}{space 1}    5.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 928.3686{col 75}{space 3} 2023.205
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1398.933{col 34}{space 2} 301.7935{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 806.1077{col 75}{space 3} 1991.759
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1411.117{col 34}{space 2} 288.4101{col 45}{space 1}    4.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 844.5807{col 75}{space 3} 1977.653
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1573.843{col 34}{space 2}  303.772{col 45}{space 1}    5.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  977.131{col 75}{space 3} 2170.555
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1761.782{col 34}{space 2} 298.5998{col 45}{space 1}    5.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1175.23{col 75}{space 3} 2348.334
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1424.179{col 34}{space 2} 329.3008{col 45}{space 1}    4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 777.3193{col 75}{space 3} 2071.039
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1658.382{col 34}{space 2} 305.5982{col 45}{space 1}    5.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1058.083{col 75}{space 3} 2258.682
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1632.255{col 34}{space 2} 346.2988{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 952.0054{col 75}{space 3} 2312.504
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1438.711{col 34}{space 2} 318.2542{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 813.5513{col 75}{space 3} 2063.872
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1573.181{col 34}{space 2} 332.6749{col 45}{space 1}    4.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 919.6939{col 75}{space 3} 2226.669
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1787.957{col 34}{space 2} 356.7179{col 45}{space 1}    5.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1087.241{col 75}{space 3} 2488.673
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1653.203{col 34}{space 2} 370.7307{col 45}{space 1}    4.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 924.9609{col 75}{space 3} 2381.445
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1983.318{col 34}{space 2} 382.3796{col 45}{space 1}    5.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1232.194{col 75}{space 3} 2734.443
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1837.361{col 34}{space 2} 389.2402{col 45}{space 1}    4.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1072.76{col 75}{space 3} 2601.962
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1757.363{col 34}{space 2} 418.2207{col 45}{space 1}    4.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 935.8341{col 75}{space 3} 2578.891
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1084.979{col 34}{space 2} 335.2023{col 45}{space 1}    3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 426.5265{col 75}{space 3} 1743.431
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1827.428{col 34}{space 2}  349.569{col 45}{space 1}    5.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1140.755{col 75}{space 3} 2514.101
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 44.06995{col 34}{space 2}  285.546{col 45}{space 1}    0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.877{col 62}{space 4}-516.8401{col 75}{space 3}   604.98
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,699 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   543) ={res}   17.80
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   543) ={res}    8.95
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.029531{col 26}{space 2} 2.869296{col 37}{space 1}   -1.75{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4}-10.66581{col 67}{space 3} .6067489
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 17.03824{col 26}{space 2} 4.189801{col 37}{space 1}    4.07{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.826383{col 67}{space 3}  25.2501
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       650{col 27} -189.332{col 38}-92.18731{col 49}    90{col 58} 364.3746{col 69} 767.3021
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ****** PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       650
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 89,       560){col 67}= {res}      4.22
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.034844{col 30}{space 2} .0153693{col 41}{space 1}   -2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4}-.0650325{col 71}{space 3}-.0046556
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.000015{col 30}{space 2} .0000214{col 41}{space 1}   -0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.485{col 58}{space 4}-.0000571{col 71}{space 3} .0000271
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.069601{col 30}{space 2} .0777766{col 41}{space 1}   -0.89{col 50}{space 3}0.371{col 58}{space 4}-.2223706{col 71}{space 3} .0831685
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000364{col 30}{space 2} .0000574{col 41}{space 1}   -0.63{col 50}{space 3}0.526{col 58}{space 4}-.0001492{col 71}{space 3} .0000764
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2040571{col 30}{space 2} .0594133{col 41}{space 1}   -3.43{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.3207572{col 71}{space 3}-.0873569
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000281{col 30}{space 2} .0000649{col 41}{space 1}    0.43{col 50}{space 3}0.666{col 58}{space 4}-.0000994{col 71}{space 3} .0001555
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0945087{col 30}{space 2} .0430184{col 41}{space 1}   -2.20{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4}-.1790058{col 71}{space 3}-.0100115
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000186{col 30}{space 2} .0000691{col 41}{space 1}   -0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.788{col 58}{space 4}-.0001543{col 71}{space 3} .0001171
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0309449{col 30}{space 2} .0443845{col 41}{space 1}   -0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.486{col 58}{space 4}-.1181254{col 71}{space 3} .0562357
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0166442{col 30}{space 2} .0388804{col 41}{space 1}   -0.43{col 50}{space 3}0.669{col 58}{space 4}-.0930135{col 71}{space 3} .0597251
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0551885{col 30}{space 2}   .04588{col 41}{space 1}    1.20{col 50}{space 3}0.230{col 58}{space 4}-.0349294{col 71}{space 3} .1453064
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0077606{col 30}{space 2} .0413215{col 41}{space 1}    0.19{col 50}{space 3}0.851{col 58}{space 4}-.0734035{col 71}{space 3} .0889248
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0662095{col 30}{space 2} .0485812{col 41}{space 1}   -1.36{col 50}{space 3}0.173{col 58}{space 4}-.1616331{col 71}{space 3} .0292142
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0724065{col 30}{space 2} .0782479{col 41}{space 1}    0.93{col 50}{space 3}0.355{col 58}{space 4}-.0812888{col 71}{space 3} .2261018
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0268213{col 30}{space 2}  .035832{col 41}{space 1}    0.75{col 50}{space 3}0.454{col 58}{space 4}-.0435603{col 71}{space 3} .0972029
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .029134{col 30}{space 2} .0368429{col 41}{space 1}    0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.429{col 58}{space 4}-.0432331{col 71}{space 3} .1015011
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.021421{col 30}{space 2} .0657742{col 41}{space 1}   -0.33{col 50}{space 3}0.745{col 58}{space 4}-.1506153{col 71}{space 3} .1077732
{txt}{space 13}21  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0011866{col 30}{space 2} .0637134{col 41}{space 1}    0.02{col 50}{space 3}0.985{col 58}{space 4}-.1239598{col 71}{space 3} .1263331
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0252249{col 30}{space 2} .0593075{col 41}{space 1}    0.43{col 50}{space 3}0.671{col 58}{space 4}-.0912674{col 71}{space 3} .1417172
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0008357{col 30}{space 2} .0702161{col 41}{space 1}    0.01{col 50}{space 3}0.991{col 58}{space 4}-.1370833{col 71}{space 3} .1387547
{txt}{space 13}29  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0614488{col 30}{space 2} .0865432{col 41}{space 1}    0.71{col 50}{space 3}0.478{col 58}{space 4}-.1085401{col 71}{space 3} .2314378
{txt}{space 13}40  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0275588{col 30}{space 2} .0627385{col 41}{space 1}    0.44{col 50}{space 3}0.661{col 58}{space 4}-.0956728{col 71}{space 3} .1507904
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0702859{col 30}{space 2} .0898241{col 41}{space 1}    0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.434{col 58}{space 4}-.1061473{col 71}{space 3} .2467192
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0311924{col 30}{space 2} .0666963{col 41}{space 1}    0.47{col 50}{space 3}0.640{col 58}{space 4} -.099813{col 71}{space 3} .1621979
{txt}{space 13}54  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0246617{col 30}{space 2}  .063936{col 41}{space 1}   -0.39{col 50}{space 3}0.700{col 58}{space 4}-.1502453{col 71}{space 3}  .100922
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0571281{col 30}{space 2} .0662737{col 41}{space 1}   -0.86{col 50}{space 3}0.389{col 58}{space 4}-.1873036{col 71}{space 3} .0730474
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0380023{col 30}{space 2} .0844143{col 41}{space 1}   -0.45{col 50}{space 3}0.653{col 58}{space 4}-.2038096{col 71}{space 3}  .127805
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2374823{col 30}{space 2} .1286165{col 41}{space 1}   -1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4}-.4901121{col 71}{space 3} .0151474
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0981524{col 30}{space 2} .0745561{col 41}{space 1}   -1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.189{col 58}{space 4}-.2445962{col 71}{space 3} .0482914
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0200188{col 30}{space 2} .0788472{col 41}{space 1}   -0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.800{col 58}{space 4}-.1748911{col 71}{space 3} .1348535
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0511274{col 30}{space 2}  .065139{col 41}{space 1}   -0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.433{col 58}{space 4} -.179074{col 71}{space 3} .0768192
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0696494{col 30}{space 2} .0854115{col 41}{space 1}    0.82{col 50}{space 3}0.415{col 58}{space 4}-.0981167{col 71}{space 3} .2374156
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0390641{col 30}{space 2} .0611307{col 41}{space 1}   -0.64{col 50}{space 3}0.523{col 58}{space 4}-.1591375{col 71}{space 3} .0810093
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0667368{col 30}{space 2}  .140756{col 41}{space 1}   -0.47{col 50}{space 3}0.636{col 58}{space 4} -.343211{col 71}{space 3} .2097375
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0425307{col 30}{space 2} .0854012{col 41}{space 1}   -0.50{col 50}{space 3}0.619{col 58}{space 4}-.2102765{col 71}{space 3} .1252151
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0642561{col 30}{space 2} .0941132{col 41}{space 1}   -0.68{col 50}{space 3}0.495{col 58}{space 4} -.249114{col 71}{space 3} .1206019
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0257297{col 30}{space 2} .0746148{col 41}{space 1}   -0.34{col 50}{space 3}0.730{col 58}{space 4}-.1722887{col 71}{space 3} .1208293
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3948412{col 30}{space 2} .1950214{col 41}{space 1}   -2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.043{col 58}{space 4}-.7779041{col 71}{space 3}-.0117784
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0904779{col 30}{space 2} .0881386{col 41}{space 1}   -1.03{col 50}{space 3}0.305{col 58}{space 4}-.2636006{col 71}{space 3} .0826448
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0291149{col 30}{space 2} .0971439{col 41}{space 1}    0.30{col 50}{space 3}0.765{col 58}{space 4}-.1616961{col 71}{space 3}  .219926
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0499883{col 30}{space 2} .0912403{col 41}{space 1}   -0.55{col 50}{space 3}0.584{col 58}{space 4}-.2292034{col 71}{space 3} .1292268
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2529522{col 30}{space 2} .1581635{col 41}{space 1}    1.60{col 50}{space 3}0.110{col 58}{space 4}-.0577139{col 71}{space 3} .5636184
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2706687{col 30}{space 2} .1547792{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.081{col 58}{space 4}-.0333499{col 71}{space 3} .5746873
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0095008{col 30}{space 2} .1644544{col 41}{space 1}    0.06{col 50}{space 3}0.954{col 58}{space 4} -.313522{col 71}{space 3} .3325236
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4129193{col 30}{space 2} .1986937{col 41}{space 1}    2.08{col 50}{space 3}0.038{col 58}{space 4} .0226433{col 71}{space 3} .8031954
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6357914{col 30}{space 2} .3068415{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0330905{col 71}{space 3} 1.238492
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1511226{col 30}{space 2} .2742699{col 41}{space 1}   -0.55{col 50}{space 3}0.582{col 58}{space 4} -.689846{col 71}{space 3} .3876009
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .192769{col 30}{space 2}  .162163{col 41}{space 1}    1.19{col 50}{space 3}0.235{col 58}{space 4}-.1257532{col 71}{space 3} .5112911
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3997396{col 30}{space 2} .1851347{col 41}{space 1}    2.16{col 50}{space 3}0.031{col 58}{space 4} .0360963{col 71}{space 3} .7633829
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0061545{col 30}{space 2} .1137968{col 41}{space 1}    0.05{col 50}{space 3}0.957{col 58}{space 4}-.2173662{col 71}{space 3} .2296753
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1495802{col 30}{space 2} .1666789{col 41}{space 1}    0.90{col 50}{space 3}0.370{col 58}{space 4}-.1778119{col 71}{space 3} .4769724
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1965851{col 30}{space 2} .1408269{col 41}{space 1}    1.40{col 50}{space 3}0.163{col 58}{space 4}-.0800284{col 71}{space 3} .4731987
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0180121{col 30}{space 2} .1312571{col 41}{space 1}    0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.891{col 58}{space 4}-.2398042{col 71}{space 3} .2758284
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1298766{col 30}{space 2}  .197059{col 41}{space 1}   -0.66{col 50}{space 3}0.510{col 58}{space 4}-.5169417{col 71}{space 3} .2571885
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0376014{col 30}{space 2}  .146576{col 41}{space 1}    0.26{col 50}{space 3}0.798{col 58}{space 4}-.2503045{col 71}{space 3} .3255072
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2654697{col 30}{space 2} .2949002{col 41}{space 1}    0.90{col 50}{space 3}0.368{col 58}{space 4}-.3137759{col 71}{space 3} .8447153
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0808098{col 30}{space 2} .1337272{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.546{col 58}{space 4}-.1818584{col 71}{space 3}  .343478
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2337339{col 30}{space 2} .1656207{col 41}{space 1}    1.41{col 50}{space 3}0.159{col 58}{space 4}-.0915797{col 71}{space 3} .5590476
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1413515{col 30}{space 2} .1400578{col 41}{space 1}    1.01{col 50}{space 3}0.313{col 58}{space 4}-.1337513{col 71}{space 3} .4164543
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2290375{col 30}{space 2} .1537259{col 41}{space 1}    1.49{col 50}{space 3}0.137{col 58}{space 4}-.0729123{col 71}{space 3} .5309873
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1078398{col 30}{space 2}  .158222{col 41}{space 1}    0.68{col 50}{space 3}0.496{col 58}{space 4}-.2029413{col 71}{space 3}  .418621
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2456893{col 30}{space 2} .2251629{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.276{col 58}{space 4}-.1965777{col 71}{space 3} .6879562
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1507705{col 30}{space 2} .1660239{col 41}{space 1}    0.91{col 50}{space 3}0.364{col 58}{space 4}-.1753351{col 71}{space 3} .4768762
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4045322{col 30}{space 2} .1991474{col 41}{space 1}    2.03{col 50}{space 3}0.043{col 58}{space 4}  .013365{col 71}{space 3} .7956994
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1329364{col 30}{space 2}  .154146{col 41}{space 1}    0.86{col 50}{space 3}0.389{col 58}{space 4}-.1698385{col 71}{space 3} .4357113
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3030074{col 30}{space 2} .1851748{col 41}{space 1}    1.64{col 50}{space 3}0.102{col 58}{space 4}-.0607146{col 71}{space 3} .6667295
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1896403{col 30}{space 2} .1700425{col 41}{space 1}    1.12{col 50}{space 3}0.265{col 58}{space 4}-.1443587{col 71}{space 3} .5236393
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1948919{col 30}{space 2} .1831075{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.288{col 58}{space 4}-.1647696{col 71}{space 3} .5545533
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1840986{col 30}{space 2}  .175464{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.295{col 58}{space 4}-.1605494{col 71}{space 3} .5287466
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1906898{col 30}{space 2} .1819328{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.295{col 58}{space 4}-.1666644{col 71}{space 3} .5480439
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1804559{col 30}{space 2} .1887075{col 41}{space 1}    0.96{col 50}{space 3}0.339{col 58}{space 4}-.1902052{col 71}{space 3}  .551117
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .211132{col 30}{space 2} .1944444{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.278{col 58}{space 4}-.1707975{col 71}{space 3} .5930616
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1965924{col 30}{space 2} .1854441{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.290{col 58}{space 4}-.1676586{col 71}{space 3} .5608434
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4020433{col 30}{space 2} .1969503{col 41}{space 1}    2.04{col 50}{space 3}0.042{col 58}{space 4} .0151918{col 71}{space 3} .7888948
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2834658{col 30}{space 2} .1969512{col 41}{space 1}    1.44{col 50}{space 3}0.151{col 58}{space 4}-.1033875{col 71}{space 3} .6703191
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2559123{col 30}{space 2} .2018385{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.205{col 58}{space 4}-.1405408{col 71}{space 3} .6523654
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2435865{col 30}{space 2} .2085647{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.243{col 58}{space 4}-.1660783{col 71}{space 3} .6532512
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2050481{col 30}{space 2} .2147435{col 41}{space 1}    0.95{col 50}{space 3}0.340{col 58}{space 4}-.2167531{col 71}{space 3} .6268494
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2308223{col 30}{space 2} .2111955{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.275{col 58}{space 4}-.1840098{col 71}{space 3} .6456544
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2744626{col 30}{space 2} .2266114{col 41}{space 1}    1.21{col 50}{space 3}0.226{col 58}{space 4}-.1706497{col 71}{space 3} .7195748
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2177322{col 30}{space 2} .2207444{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.324{col 58}{space 4}-.2158559{col 71}{space 3} .6513204
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2952973{col 30}{space 2} .2305254{col 41}{space 1}    1.28{col 50}{space 3}0.201{col 58}{space 4}-.1575028{col 71}{space 3} .7480973
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2445633{col 30}{space 2} .2346814{col 41}{space 1}    1.04{col 50}{space 3}0.298{col 58}{space 4}-.2164001{col 71}{space 3} .7055268
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2513814{col 30}{space 2} .2421167{col 41}{space 1}    1.04{col 50}{space 3}0.300{col 58}{space 4}-.2241864{col 71}{space 3} .7269493
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .265927{col 30}{space 2} .2421934{col 41}{space 1}    1.10{col 50}{space 3}0.273{col 58}{space 4}-.2097914{col 71}{space 3} .7416454
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2693366{col 30}{space 2} .2537853{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.289{col 58}{space 4}-.2291509{col 71}{space 3} .7678241
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2715145{col 30}{space 2} .2489308{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.276{col 58}{space 4}-.2174377{col 71}{space 3} .7604668
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2208249{col 30}{space 2} .2552863{col 41}{space 1}    0.87{col 50}{space 3}0.387{col 58}{space 4}-.2806109{col 71}{space 3} .7222606
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2639779{col 30}{space 2} .2670769{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.323{col 58}{space 4} -.260617{col 71}{space 3} .7885728
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1373759{col 30}{space 2} .1353935{col 41}{space 1}    1.01{col 50}{space 3}0.311{col 58}{space 4}-.1285652{col 71}{space 3}  .403317
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,689 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   560) ={res}    5.14
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0238
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   560) ={res}    2.84
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0593
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000269{col 26}{space 2} .0001171{col 37}{space 1}   -0.23{col 46}{space 3}0.818{col 54}{space 4}-.0002569{col 67}{space 3}  .000203
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0004299{col 26}{space 2} .0006464{col 37}{space 1}   -0.67{col 46}{space 3}0.506{col 54}{space 4}-.0016969{col 67}{space 3} .0008371
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.B: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***
. 
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       350{col 27}-2428.669{col 38}-2113.533{col 49}    64{col 58} 4355.065{col 69} 4601.973
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       350
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 63,       286){col 67}= {res}     64.16
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2368392{col 34}{space 2} .0712415{col 45}{space 1}   -3.32{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-.3770634{col 75}{space 3}-.0966149
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.009448{col 34}{space 2} .7051786{col 45}{space 1}    2.85{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} .6214493{col 75}{space 3} 3.397446
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1759189{col 34}{space 2} .0693155{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} .0394857{col 75}{space 3}  .312352
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.348178{col 34}{space 2} 1.153838{col 45}{space 1}   -1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.244{col 62}{space 4}-3.619269{col 75}{space 3} .9229125
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1033482{col 34}{space 2} .0558309{col 45}{space 1}   -1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.065{col 62}{space 4}-.2132398{col 75}{space 3} .0065433
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.147999{col 34}{space 2} 1.146302{col 45}{space 1}   -1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.317{col 62}{space 4}-3.404258{col 75}{space 3}  1.10826
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1203517{col 34}{space 2} .0608084{col 45}{space 1}   -1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4}-.2400405{col 75}{space 3}-.0006629
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.451173{col 34}{space 2}  1.12565{col 45}{space 1}   -1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.198{col 62}{space 4}-3.666781{col 75}{space 3} .7644357
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 194.7722{col 34}{space 2} 216.6471{col 45}{space 1}    0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.369{col 62}{space 4}-231.6528{col 75}{space 3} 621.1973
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-131.8722{col 34}{space 2} 269.2759{col 45}{space 1}   -0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.625{col 62}{space 4}-661.8861{col 75}{space 3} 398.1418
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.073248{col 34}{space 2} 59.21721{col 45}{space 1}    0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.932{col 62}{space 4}-111.4836{col 75}{space 3} 121.6301
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.309056{col 34}{space 2}  68.9362{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.973{col 62}{space 4}-137.9957{col 75}{space 3} 133.3776
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-502.3382{col 34}{space 2} 218.1738{col 45}{space 1}   -2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-931.7682{col 75}{space 3}-72.90828
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 794.9502{col 34}{space 2} 448.0135{col 45}{space 1}    1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.077{col 62}{space 4}-86.87181{col 75}{space 3} 1676.772
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 445.0695{col 34}{space 2} 469.4448{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.344{col 62}{space 4}-478.9356{col 75}{space 3} 1369.075
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2346.591{col 34}{space 2} 605.3926{col 45}{space 1}    3.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1155.001{col 75}{space 3} 3538.181
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 46.15124{col 34}{space 2} 48.28552{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.340{col 62}{space 4}-48.88883{col 75}{space 3} 141.1913
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-32.45196{col 34}{space 2} 54.97613{col 45}{space 1}   -0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.555{col 62}{space 4}-140.6611{col 75}{space 3} 75.75719
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.39006{col 34}{space 2} 47.81229{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.828{col 62}{space 4}-83.71856{col 75}{space 3} 104.4987
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.54954{col 34}{space 2} 51.79242{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.706{col 62}{space 4}-82.39313{col 75}{space 3} 121.4922
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.70522{col 34}{space 2} 46.09907{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.717{col 62}{space 4}-107.4417{col 75}{space 3} 74.03126
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9517301{col 34}{space 2} 67.77774{col 45}{space 1}    0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.989{col 62}{space 4}-132.4547{col 75}{space 3} 134.3582
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 168.9623{col 34}{space 2} 62.63478{col 45}{space 1}    2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}  45.6787{col 75}{space 3} 292.2459
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-187.4523{col 34}{space 2} 72.31054{col 45}{space 1}   -2.59{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-329.7806{col 75}{space 3}-45.12391
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 435.2665{col 34}{space 2} 126.7233{col 45}{space 1}    3.43{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 185.8378{col 75}{space 3} 684.6951
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 327.4985{col 34}{space 2} 72.89849{col 45}{space 1}    4.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 184.0129{col 75}{space 3} 470.9841
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-33.69572{col 34}{space 2} 34.48075{col 45}{space 1}   -0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.329{col 62}{space 4}-101.5639{col 75}{space 3}  34.1725
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 12.22458{col 34}{space 2} 41.12011{col 45}{space 1}    0.30{col 54}{space 3}0.766{col 62}{space 4}-68.71186{col 75}{space 3} 93.16102
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.51875{col 34}{space 2} 72.09385{col 45}{space 1}   -0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.819{col 62}{space 4}-158.4206{col 75}{space 3} 125.3831
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  45.5021{col 34}{space 2} 89.91711{col 45}{space 1}    0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.613{col 62}{space 4}-131.4811{col 75}{space 3} 222.4853
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  337.662{col 34}{space 2} 103.2556{col 45}{space 1}    3.27{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 134.4247{col 75}{space 3} 540.8993
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-45.68163{col 34}{space 2}  108.457{col 45}{space 1}   -0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.674{col 62}{space 4}-259.1568{col 75}{space 3} 167.7935
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 165.4904{col 34}{space 2}  80.5059{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.041{col 62}{space 4} 7.031183{col 75}{space 3} 323.9496
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 279.0737{col 34}{space 2} 81.70038{col 45}{space 1}    3.42{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 118.2634{col 75}{space 3}  439.884
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 372.5476{col 34}{space 2}  75.1691{col 45}{space 1}    4.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 224.5928{col 75}{space 3} 520.5025
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 407.0802{col 34}{space 2}  70.3189{col 45}{space 1}    5.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  268.672{col 75}{space 3} 545.4885
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 166.7367{col 34}{space 2} 73.32383{col 45}{space 1}    2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}  22.4139{col 75}{space 3} 311.0595
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 597.7298{col 34}{space 2} 84.93834{col 45}{space 1}    7.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 430.5462{col 75}{space 3} 764.9134
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  513.936{col 34}{space 2} 94.66165{col 45}{space 1}    5.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 327.6141{col 75}{space 3} 700.2579
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 340.0874{col 34}{space 2} 110.0719{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 123.4336{col 75}{space 3} 556.7412
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 469.8657{col 34}{space 2} 104.0898{col 45}{space 1}    4.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 264.9864{col 75}{space 3}  674.745
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 611.6678{col 34}{space 2} 111.9598{col 45}{space 1}    5.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 391.2981{col 75}{space 3} 832.0375
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.4424{col 34}{space 2} 125.6374{col 45}{space 1}    3.17{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 151.1512{col 75}{space 3} 645.7336
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 583.9409{col 34}{space 2} 127.9176{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 332.1616{col 75}{space 3} 835.7202
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 657.3807{col 34}{space 2} 129.8687{col 45}{space 1}    5.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  401.761{col 75}{space 3} 913.0003
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 688.4684{col 34}{space 2} 142.2064{col 45}{space 1}    4.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 408.5645{col 75}{space 3} 968.3723
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 829.9197{col 34}{space 2} 150.7594{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 533.1809{col 75}{space 3} 1126.658
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 972.0118{col 34}{space 2} 161.9635{col 45}{space 1}    6.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   653.22{col 75}{space 3} 1290.804
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1018.049{col 34}{space 2} 181.5425{col 45}{space 1}    5.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 660.7202{col 75}{space 3} 1375.378
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1084.97{col 34}{space 2}  198.025{col 45}{space 1}    5.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 695.1991{col 75}{space 3} 1474.742
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1197.125{col 34}{space 2} 218.2091{col 45}{space 1}    5.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 767.6256{col 75}{space 3} 1626.625
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1136.72{col 34}{space 2} 248.2236{col 45}{space 1}    4.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  648.143{col 75}{space 3} 1625.297
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1180.307{col 34}{space 2}  262.804{col 45}{space 1}    4.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 663.0313{col 75}{space 3} 1697.582
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1291.187{col 34}{space 2} 275.2723{col 45}{space 1}    4.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 749.3708{col 75}{space 3} 1833.004
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1558.079{col 34}{space 2} 299.7717{col 45}{space 1}    5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 968.0402{col 75}{space 3} 2148.117
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1645.443{col 34}{space 2} 323.4547{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1008.789{col 75}{space 3} 2282.097
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1251.816{col 34}{space 2}  340.633{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   581.35{col 75}{space 3} 1922.281
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1354.386{col 34}{space 2} 346.0707{col 45}{space 1}    3.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 673.2177{col 75}{space 3} 2035.555
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1741.402{col 34}{space 2} 363.6033{col 45}{space 1}    4.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1025.724{col 75}{space 3}  2457.08
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1573.244{col 34}{space 2} 382.9695{col 45}{space 1}    4.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  819.448{col 75}{space 3} 2327.041
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1808.528{col 34}{space 2} 405.0553{col 45}{space 1}    4.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1011.26{col 75}{space 3} 2605.795
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1570.936{col 34}{space 2} 406.0624{col 45}{space 1}    3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 771.6862{col 75}{space 3} 2370.186
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1253.184{col 34}{space 2} 422.7343{col 45}{space 1}    2.96{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 421.1189{col 75}{space 3} 2085.249
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 328.8331{col 34}{space 2} 432.7814{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.448{col 62}{space 4}-523.0076{col 75}{space 3} 1180.674
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,989 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   286) ={res}   11.05
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0010
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   286) ={res}    6.50
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0017
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -3.94735{col 26}{space 2} 1.946078{col 37}{space 1}   -2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}-7.777802{col 67}{space 3}-.1168989
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.484439{col 26}{space 2} 2.813664{col 37}{space 1}    3.02{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} 2.969759{col 67}{space 3} 13.99912
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        350
{txt}25%    {res}        1              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        350

{txt}50%    {res} 21.52087                      {txt}Mean          {res}  28.6469
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 28.77763
{txt}75%    {res} 51.51515       90.90909
{txt}90%    {res} 72.35294       90.90909       {txt}Variance      {res} 828.1521
{txt}95%    {res} 79.18258       98.80105       {txt}Skewness      {res} .5697845
{txt}99%    {res} 90.90909       98.80105       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.964295
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*44.05263  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*0.9433962

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*44.05263 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*0.9433962

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 365.7577{col 26}{space 2} 121.2949{col 37}{space 1}    3.02{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}  128.024{col 67}{space 3} 603.4914
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       350{col 27}-188.4754{col 38}-127.5954{col 49}    58{col 58} 371.1908{col 69} 594.9509
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       350
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 57,       292){col 67}= {res}      4.95
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0968319{col 30}{space 2}  .042837{col 41}{space 1}   -2.26{col 50}{space 3}0.025{col 58}{space 4}-.1811404{col 71}{space 3}-.0125235
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0002418{col 30}{space 2} .0001373{col 41}{space 1}   -1.76{col 50}{space 3}0.079{col 58}{space 4}-.0005121{col 71}{space 3} .0000285
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  -.03147{col 30}{space 2} .0988111{col 41}{space 1}   -0.32{col 50}{space 3}0.750{col 58}{space 4}-.2259423{col 71}{space 3} .1630023
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0002514{col 30}{space 2} .0001308{col 41}{space 1}   -1.92{col 50}{space 3}0.056{col 58}{space 4}-.0005088{col 71}{space 3} 6.01e-06
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2126134{col 30}{space 2} .0647432{col 41}{space 1}   -3.28{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.3400358{col 71}{space 3}-.0851909
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002275{col 30}{space 2} .0001816{col 41}{space 1}    1.25{col 50}{space 3}0.211{col 58}{space 4}-.0001299{col 71}{space 3} .0005849
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0798869{col 30}{space 2} .0548725{col 41}{space 1}   -1.46{col 50}{space 3}0.147{col 58}{space 4}-.1878826{col 71}{space 3} .0281088
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000382{col 30}{space 2} .0001675{col 41}{space 1}   -0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.820{col 58}{space 4}-.0003678{col 71}{space 3} .0002914
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1919983{col 30}{space 2} .0808133{col 41}{space 1}    2.38{col 50}{space 3}0.018{col 58}{space 4} .0329479{col 71}{space 3} .3510488
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1530449{col 30}{space 2} .0700408{col 41}{space 1}   -2.19{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4}-.2908938{col 71}{space 3}-.0151961
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0822655{col 30}{space 2} .0665844{col 41}{space 1}   -1.24{col 50}{space 3}0.218{col 58}{space 4}-.2133116{col 71}{space 3} .0487806
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1011112{col 30}{space 2} .0634445{col 41}{space 1}    1.59{col 50}{space 3}0.112{col 58}{space 4}-.0237552{col 71}{space 3} .2259776
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2129632{col 30}{space 2} .1363151{col 41}{space 1}   -1.56{col 50}{space 3}0.119{col 58}{space 4}-.4812478{col 71}{space 3} .0553215
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1277692{col 30}{space 2} .0921942{col 41}{space 1}    1.39{col 50}{space 3}0.167{col 58}{space 4}-.0536803{col 71}{space 3} .3092186
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  -.01045{col 30}{space 2} .0984596{col 41}{space 1}   -0.11{col 50}{space 3}0.916{col 58}{space 4}-.2042304{col 71}{space 3} .1833303
{txt}{space 13}21  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4142154{col 30}{space 2} .1936823{col 41}{space 1}    2.14{col 50}{space 3}0.033{col 58}{space 4} .0330251{col 71}{space 3} .7954057
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1789837{col 30}{space 2} .1260402{col 41}{space 1}    1.42{col 50}{space 3}0.157{col 58}{space 4}-.0690787{col 71}{space 3} .4270461
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1477791{col 30}{space 2} .1422134{col 41}{space 1}   -1.04{col 50}{space 3}0.300{col 58}{space 4}-.4276722{col 71}{space 3} .1321141
{txt}{space 13}29  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6270222{col 30}{space 2} .3313113{col 41}{space 1}    1.89{col 50}{space 3}0.059{col 58}{space 4}-.0250386{col 71}{space 3} 1.279083
{txt}{space 13}40  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5822311{col 30}{space 2}  .237985{col 41}{space 1}    2.45{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .1138476{col 71}{space 3} 1.050615
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0902177{col 30}{space 2}  .171152{col 41}{space 1}   -0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.599{col 58}{space 4}-.4270656{col 71}{space 3} .2466303
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .423822{col 30}{space 2} .1830315{col 41}{space 1}    2.32{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4} .0635939{col 71}{space 3} .7840502
{txt}{space 13}54  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4346048{col 30}{space 2}  .199236{col 41}{space 1}    2.18{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4} .0424841{col 71}{space 3} .8267256
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0578095{col 30}{space 2} .1489745{col 41}{space 1}   -0.39{col 50}{space 3}0.698{col 58}{space 4}-.3510095{col 71}{space 3} .2353905
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0181307{col 30}{space 2} .2049747{col 41}{space 1}   -0.09{col 50}{space 3}0.930{col 58}{space 4}-.4215458{col 71}{space 3} .3852845
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3526282{col 30}{space 2} .1814126{col 41}{space 1}   -1.94{col 50}{space 3}0.053{col 58}{space 4}-.7096702{col 71}{space 3} .0044139
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1111255{col 30}{space 2} .1350419{col 41}{space 1}   -0.82{col 50}{space 3}0.411{col 58}{space 4}-.3769043{col 71}{space 3} .1546533
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0531133{col 30}{space 2} .1389803{col 41}{space 1}   -0.38{col 50}{space 3}0.703{col 58}{space 4}-.3266435{col 71}{space 3} .2204168
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0347312{col 30}{space 2} .1088175{col 41}{space 1}   -0.32{col 50}{space 3}0.750{col 58}{space 4}-.2488973{col 71}{space 3} .1794348
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1277427{col 30}{space 2} .1192322{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.285{col 58}{space 4}-.1069207{col 71}{space 3} .3624061
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0007947{col 30}{space 2} .0887447{col 41}{space 1}    0.01{col 50}{space 3}0.993{col 58}{space 4}-.1738657{col 71}{space 3} .1754551
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0901427{col 30}{space 2}  .169109{col 41}{space 1}    0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.594{col 58}{space 4}-.2426844{col 71}{space 3} .4229697
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .077533{col 30}{space 2} .1510872{col 41}{space 1}    0.51{col 50}{space 3}0.608{col 58}{space 4} -.219825{col 71}{space 3} .3748909
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .101639{col 30}{space 2} .1317424{col 41}{space 1}    0.77{col 50}{space 3}0.441{col 58}{space 4}-.1576459{col 71}{space 3}  .360924
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1964455{col 30}{space 2} .1494869{col 41}{space 1}    1.31{col 50}{space 3}0.190{col 58}{space 4}-.0977628{col 71}{space 3} .4906539
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1410553{col 30}{space 2}  .243136{col 41}{space 1}   -0.58{col 50}{space 3}0.562{col 58}{space 4}-.6195765{col 71}{space 3} .3374659
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1346342{col 30}{space 2} .1801795{col 41}{space 1}    0.75{col 50}{space 3}0.456{col 58}{space 4} -.219981{col 71}{space 3} .4892493
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3086267{col 30}{space 2} .1923496{col 41}{space 1}    1.60{col 50}{space 3}0.110{col 58}{space 4}-.0699407{col 71}{space 3} .6871941
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .24313{col 30}{space 2} .2109528{col 41}{space 1}    1.15{col 50}{space 3}0.250{col 58}{space 4}-.1720508{col 71}{space 3} .6583108
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5895088{col 30}{space 2} .2586812{col 41}{space 1}    2.28{col 50}{space 3}0.023{col 58}{space 4} .0803927{col 71}{space 3} 1.098625
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6686119{col 30}{space 2}  .295315{col 41}{space 1}    2.26{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4}  .087396{col 71}{space 3} 1.249828
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .507263{col 30}{space 2} .3192685{col 41}{space 1}    1.59{col 50}{space 3}0.113{col 58}{space 4}-.1210963{col 71}{space 3} 1.135622
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9710985{col 30}{space 2} .3844502{col 41}{space 1}    2.53{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4} .2144538{col 71}{space 3} 1.727743
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.273969{col 30}{space 2} .4357717{col 41}{space 1}    2.92{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .4163171{col 71}{space 3}  2.13162
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6125601{col 30}{space 2}  .441295{col 41}{space 1}    1.39{col 50}{space 3}0.166{col 58}{space 4}-.2559621{col 71}{space 3} 1.481082
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.013742{col 30}{space 2} .4586858{col 41}{space 1}    2.21{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4} .1109931{col 71}{space 3} 1.916492
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.273283{col 30}{space 2} .5434631{col 41}{space 1}    2.34{col 50}{space 3}0.020{col 58}{space 4} .2036816{col 71}{space 3} 2.342884
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9584431{col 30}{space 2} .5181382{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4}-.0613158{col 71}{space 3} 1.978202
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   1.2091{col 30}{space 2} .6164922{col 41}{space 1}    1.96{col 50}{space 3}0.051{col 58}{space 4}-.0042312{col 71}{space 3} 2.422432
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.294378{col 30}{space 2} .6074155{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.034{col 58}{space 4} .0989103{col 71}{space 3} 2.489845
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.110803{col 30}{space 2} .6401423{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.084{col 58}{space 4}-.1490749{col 71}{space 3} 2.370681
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.074549{col 30}{space 2} .6674602{col 41}{space 1}    1.61{col 50}{space 3}0.108{col 58}{space 4}-.2390934{col 71}{space 3} 2.388192
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.316137{col 30}{space 2} .6914346{col 41}{space 1}    1.90{col 50}{space 3}0.058{col 58}{space 4}-.0446904{col 71}{space 3} 2.676964
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.524363{col 30}{space 2} .7975717{col 41}{space 1}    1.91{col 50}{space 3}0.057{col 58}{space 4}-.0453548{col 71}{space 3} 3.094081
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.460534{col 30}{space 2} .7569779{col 41}{space 1}    1.93{col 50}{space 3}0.055{col 58}{space 4}-.0292905{col 71}{space 3} 2.950359
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.601985{col 30}{space 2} .8057019{col 41}{space 1}    1.99{col 50}{space 3}0.048{col 58}{space 4} .0162658{col 71}{space 3} 3.187704
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.502436{col 30}{space 2} .8006963{col 41}{space 1}    1.88{col 50}{space 3}0.062{col 58}{space 4}-.0734312{col 71}{space 3} 3.078304
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.160969{col 30}{space 2} .6253238{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.0697444{col 71}{space 3} 2.391682
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,989 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   292) ={res}    5.11
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0245
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   292) ={res}    3.57
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0294
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann + 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000621{col 26}{space 2} .0003329{col 37}{space 1}   -0.19{col 46}{space 3}0.852{col 54}{space 4}-.0007173{col 67}{space 3}  .000593
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0024971{col 26}{space 2} .0016558{col 37}{space 1}   -1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.132{col 54}{space 4}-.0057425{col 67}{space 3} .0007483
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann    if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3175.111       2933.336
{txt} 5%    {res}  3628.92       2952.088
{txt}10%    {res} 3967.617       3099.246       {txt}Obs         {res}        350
{txt}25%    {res} 4741.569       3175.111       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        350

{txt}50%    {res} 6320.569                      {txt}Mean          {res} 6703.568
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2238.283
{txt}75%    {res}  8733.42       11526.59
{txt}90%    {res} 9890.852       11566.87       {txt}Variance      {res}  5009912
{txt}95%    {res} 10498.31        11885.2       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3424515
{txt}99%    {res} 11526.59       11893.57       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.972715
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-9.463234{col 26}{space 2}  6.27526{col 37}{space 1}   -1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.132{col 54}{space 4}-21.76252{col 67}{space 3} 2.836049
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.C: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       300{col 27}-2097.525{col 38}-1928.262{col 49}    61{col 58} 3978.524{col 69} 4204.454
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: LD.right_to_work omitted because of collinearity
note: 54.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       300
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 60,       239){col 67}= {res}     32.22
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2254786{col 34}{space 2} .0418604{col 45}{space 1}   -5.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.3079411{col 75}{space 3}-.1430161
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.328915{col 34}{space 2}  1.23389{col 45}{space 1}    2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} .8982274{col 75}{space 3} 5.759603
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1882476{col 34}{space 2} .1320137{col 45}{space 1}    1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.155{col 62}{space 4}-.0718113{col 75}{space 3} .4483066
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   .71142{col 34}{space 2} 1.742953{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.684{col 62}{space 4}-2.722091{col 75}{space 3} 4.144931
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2782196{col 34}{space 2} .1297634{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4} .0225936{col 75}{space 3} .5338456
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.073554{col 34}{space 2} 1.897808{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4}-7.812121{col 75}{space 3}-.3349873
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0361624{col 34}{space 2} .0831405{col 45}{space 1}   -0.43{col 54}{space 3}0.664{col 62}{space 4}-.1999441{col 75}{space 3} .1276193
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.115522{col 34}{space 2} 2.031082{col 45}{space 1}   -2.03{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4} -8.11663{col 75}{space 3}-.1144136
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1747969{col 34}{space 2} .0599035{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} .0567906{col 75}{space 3} .2928032
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.151815{col 34}{space 2} 2.212143{col 45}{space 1}    0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.603{col 62}{space 4}-3.205972{col 75}{space 3} 5.509602
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 135.4319{col 34}{space 2} 860.0627{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4} -1558.84{col 75}{space 3} 1829.703
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1006.797{col 34}{space 2} 1062.164{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.344{col 62}{space 4}-1085.601{col 75}{space 3} 3099.194
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 283.9235{col 34}{space 2} 56.25838{col 45}{space 1}    5.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 173.0979{col 75}{space 3} 394.7491
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 423.6927{col 34}{space 2} 595.1393{col 45}{space 1}    0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.477{col 62}{space 4}-748.6957{col 75}{space 3} 1596.081
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1433.038{col 34}{space 2} 1039.168{col 45}{space 1}   -1.38{col 54}{space 3}0.169{col 62}{space 4}-3480.136{col 75}{space 3} 614.0606
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6939.091{col 34}{space 2} 2995.013{col 45}{space 1}    2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4} 1039.096{col 75}{space 3} 12839.09
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2866.897{col 34}{space 2} 2878.055{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.320{col 62}{space 4}-2802.696{col 75}{space 3}  8536.49
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-127.3211{col 34}{space 2} 54.00295{col 45}{space 1}   -2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4}-233.7036{col 75}{space 3}-20.93853
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  163.723{col 34}{space 2} 90.77812{col 45}{space 1}    1.80{col 54}{space 3}0.073{col 62}{space 4}-15.10438{col 75}{space 3} 342.5504
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 174.4324{col 34}{space 2} 53.95656{col 45}{space 1}    3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 68.14122{col 75}{space 3} 280.7235
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-177.8617{col 34}{space 2} 94.17911{col 45}{space 1}   -1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.060{col 62}{space 4}-363.3889{col 75}{space 3} 7.665408
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-47.15292{col 34}{space 2} 80.98131{col 45}{space 1}   -0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.561{col 62}{space 4}-206.6812{col 75}{space 3} 112.3753
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 143.7681{col 34}{space 2} 112.2659{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.202{col 62}{space 4}-77.38904{col 75}{space 3} 364.9252
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.32784{col 34}{space 2} 69.86699{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.686{col 62}{space 4}-109.3059{col 75}{space 3} 165.9616
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 186.3308{col 34}{space 2} 62.86773{col 45}{space 1}    2.96{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 62.48514{col 75}{space 3} 310.1764
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 36.32159{col 34}{space 2} 55.26794{col 45}{space 1}    0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.512{col 62}{space 4}-72.55291{col 75}{space 3} 145.1961
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-304.2072{col 34}{space 2} 70.43013{col 45}{space 1}   -4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-442.9503{col 75}{space 3}-165.4641
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 559.3735{col 34}{space 2} 90.16216{col 45}{space 1}    6.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 381.7595{col 75}{space 3} 736.9874
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 50.20038{col 34}{space 2} 48.55028{col 45}{space 1}    1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.302{col 62}{space 4}-45.44073{col 75}{space 3} 145.8415
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-81.18331{col 34}{space 2} 45.26965{col 45}{space 1}   -1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.074{col 62}{space 4}-170.3618{col 75}{space 3} 7.995156
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   27.553{col 34}{space 2} 76.99125{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.721{col 62}{space 4}-124.1151{col 75}{space 3} 179.2211
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.196427{col 34}{space 2} 115.6342{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.978{col 62}{space 4}-230.9887{col 75}{space 3} 224.5958
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.19815{col 34}{space 2} 126.0622{col 45}{space 1}    0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.879{col 62}{space 4}-229.1368{col 75}{space 3} 267.5331
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 457.5634{col 34}{space 2} 111.1361{col 45}{space 1}    4.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 238.6321{col 75}{space 3} 676.4947
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 150.6982{col 34}{space 2} 140.5118{col 45}{space 1}    1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.285{col 62}{space 4}-126.1015{col 75}{space 3} 427.4979
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  107.796{col 34}{space 2} 121.3175{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-131.1922{col 75}{space 3} 346.7841
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  130.879{col 34}{space 2} 114.5465{col 45}{space 1}    1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.254{col 62}{space 4}-94.77062{col 75}{space 3} 356.5287
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 332.1205{col 34}{space 2} 113.0036{col 45}{space 1}    2.94{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 109.5101{col 75}{space 3} 554.7308
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 409.7947{col 34}{space 2} 138.3138{col 45}{space 1}    2.96{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 137.3249{col 75}{space 3} 682.2644
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 183.8676{col 34}{space 2} 136.4592{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.179{col 62}{space 4}-84.94876{col 75}{space 3}  452.684
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 203.5801{col 34}{space 2} 120.0989{col 45}{space 1}    1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.091{col 62}{space 4}-33.00749{col 75}{space 3} 440.1676
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 590.8224{col 34}{space 2} 125.4974{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 343.6001{col 75}{space 3} 838.0447
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 345.0701{col 34}{space 2}    167.2{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} 15.69611{col 75}{space 3}  674.444
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 507.5589{col 34}{space 2} 141.2868{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 229.2325{col 75}{space 3} 785.8853
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 482.3212{col 34}{space 2} 162.5886{col 45}{space 1}    2.97{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 162.0315{col 75}{space 3}  802.611
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 430.8068{col 34}{space 2} 148.6347{col 45}{space 1}    2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 138.0055{col 75}{space 3} 723.6082
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 668.3649{col 34}{space 2} 156.9792{col 45}{space 1}    4.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 359.1253{col 75}{space 3} 977.6045
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  830.671{col 34}{space 2} 169.5361{col 45}{space 1}    4.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 496.6953{col 75}{space 3} 1164.647
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  531.168{col 34}{space 2} 202.8404{col 45}{space 1}    2.62{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 131.5846{col 75}{space 3} 930.7513
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 744.4455{col 34}{space 2} 172.0466{col 45}{space 1}    4.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 405.5241{col 75}{space 3} 1083.367
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 787.8379{col 34}{space 2} 209.3721{col 45}{space 1}    3.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 375.3875{col 75}{space 3} 1200.288
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 618.3127{col 34}{space 2} 189.8128{col 45}{space 1}    3.26{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}  244.393{col 75}{space 3} 992.2325
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 769.4854{col 34}{space 2} 192.9957{col 45}{space 1}    3.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 389.2957{col 75}{space 3} 1149.675
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1007.942{col 34}{space 2} 210.4151{col 45}{space 1}    4.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 593.4366{col 75}{space 3} 1422.447
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 941.9482{col 34}{space 2} 236.0547{col 45}{space 1}    3.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.9348{col 75}{space 3} 1406.962
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1217.182{col 34}{space 2} 234.5139{col 45}{space 1}    5.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 755.2034{col 75}{space 3}  1679.16
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1083.663{col 34}{space 2} 262.1058{col 45}{space 1}    4.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 567.3306{col 75}{space 3} 1599.996
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 988.1208{col 34}{space 2} 284.6403{col 45}{space 1}    3.47{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 427.3968{col 75}{space 3} 1548.845
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 386.3755{col 34}{space 2} 226.3253{col 45}{space 1}    1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.089{col 62}{space 4}-59.47163{col 75}{space 3} 832.2226
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1086.14{col 34}{space 2} 193.0336{col 45}{space 1}    5.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 705.8751{col 75}{space 3} 1466.404
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4983.565{col 34}{space 2} 3055.801{col 45}{space 1}   -1.63{col 54}{space 3}0.104{col 62}{space 4}-11003.31{col 75}{space 3} 1036.177
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,039 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   239) ={res}   29.01
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   239) ={res}   14.52
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.325841{col 26}{space 2} 5.046236{col 37}{space 1}   -1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.211{col 54}{space 4}-16.26662{col 67}{space 3} 3.614939
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 14.76378{col 26}{space 2}  4.64683{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 5.656156{col 67}{space 3}  23.8714
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9.52381       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 15.62526       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 23.42857        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        300
{txt}25%    {res}  42.2465        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        300

{txt}50%    {res} 64.12358                      {txt}Mean          {res} 60.60042
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 24.98585
{txt}75%    {res} 82.60067       98.52632
{txt}90%    {res} 91.12918        98.9899       {txt}Variance      {res} 624.2929
{txt}95%    {res} 96.68421       99.26367       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.3796966
{txt}99%    {res} 98.75811       99.56694       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.140604
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*81.81818  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*39.04762

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*81.81818 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*39.04762

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  631.455{col 26}{space 2} 198.7475{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}  241.917{col 67}{space 3} 1020.993
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       300{col 27}-974.3209{col 38}-895.3084{col 49}    57{col 58} 1904.617{col 69} 2115.732
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       300
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       243){col 67}= {res}      3.93
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1683787{col 29}{space 2}  .038523{col 40}{space 1}   -4.37{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2442602{col 70}{space 3}-.0924972
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0016362{col 29}{space 2} .0008124{col 40}{space 1}    2.01{col 49}{space 3}0.045{col 57}{space 4} .0000359{col 70}{space 3} .0032365
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0081085{col 29}{space 2} .0663259{col 40}{space 1}    0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.903{col 57}{space 4}-.1225386{col 70}{space 3} .1387557
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0013589{col 29}{space 2} .0016646{col 40}{space 1}    0.82{col 49}{space 3}0.415{col 57}{space 4}-.0019199{col 70}{space 3} .0046378
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .082923{col 29}{space 2} .0756892{col 40}{space 1}    1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.274{col 57}{space 4}-.0661676{col 70}{space 3} .2320136
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0006107{col 29}{space 2} .0026998{col 40}{space 1}    0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.821{col 57}{space 4}-.0047074{col 70}{space 3} .0059287
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0417759{col 29}{space 2} .0542117{col 40}{space 1}    0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.442{col 57}{space 4} -.065009{col 70}{space 3} .1485607
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0021506{col 29}{space 2} .0024689{col 40}{space 1}   -0.87{col 49}{space 3}0.385{col 57}{space 4}-.0070137{col 70}{space 3} .0027125
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2442675{col 29}{space 2} .0830128{col 40}{space 1}   -2.94{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4}-.4077841{col 70}{space 3} -.080751
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0008464{col 29}{space 2}  .002013{col 40}{space 1}    0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.674{col 57}{space 4}-.0031186{col 70}{space 3} .0048115
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.990219{col 29}{space 2} 2.119015{col 40}{space 1}   -3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} -12.1642{col 70}{space 3}-3.816237
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.138177{col 29}{space 2} 2.651587{col 40}{space 1}    1.56{col 49}{space 3}0.120{col 57}{space 4} -1.08485{col 70}{space 3} 9.361205
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  7.83816{col 29}{space 2} 2.361525{col 40}{space 1}    3.32{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 3.186489{col 70}{space 3} 12.48983
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.009022{col 29}{space 2} 2.769942{col 40}{space 1}   -1.81{col 49}{space 3}0.072{col 57}{space 4}-10.46518{col 70}{space 3}  .447139
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.327859{col 29}{space 2} 2.100016{col 40}{space 1}   -3.97{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-12.46442{col 70}{space 3}-4.191302
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.64234{col 29}{space 2} 5.596506{col 40}{space 1}    2.08{col 49}{space 3}0.039{col 57}{space 4} .6184832{col 70}{space 3} 22.66619
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.173203{col 29}{space 2} 1.388217{col 40}{space 1}    2.29{col 49}{space 3}0.023{col 57}{space 4} .4387278{col 70}{space 3} 5.907677
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.456751{col 29}{space 2} 2.928262{col 40}{space 1}   -0.16{col 49}{space 3}0.876{col 57}{space 4}-6.224767{col 70}{space 3} 5.311265
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}5  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.548764{col 29}{space 2} 1.703526{col 40}{space 1}   -0.91{col 49}{space 3}0.364{col 57}{space 4}-4.904325{col 70}{space 3} 1.806798
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.658947{col 29}{space 2} 1.510559{col 40}{space 1}    3.08{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 1.683486{col 70}{space 3} 7.634407
{txt}{space 12}22  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4145434{col 29}{space 2} 1.149032{col 40}{space 1}   -0.36{col 49}{space 3}0.719{col 57}{space 4}-2.677877{col 70}{space 3}  1.84879
{txt}{space 12}28  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.508546{col 29}{space 2} 1.782491{col 40}{space 1}    1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.161{col 57}{space 4}-1.002558{col 70}{space 3} 6.019651
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.712645{col 29}{space 2}  3.10793{col 40}{space 1}    1.52{col 49}{space 3}0.131{col 57}{space 4}-1.409276{col 70}{space 3} 10.83457
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.046103{col 29}{space 2} 1.894242{col 40}{space 1}    2.14{col 49}{space 3}0.034{col 57}{space 4} .3148736{col 70}{space 3} 7.777332
{txt}{space 12}45  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.664498{col 29}{space 2} 2.268178{col 40}{space 1}    3.82{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 4.196699{col 70}{space 3}  13.1323
{txt}{space 12}47  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.155974{col 29}{space 2} 2.081766{col 40}{space 1}    2.00{col 49}{space 3}0.047{col 57}{space 4} .0553644{col 70}{space 3} 8.256583
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.720279{col 29}{space 2} 1.443528{col 40}{space 1}   -1.19{col 49}{space 3}0.235{col 57}{space 4}-4.563703{col 70}{space 3} 1.123144
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.193063{col 29}{space 2}  2.46223{col 40}{space 1}   -0.48{col 49}{space 3}0.628{col 57}{space 4}  -6.0431{col 70}{space 3} 3.656975
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.391969{col 29}{space 2} 2.408448{col 40}{space 1}    0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.564{col 57}{space 4} -3.35213{col 70}{space 3} 6.136069
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.8336899{col 29}{space 2} 1.915715{col 40}{space 1}   -0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.664{col 57}{space 4}-4.607216{col 70}{space 3} 2.939836
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.484593{col 29}{space 2} 3.665612{col 40}{space 1}    1.77{col 49}{space 3}0.078{col 57}{space 4}-.7358346{col 70}{space 3} 13.70502
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0765497{col 29}{space 2} 2.155211{col 40}{space 1}    0.04{col 49}{space 3}0.972{col 57}{space 4} -4.16873{col 70}{space 3} 4.321829
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.83329{col 29}{space 2} 2.849548{col 40}{space 1}    0.64{col 49}{space 3}0.521{col 57}{space 4}-3.779677{col 70}{space 3} 7.446256
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6398338{col 29}{space 2} 1.939714{col 40}{space 1}   -0.33{col 49}{space 3}0.742{col 57}{space 4}-4.460634{col 70}{space 3} 3.180966
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.311243{col 29}{space 2} 2.854483{col 40}{space 1}    0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.646{col 57}{space 4}-4.311444{col 70}{space 3}  6.93393
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4414972{col 29}{space 2} 2.238109{col 40}{space 1}    0.20{col 49}{space 3}0.844{col 57}{space 4}-3.967073{col 70}{space 3} 4.850068
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.526197{col 29}{space 2} 2.573815{col 40}{space 1}    0.98{col 49}{space 3}0.327{col 57}{space 4}-2.543638{col 70}{space 3} 7.596033
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3364039{col 29}{space 2} 2.359812{col 40}{space 1}   -0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.887{col 57}{space 4}-4.984701{col 70}{space 3} 4.311893
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.998951{col 29}{space 2} 3.049774{col 40}{space 1}    0.66{col 49}{space 3}0.513{col 57}{space 4}-4.008417{col 70}{space 3} 8.006319
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.190351{col 29}{space 2}  2.60351{col 40}{space 1}    0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.648{col 57}{space 4}-3.937976{col 70}{space 3} 6.318678
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.01855{col 29}{space 2} 3.774929{col 40}{space 1}    3.18{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4}  4.58279{col 70}{space 3} 19.45431
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.220455{col 29}{space 2} 4.517049{col 40}{space 1}    1.16{col 49}{space 3}0.249{col 57}{space 4}-3.677112{col 70}{space 3} 14.11802
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.397957{col 29}{space 2} 3.167564{col 40}{space 1}    0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.659{col 57}{space 4}-4.841429{col 70}{space 3} 7.637344
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .189536{col 29}{space 2} 3.474577{col 40}{space 1}    0.05{col 49}{space 3}0.957{col 57}{space 4}-6.654597{col 70}{space 3} 7.033669
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.676999{col 29}{space 2}  3.98407{col 40}{space 1}    0.92{col 49}{space 3}0.357{col 57}{space 4}-4.170721{col 70}{space 3} 11.52472
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.764807{col 29}{space 2} 3.645412{col 40}{space 1}    0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.449{col 57}{space 4}-4.415833{col 70}{space 3} 9.945448
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.254362{col 29}{space 2} 4.170933{col 40}{space 1}    1.02{col 49}{space 3}0.309{col 57}{space 4}-3.961436{col 70}{space 3} 12.47016
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.655342{col 29}{space 2} 3.975634{col 40}{space 1}    0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.678{col 57}{space 4} -6.17576{col 70}{space 3} 9.486444
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.667357{col 29}{space 2} 4.302562{col 40}{space 1}    1.32{col 49}{space 3}0.189{col 57}{space 4} -2.80772{col 70}{space 3} 14.14243
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.450221{col 29}{space 2} 4.151994{col 40}{space 1}    0.59{col 49}{space 3}0.556{col 57}{space 4} -5.72827{col 70}{space 3} 10.62871
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.055404{col 29}{space 2}  5.23335{col 40}{space 1}    0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.439{col 57}{space 4}-6.253116{col 70}{space 3} 14.36392
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.15079{col 29}{space 2} 4.881455{col 40}{space 1}    0.24{col 49}{space 3}0.814{col 57}{space 4}-8.464576{col 70}{space 3} 10.76616
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.973387{col 29}{space 2} 5.180179{col 40}{space 1}    0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.444{col 57}{space 4}-6.230396{col 70}{space 3} 14.17717
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  3.43356{col 29}{space 2} 5.044694{col 40}{space 1}    0.68{col 49}{space 3}0.497{col 57}{space 4}-6.503349{col 70}{space 3} 13.37047
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.326434{col 29}{space 2} 5.252304{col 40}{space 1}    0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.801{col 57}{space 4} -9.01942{col 70}{space 3} 11.67229
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.885847{col 29}{space 2} 7.743283{col 40}{space 1}    0.37{col 49}{space 3}0.710{col 57}{space 4}-12.36667{col 70}{space 3} 18.13837
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-15.50897{col 29}{space 2} 8.054762{col 40}{space 1}   -1.93{col 49}{space 3}0.055{col 57}{space 4}-31.37504{col 70}{space 3} .3570912
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,039 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. * 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   243) ={res}   19.10
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   243) ={res}   10.47
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006655{col 26}{space 2} .0027706{col 37}{space 1}    0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.810{col 54}{space 4}-.0047919{col 67}{space 3} .0061229
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0097174{col 26}{space 2}  .004989{col 37}{space 1}    1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4} -.000061{col 67}{space 3} .0194957
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 8825.561       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9628.028       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10094.85       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        300
{txt}25%    {res} 11460.88       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        300

{txt}50%    {res} 12854.85                      {txt}Mean          {res} 12969.37
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2054.664
{txt}75%    {res} 14503.97        17263.1
{txt}90%    {res} 15741.27       17507.38       {txt}Variance      {res}  4221642
{txt}95%    {res} 16465.78       17527.68       {txt}Skewness      {res} .0749996
{txt}99%    {res} 17385.24       17584.98       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.265707
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  30.6958{col 26}{space 2} 15.75966{col 37}{space 1}    1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-.1925523{col 67}{space 3} 61.58416
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. restore
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
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. ******************************************************************************
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. ******************************************************************************
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. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\mzarit\Documents\regionalconvergence_missour_6_27_2016.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}27 Jun 2016, 09:10:57
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}